On the Intraday Relation Between the VIX and Its Futures PDF Download
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Author: Bart Frijns
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) introduced the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) in 1993. The index has come to act as the benchmark for stock market volatility and, more generally, investor sentiment. The VIX has proven to be very useful in forecasting the future market direction especially during high volatility periods. In order to expedite trading in volatility, as well as increase hedging opportunities, the CBOE introduced futures on the VIX (henceforth referred to as VXF) on March 26, 2004.We study the intraday dynamics of the VIX and VXF for the period January 2, 2008 to December 31, 2012. Applying a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model on daily data, we observe some evidence of causality from the VXF to the VIX. However, estimating a VAR using our ultra-high frequency data, we find strong evidence for bi-directional Granger causality between the VIX and the VXF. Overall, this effect appears to be stronger from the VXF to the VIX than the other way around. Impulse response functions and variance decompositions analysis further confirm the dominance of the VXF. Lastly, we show that the causality from the VXF to the VIX has been increasing over our sample period, whereas the reverse causality has been decreasing. This finding suggests that the VIX futures have become increasingly more important in the pricing of volatility. We further document that the VIX futures dominate the VIX more on days with negative returns, and on days with high values of the VIX, suggesting that on those days investors use VIX futures to hedge their positions rather than trading in the S&P 500 index options.
Author: Bart Frijns
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) introduced the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) in 1993. The index has come to act as the benchmark for stock market volatility and, more generally, investor sentiment. The VIX has proven to be very useful in forecasting the future market direction especially during high volatility periods. In order to expedite trading in volatility, as well as increase hedging opportunities, the CBOE introduced futures on the VIX (henceforth referred to as VXF) on March 26, 2004.We study the intraday dynamics of the VIX and VXF for the period January 2, 2008 to December 31, 2012. Applying a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model on daily data, we observe some evidence of causality from the VXF to the VIX. However, estimating a VAR using our ultra-high frequency data, we find strong evidence for bi-directional Granger causality between the VIX and the VXF. Overall, this effect appears to be stronger from the VXF to the VIX than the other way around. Impulse response functions and variance decompositions analysis further confirm the dominance of the VXF. Lastly, we show that the causality from the VXF to the VIX has been increasing over our sample period, whereas the reverse causality has been decreasing. This finding suggests that the VIX futures have become increasingly more important in the pricing of volatility. We further document that the VIX futures dominate the VIX more on days with negative returns, and on days with high values of the VIX, suggesting that on those days investors use VIX futures to hedge their positions rather than trading in the S&P 500 index options.
Author: Dian-Xuan Kao
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 42
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Book Description
We investigate the relation between trading activity in the VIX derivative markets and changes in the VIX index under a high-frequency framework. We find a significant relation between the signed trading variables of VIX futures and the contemporaneous changes in the VIX index. In addition, the net signed trading variables of VIX futures are significant predictors of future changes in the VIX index. Our results provide support for the informational role of VIX futures and evidence that trading activity in VIX options is likely caused by temporary liquidity shocks rather than the likelihood of informed trading.
Author: Oren Tapiero
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 26
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Book Description
The scope of this paper is two-fold. First, to study the significance of the VIX index at intraday (five minutes) time resolution. Second, to emphasize the expected (intraday) conditional correlation between the S&P 500 and VIX log-returns. A weighted likelihood ratio test Amisano and Giacomini (2007), performed on intraday S&P 500 log-returns, suggests that the VIX index bears significant linear, asymmetric and nonlinear predictive information for the one-step ahead S&P 500 log-returns forecast density. In addition, it provides significant evidence to nonlinear and asymmetric impact of the expected (intraday) conditional correlation between market and volatility indices.
Author: Russell Rhoads
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470933089
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 293
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Book Description
A guide to using the VIX to forecast and trade markets Known as the fear index, the VIX provides a snapshot of expectations about future stock market volatility and generally moves inversely to the overall stock market. Trading VIX Derivatives will show you how to use the Chicago Board Options Exchange's S&P 500 volatility index to gauge fear and greed in the market, use market volatility to your advantage, and hedge stock portfolios. Engaging and informative, this book skillfully explains the mechanics and strategies associated with trading VIX options, futures, exchange traded notes, and options on exchange traded notes. Many market participants look at the VIX to help understand market sentiment and predict turning points. With a slew of VIX index trading products now available, traders can use a variety of strategies to speculate outright on the direction of market volatility, but they can also utilize these products in conjunction with other instruments to create spread trades or hedge their overall risk. Reviews how to use the VIX to forecast market turning points, as well as reveals what it takes to implement trading strategies using VIX options, futures, and ETNs Accessible to active individual traders, but sufficiently sophisticated for professional traders Offers insights on how volatility-based strategies can be used to provide diversification and enhance returns Written by Russell Rhoads, a top instructor at the CBOE's Options Institute, this book reflects on the wide range of uses associated with the VIX and will interest anyone looking for profitable new forecasting and trading techniques.
Author: Menachem Brenner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
This paper analyses the new market for trading volatility; VIX futures. We first use market data to establish the relationship between VIX futures prices and the index itself. We observe that VIX futures and VIX are highly correlated; the term structure of VIX futures price is upward sloping while the term structure of VIX futures volatility is downward sloping. To establish a theoretical relationship between VIX futures and VIX, we model the instantaneous variance using a simple square root mean-reverting process. Using daily calibrated variance parameters and VIX, the model gives good predictions of VIX futures prices. These parameter estimates could be used to price VIX options.
