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Author: Qiao Yu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 19
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Book Description
This paper, the formation, scale and constitution of China's local government debt are discussed. The status of various assets available for repayment is thoroughly analysed, including fiscal revenue, government fund revenue, state-owned enterprise profit, state-owned enterprise net assets, state-owned non-operating assets and resource assets. The conclusion is that local governments have a low risk of insolvency; however, due to the mismatching of assets and liabilities, which comes from the low efficiency of investing, there is a certain risk concerning liquidity and payment indeed. The root cause as well as solutions and management of local government debt are also studied, such as, improving the transparency of local debt, implementing of quantitative debt indicators, and establishing the relevant laws to control debt quota. Local government debt risk can be countered by assets securitization, "sell and rent", public-private partnerships (PPP), etc.
Author: Qiao Yu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 19
Get Book Here
Book Description
This paper, the formation, scale and constitution of China's local government debt are discussed. The status of various assets available for repayment is thoroughly analysed, including fiscal revenue, government fund revenue, state-owned enterprise profit, state-owned enterprise net assets, state-owned non-operating assets and resource assets. The conclusion is that local governments have a low risk of insolvency; however, due to the mismatching of assets and liabilities, which comes from the low efficiency of investing, there is a certain risk concerning liquidity and payment indeed. The root cause as well as solutions and management of local government debt are also studied, such as, improving the transparency of local debt, implementing of quantitative debt indicators, and establishing the relevant laws to control debt quota. Local government debt risk can be countered by assets securitization, "sell and rent", public-private partnerships (PPP), etc.
Author: Brent W. Ambrose
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
Unlike local governments in western countries, local Chinese governments are prevented from directly issuing debt to fund mandated capital projects. As a result of recent fiscal stresses and restrictions placed on local governments, China has developed a unique funding source, known as Local Government-Backed Investment Units (LGBIUs), that allow local governments to obtain capital necessary to fund large-scale infrastructure investments. However, unlike traditional municipal debt in western countries, the Chinese investment units are not able to use tax revenues to fund coupon or principal payments. Thus, local governments tap into the growing housing market by selling public land to fund the investment units coupon and principal payments. As a result of this unique mixing of local governmental fiscal policies with local housing markets, a substantial drop in housing or land prices may increase the risk level of local government debt, or even trigger a systematic default. We present an analysis of the risk associated with these bonds and demonstrate that local housing price risk is priced in the bond yield spreads.
Author: W. Raphael Lam
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484379128
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 21
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Book Description
Local governments play a significant role in China’s public finance and fiscal operations. The size of local government debt has grown rapidly over the past years, exceeding the stock of sovereign debt in China. How does this development compare to other countries and what policies can foster the sound development of the bond markets? This paper finds that despite its rapid growth, the local government bond market is still underdeveloped. Severe impediments—low liquidity, weak credit discipline, structural fiscal deficit in local governments—have become more visible. Reforms to develop a sound local government bond market should harmonize tax and regulations, build liquidity, and advance fiscal reforms to tighten off-budget borrowing and address intergovernmental imbalances.
Author: Yinqiu Lu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475536933
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
China’s rapid credit expansion in 2009–10 brought local government financing platforms (LGFPs) into the spotlight. This paper discusses their function, reasons behind their recent expansion, and risks they are posing to the financial sector, local governments, and sovereign balance sheet. This paper argues that LGFPs were a fortune for China in the past, but would turn out to be a misfortune if the causes of the rapid expansion of LGFPs are not addressed promptly. In this context, the paper proposes ways to avoid misfortune by: acknowledging and addressing the revenue and expenditure mismatches at the local government level; establishing a comprehensive framework to regulate and supervise local government budgets; ensuring the sustainability of the financial resources obtained from the sale of land use rights; and developing local government bond markets and promoting financial reforms.
Author: Mr. Alfred Schipke
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 151358278X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
China’s bond market is destined to play an increasingly important role, both at home and abroad. And the inclusion of the country’s bonds in global indexes will be a milestone for its financial market integration, bringing big opportunities as well as challenges for policymakers and investors alike. This calls for a good understanding of China’s bond market structure, its unique characteristics, and areas where reforms are needed. This volume comprehensively analyzes the different segments of China’s bond market, from sovereign, policy bank, and credit bonds, to the rapidly growing local government bond market. It also covers bond futures, green bonds, and asset-backed securities, as well as China’s offshore market, which has played a major role in onshore market development.
Author: Ms.Yuanyan Sophia Zhang
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484349954
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
China weathered the global financial crisis better than most, thanks to a large and timely stimulus. This stimulus, however, was mainly in the form of off-budget infrastructure spending and thus not visible in the headline fiscal data. We construct a time series for the augmented fiscal deficit and debt—augmented to include off-budget activity—that better illustrates the counter-cyclical role of fiscal policy. The results also show that the augmented fiscal deficit and debt are both considerably higher than the headline government data suggest. Nonetheless, at around 45 percent of GDP, the augmented debt is still at a manageable level.
