Nonlinear Aggregate Investment Dynamics

Nonlinear Aggregate Investment Dynamics PDF Author: Ricardo J. Caballero
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital investments
Languages : en
Pages : 74

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Book Description
In this paper we derive a model of aggregate investment that builds from the lumpy microeconomic behavior of firms facing stochastic fixed adjustment costs. Instead of the standard sharp (S, s) bands, firms' adjustment policies take the form of a probability of adjustment (adjustment hazard) that responds smoothly to changes in firms' capacity gap. The model has appealing aggregation properties, and yields nonlinear aggregate time series processes. The passivity of normal times is, occasionally, more than offset by the brisk response to large accumulated shocks. Using within and out-of-sample criteria, we find that the model performs substantially better than the standard linear models of investment for postwar sectoral U.S. manufacturing equipment and structures investment data.

Nonlinear Aggregate Investment Dynamics

Nonlinear Aggregate Investment Dynamics PDF Author: Ricardo J. Caballero
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital investments
Languages : en
Pages : 74

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Book Description
In this paper we derive a model of aggregate investment that builds from the lumpy microeconomic behavior of firms facing stochastic fixed adjustment costs. Instead of the standard sharp (S, s) bands, firms' adjustment policies take the form of a probability of adjustment (adjustment hazard) that responds smoothly to changes in firms' capacity gap. The model has appealing aggregation properties, and yields nonlinear aggregate time series processes. The passivity of normal times is, occasionally, more than offset by the brisk response to large accumulated shocks. Using within and out-of-sample criteria, we find that the model performs substantially better than the standard linear models of investment for postwar sectoral U.S. manufacturing equipment and structures investment data.

Nonlinear Economic Dynamics and Financial Modelling

Nonlinear Economic Dynamics and Financial Modelling PDF Author: Roberto Dieci
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319074709
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 384

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Book Description
This book reflects the state of the art on nonlinear economic dynamics, financial market modelling and quantitative finance. It contains eighteen papers with topics ranging from disequilibrium macroeconomics, monetary dynamics, monopoly, financial market and limit order market models with boundedly rational heterogeneous agents to estimation, time series modelling and empirical analysis and from risk management of interest-rate products, futures price volatility and American option pricing with stochastic volatility to evaluation of risk and derivatives of electricity market. The book illustrates some of the most recent research tools in these areas and will be of interest to economists working in economic dynamics and financial market modelling, to mathematicians who are interested in applying complexity theory to economics and finance and to market practitioners and researchers in quantitative finance interested in limit order, futures and electricity market modelling, derivative pricing and risk management.

Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels

Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels PDF Author: Carl Chiarella
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 0444521224
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 563

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Book Description
This book represents an ongoing research agenda the aim of which is to contribute to the Keynesian paradigm in macroeconomics. It examines the Dynamic General Equilibrium (DGE) model, the assumption of intertemporal optimizing behavior of economic agents, competitive markets and price mediated market clearing through flexible wages and prices.

NBER Reporter

NBER Reporter PDF Author: National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 676

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Book Description


Explaining Investment Dynamics in U.S. Manufacturing

Explaining Investment Dynamics in U.S. Manufacturing PDF Author: Ricardo J. Caballero
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital investments
Languages : en
Pages : 56

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Book Description
In this paper we derive a model of aggregate investment that builds from the lumpy microeconomic behavior of firms facing stochastic fixed adjustment costs. Instead of the standard (S, s) bands, firms' optimal adjustment policies are probabilistic, with a probability of adjusting (adjustment hazard) that grows smoothly with firms' disequilibria. Depending upon the specification of the distribution of fixed adjustment costs, the adjustment hazards approach encompasses models ranging from the very non-linear (S, s) model to the linear partial adjustment model. Except for the latter extreme, the processes for aggregate investment obtained from adding up the actions of firms subject to aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks, is highly non-linear. Estimating the aggregate model by maximum likelihood, we find clear evidence supporting non-linear models over linear ones for postwar sectoral U.S. manufacturing equipment and structures investment. For a given sequence of aggregate shocks, the nonlinear model estimated generates brisker expansions and - to a lesser extent - sharper contractions than its linear counterpart. These features fit well the observed positive skewness and large kurtosis of U.S. manufacturing sectoral investment/capital ratios.

Aggregate Investment

Aggregate Investment PDF Author: Ricardo J. Caballero
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital investments
Languages : en
Pages : 82

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Book Description
The 90s have witnessed a revival in economists' interest and hope of explaining" aggregate and microeconomic investment behavior. New theories, better econometric" procedures, and more detailed panel data sets are behind this movement. Much of the progress" has occurred at the level of microeconomic theories and evidence; however aggregation and general equilibrium aspects of the investment problem also has been significant." The concept of sunk costs is at the center of modern theories. The implications of these costs for" investment go well beyond the neoclassical response to the irreversible-technological friction" they represent, for they can also lead to first order inefficiencies when interacting with" informational and contractual problems

Working Paper Series

Working Paper Series PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 530

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Book Description


Piecewise-smooth Dynamical Systems

Piecewise-smooth Dynamical Systems PDF Author: Mario Bernardo
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1846287081
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 497

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Book Description
This book presents a coherent framework for understanding the dynamics of piecewise-smooth and hybrid systems. An informal introduction expounds the ubiquity of such models via numerous. The results are presented in an informal style, and illustrated with many examples. The book is aimed at a wide audience of applied mathematicians, engineers and scientists at the beginning postgraduate level. Almost no mathematical background is assumed other than basic calculus and algebra.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589065816
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 183

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Book Description
This is the final issue for 2006 (Volume 53), and contains another paper in the occasional Special Data Section that seeks to measure financial development in the Middle East and North Africa by utilizing a new database. The issue also contains a comment from Jacques J. Polak on parity reversion in real exchange rates.

Competition, Instability, and Nonlinear Cycles

Competition, Instability, and Nonlinear Cycles PDF Author: Willi Semmler
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642516998
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 357

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Book Description
I. The Topic and the structure of the Proceedings The papers in this book are the proceedings of a conference held at the Economics Department of the Graduate Faculty of the New School for Social Research in March 1985 in New York for which financial support was provided by .the West German Consulate. The topic of the conference was "Competition, Instability, and Nonlinear Cycles." A number of mathematical economists from Italy, West Germany, France, Japan, and the u.s. were invited as participants in this meeting. The conference was preceded by two other conferences in which several of the invited scholars had taken part. One, on "la gravitation des prix," took place in Nanterre, France,in March 1984. The other was held at the New School for Social Research in April 1984 on "Price of Production in Joint Production systems." Both conference were concerned with classical prices of production systems and their revival in the form developed by Sraffa and Pasinetti (1977). In these conferences, considerable interest arose in more properly modeling the dynamics of prices of production systems in a multi sectoral framework by utilizing modern mathematical tools of dynamical systems. Such a discussion on the dynamics of the classical process of competition and the stability of classical production prices was originally initiated by several papers by Nikaido (1977, 1983, 1984) and further pursued by several scholars (see Steedman, 1983; Boggio, 1980; Kuroki, 1983; Dumenil/Levy, 1983; Krause, 1983, 1984; Hosoda, 1985; Filippini, 1985).