Author: Colin Bennett
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781461108757
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 316
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Book Description
This publication aims to fill the void between books providing an introduction to derivatives, and advanced books whose target audience are members of quantitative modelling community. In order to appeal to the widest audience, this publication tries to assume the least amount of prior knowledge. The content quickly moves onto more advanced subjects in order to concentrate on more practical and advanced topics. "A master piece to learn in a nutshell all the essentials about volatility with a practical and lively approach. A must read!" Carole Bernard, Equity Derivatives Specialist at Bloomberg "This book could be seen as the 'volatility bible'!" Markus-Alexander Flesch, Head of Sales & Marketing at Eurex "I highly recommend this book both for those new to the equity derivatives business, and for more advanced readers. The balance between theory and practice is struck At-The-Money" Paul Stephens, Head of Institutional Marketing at CBOE "One of the best resources out there for the volatility community" Paul Britton, CEO and Founder of Capstone Investment Advisors "Colin has managed to convey often complex derivative and volatility concepts with an admirable simplicity, a welcome change from the all-too-dense tomes one usually finds on the subject" Edmund Shing PhD, former Proprietary Trader at BNP Paribas "In a crowded space, Colin has supplied a useful and concise guide" Gary Delany, Director Europe at the Options Industry Council
Author: Matthew T. Moran
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN: 1944960961
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49
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Book Description
During the past two decades, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX® Index), a key measure of investor sentiment and 30-day future volatility expectations, has generated much investor attention because of its unique and powerful features. The introduction of VIX futures in 2004, VIX options in 2006, and other volatility-related trading instruments provided traders and investors access to exchange-traded vehicles for taking long and short exposures to expected S&P 500 Index volatility for a particular time frame. Certain VIX-related tradable products may provide benefits when used as tools for tail-risk hedging, diversification, risk management, or alpha generation. Gauges of expected stock market volatility for various regions include the VIX Index (United States), AXVI Index (Australia), VHSI Index (Hong Kong), NVIX Index (India) and VSTOXX Index (Europe). All five of these volatility indexes had negative correlations with their related stock indexes price movements, and all five volatility indexes rose more than 50% in 2008. Although the five volatility indexes are not investable, investors can explore VIX-based benchmark indexes that show the performance of hypothetical investment strategies using VIX futures or options. Before investing in volatility-related products, investors should closely study the pricing, roll cost, and volatility features of the tradable products and read the applicable prospectuses and risk disclosure statements.
Author: Thomas K. Carr
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071753451
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 289
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Book Description
Profit every day from market volatility at alllevels of the game The high-pace atmosphere of today's markets may appearoverwhelming, but the right trading systems and expert guidance can help you build winning habits--and Micro-Trend Trading for Daily Income gives you the expertise and tools you need to consistently earn outsized market gains. Written by the man Wall Street calls "Dr. Stoxx," this practical trading manual shows you how to harness the powerof volatility to bank daily profits. Microtrend trading takes you beyond the realm of common fundamental or technical analysis to find the hidden pockets of rationality, the "micro-trends," between the open and closeof daily trading. Carr's proven, quick-turn, 100 percent mechanical systems are easy to use and do not require sitting in front of the computer all day. You can trade onyour lunch break, you can trade the open or the afternoon session, you can even trade once a month and still make great income. And since most strategies in this book have you liquid by the closing bell, your day ends with your account gains posted--and your net worth heading skyward. Micro-Trend Trading for Daily Income shortens the learning curve and prepares you to think quickly and act decisively with insightful examples and case studies that illuminate Carr's time-tested strategies. With this reliable resource at your fingertips, you will have the confidence to take large positions and make huge returns ona day-to-day basis. Within days you'll be building wealth while tightly managing risk. Micro-Trend Trading for Daily Income is the one complete book that gives you the tools and knowledge you need to develop an arsenal of mechanical, profitable shortterm trading strategies that can earn you consistent profits--even in today's temperamental markets.
Author: Dexiang Mei
Publisher: Scientific Research Publishing, Inc. USA
ISBN: 164997048X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 139
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Book Description
The volatility has been one of the cores of the financial theory research, in addition to the stock markets and the futures market are an important part of modern financial markets. Forecast volatility of the stock market and oil futures market is an important part of the theory of financial markets research.
Author: Alexander Elder
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471592242
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 308
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Book Description
Trading for a Living Successful trading is based on three M's: Mind, Method, and Money. Trading for a Living helps you master all of those three areas: * How to become a cool, calm, and collected trader * How to profit from reading the behavior of the market crowd * How to use a computer to find good trades * How to develop a powerful trading system * How to find the trades with the best odds of success * How to find entry and exit points, set stops, and take profits Trading for a Living helps you discipline your Mind, shows you the Methods for trading the markets, and shows you how to manage Money in your trading accounts so that no string of losses can kick you out of the game. To help you profit even more from the ideas in Trading for a Living, look for the companion volume--Study Guide for Trading for a Living. It asks over 200 multiple-choice questions, with answers and 11 rating scales for sharpening your trading skills. For example: Question Markets rise when * there are more buyers than sellers * buyers are more aggressive than sellers * sellers are afraid and demand a premium * more shares or contracts are bought than sold * I and II * II and III * II and IV * III and IV Answer B. II and III. Every change in price reflects what happens in the battle between bulls and bears. Markets rise when bulls feel more strongly than bears. They rally when buyers are confident and sellers demand a premium for participating in the game that is going against them. There is a buyer and a seller behind every transaction. The number of stocks or futures bought and sold is equal by definition.