Author: Feroz Khan
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804784809
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 550
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Book Description
The history of Pakistan's nuclear program is the history of Pakistan. Fascinated with the new nuclear science, the young nation's leaders launched a nuclear energy program in 1956 and consciously interwove nuclear developments into the broader narrative of Pakistani nationalism. Then, impelled first by the 1965 and 1971 India-Pakistan Wars, and more urgently by India's first nuclear weapon test in 1974, Pakistani senior officials tapped into the country's pool of young nuclear scientists and engineers and molded them into a motivated cadre committed to building the 'ultimate weapon.' The tenacity of this group and the central place of its mission in Pakistan's national identity allowed the program to outlast the perennial political crises of the next 20 years, culminating in the test of a nuclear device in 1998. Written by a 30-year professional in the Pakistani Army who played a senior role formulating and advocating Pakistan's security policy on nuclear and conventional arms control, this book tells the compelling story of how and why Pakistan's government, scientists, and military, persevered in the face of a wide array of obstacles to acquire nuclear weapons. It lays out the conditions that sparked the shift from a peaceful quest to acquire nuclear energy into a full-fledged weapons program, details how the nuclear program was organized, reveals the role played by outside powers in nuclear decisions, and explains how Pakistani scientists overcome the many technical hurdles they encountered. Thanks to General Khan's unique insider perspective, it unveils and unravels the fascinating and turbulent interplay of personalities and organizations that took place and reveals how international opposition to the program only made it an even more significant issue of national resolve. Listen to a podcast of a related presentation by Feroz Khan at the Stanford Center for International Security and Cooperation at cisac.stanford.edu/events/recording/7458/2/765.
Author: Donald C. Clarke
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 65
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Book Description
Local government financing vehicles (“LGFVs”) -- companies capitalized and owned by local government and established for the purpose of raising funds for municipal infrastructure construction -- emerged in China in the 1980s as a response to the severe constraints on indebtedness by local governments themselves. The mushrooming of their number and indebtedness has sparked fears about their ability to repay the debt and the consequences of a default. In addition to taking on bank debt, a number of LGFVs have also issued bonds. While observers have questioned the value of collateral typically offered as security for the bonds, we know of no extensive analysis to date of the legal quality of the collateral: what exactly are the bondholders being promised, and what is the status of those promises in the Chinese legal system? This article is an attempt to answer that question, using data from two hand-collected samples of LGFV bond prospectuses from different regions in China in two different time periods. We find that current collateralization practices vary a great deal across bond issues and have changed over time, and discuss the legal and other problems attendant upon each type of backup. Remarkably, we find that unlike our initial sample of bond issues, recent bond issues virtually all state explicitly in the prospectus that they carry no security. Thus, the popular image of local governments wildly overpromising with guarantees they are not legally empowered to give seems, at least as far as recent bond issues are concerned, to be wholly wrong. This in turn calls into question the figures commonly provided for local government debt, since they often include LGFV debt that local government is neither legally nor morally obligated to pay. To be sure, they may wish to pay creditors voluntarily, but it is misleading to label as “debt” soft obligations of this nature. Creditors who have tried to force local governments to make good on their guarantees have uniformly failed, at most receiving half of what they sought. The argument that local governments have some politically enforceable obligation to pay on their guarantees does not seem supported by the evidence.
Author: Dinny McMahon
Publisher: HarperCollins
ISBN: 1328846024
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 285
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Book Description
A stunning inside look at how and why the foundations upon which China has built the world’s second largest economy, have started to crumble. Over the course of a decade spent reporting in China as a financial journalist, Dinny McMahon came to the conclusion that the widely held belief in China’s inevitable economic ascent is dangerously wrong. In this unprecedented deep dive, McMahon shows how, lurking behind the illusion of prosperity, China’s economic growth has been built on a staggering mountain of debt. While stories of newly built but empty cities, white elephant state projects, and a byzantine shadow banking system have all become a regular fixture in the press, McMahon goes beyond the headlines to explain how such waste has been allowed to flourish, and why one of the most powerful governments in the world has been at a loss to stop it. Through the stories of ordinary Chinese citizens, McMahon tries to make sense of the unique—and often bizarre—mechanics of the nation’s economy, whether it be the state’s addiction to appropriating land from poor farmers; or why a Chinese entrepreneur decided it was cheaper to move his yarn factory to South Carolina; or why ambitious Chinese mayors build ghost cities; or why the Chinese bureaucracy was able to stare down Beijing’s attempts to break up the state’s pointless monopoly over table salt distribution. Debt, entrenched vested interests, a frenzy of speculation, and an aging population are all pushing China toward an economic reckoning. China’s Great Wall of Debt unravels an incredibly complex and opaque economy, one whose fortunes—for better or worse—will shape the globe like never before.
Author: Asian Development Bank
Publisher: Asian Development Bank
ISBN: 9292548220
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 237
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Book Description
The Third Plenum of the 18 th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China in November reinforced the importance of public finance reform. Drawing on recent technical assistance from the Asian Development Bank (ADB), special reports, and the work of ADB staff, the publication offers observation and suggestion on how to pursue public finance reform. The publication also outlines practical actions that can be taken to improve budgeting, taxation, and the system of fiscal decentralization in the People's Republic of China. Special attention is given to the management of local government debt, the most pressing fiscal issue facing the People's Republic of China. The potential contribution of public-private partnerships is also introduced.
