Monte Carlo Simulation and Resampling Methods for Social Science

Monte Carlo Simulation and Resampling Methods for Social Science PDF Author: Thomas M. Carsey
Publisher: SAGE Publications
ISBN: 1483324923
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 304

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Book Description
Taking the topics of a quantitative methodology course and illustrating them through Monte Carlo simulation, this book examines abstract principles, such as bias, efficiency, and measures of uncertainty in an intuitive, visual way. Instead of thinking in the abstract about what would happen to a particular estimator "in repeated samples," the book uses simulation to actually create those repeated samples and summarize the results. The book includes basic examples appropriate for readers learning the material for the first time, as well as more advanced examples that a researcher might use to evaluate an estimator he or she was using in an actual research project. The book also covers a wide range of topics related to Monte Carlo simulation, such as resampling methods, simulations of substantive theory, simulation of quantities of interest (QI) from model results, and cross-validation. Complete R code from all examples is provided so readers can replicate every analysis presented using R.

Monte Carlo Simulation and Resampling Methods for Social Science

Monte Carlo Simulation and Resampling Methods for Social Science PDF Author: Thomas M. Carsey
Publisher: SAGE Publications
ISBN: 1483324923
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 304

Get Book Here

Book Description
Taking the topics of a quantitative methodology course and illustrating them through Monte Carlo simulation, this book examines abstract principles, such as bias, efficiency, and measures of uncertainty in an intuitive, visual way. Instead of thinking in the abstract about what would happen to a particular estimator "in repeated samples," the book uses simulation to actually create those repeated samples and summarize the results. The book includes basic examples appropriate for readers learning the material for the first time, as well as more advanced examples that a researcher might use to evaluate an estimator he or she was using in an actual research project. The book also covers a wide range of topics related to Monte Carlo simulation, such as resampling methods, simulations of substantive theory, simulation of quantities of interest (QI) from model results, and cross-validation. Complete R code from all examples is provided so readers can replicate every analysis presented using R.

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice PDF Author: Arnaud Doucet
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475734379
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 590

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Book Description
Monte Carlo methods are revolutionizing the on-line analysis of data in many fileds. They have made it possible to solve numerically many complex, non-standard problems that were previously intractable. This book presents the first comprehensive treatment of these techniques.

Feature Engineering and Selection

Feature Engineering and Selection PDF Author: Max Kuhn
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1351609467
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 266

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Book Description
The process of developing predictive models includes many stages. Most resources focus on the modeling algorithms but neglect other critical aspects of the modeling process. This book describes techniques for finding the best representations of predictors for modeling and for nding the best subset of predictors for improving model performance. A variety of example data sets are used to illustrate the techniques along with R programs for reproducing the results.

Monte Carlo Simulation

Monte Carlo Simulation PDF Author: Christopher Z. Mooney
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 9780803959439
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 116

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Book Description
Aimed at researchers across the social sciences, this book explains the logic behind the Monte Carlo simulation method and demonstrates its uses for social and behavioural research.

Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R

Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R PDF Author: Christian Robert
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1441915753
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 297

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Book Description
This book covers the main tools used in statistical simulation from a programmer’s point of view, explaining the R implementation of each simulation technique and providing the output for better understanding and comparison.

Introductory Econometrics

Introductory Econometrics PDF Author: Humberto Barreto
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521843195
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 810

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Book Description
This highly accessible and innovative text with supporting web site uses Excel (R) to teach the core concepts of econometrics without advanced mathematics. It enables students to use Monte Carlo simulations in order to understand the data generating process and sampling distribution. Intelligent repetition of concrete examples effectively conveys the properties of the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator and the nature of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation. Coverage includes omitted variables, binary response models, basic time series, and simultaneous equations. The authors teach students how to construct their own real-world data sets drawn from the internet, which they can analyze with Excel (R) or with other econometric software. The accompanying web site with text support can be found at www.wabash.edu/econometrics.

An Introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo

An Introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo PDF Author: Nicolas Chopin
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030478459
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 390

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Book Description
This book provides a general introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters. These methods have become a staple for the sequential analysis of data in such diverse fields as signal processing, epidemiology, machine learning, population ecology, quantitative finance, and robotics. The coverage is comprehensive, ranging from the underlying theory to computational implementation, methodology, and diverse applications in various areas of science. This is achieved by describing SMC algorithms as particular cases of a general framework, which involves concepts such as Feynman-Kac distributions, and tools such as importance sampling and resampling. This general framework is used consistently throughout the book. Extensive coverage is provided on sequential learning (filtering, smoothing) of state-space (hidden Markov) models, as this remains an important application of SMC methods. More recent applications, such as parameter estimation of these models (through e.g. particle Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques) and the simulation of challenging probability distributions (in e.g. Bayesian inference or rare-event problems), are also discussed. The book may be used either as a graduate text on Sequential Monte Carlo methods and state-space modeling, or as a general reference work on the area. Each chapter includes a set of exercises for self-study, a comprehensive bibliography, and a “Python corner,” which discusses the practical implementation of the methods covered. In addition, the book comes with an open source Python library, which implements all the algorithms described in the book, and contains all the programs that were used to perform the numerical experiments.

Mathematical Statistics with Resampling and R

Mathematical Statistics with Resampling and R PDF Author: Laura M. Chihara
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119416523
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 557

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Book Description
This thoroughly updated second edition combines the latest software applications with the benefits of modern resampling techniques Resampling helps students understand the meaning of sampling distributions, sampling variability, P-values, hypothesis tests, and confidence intervals. The second edition of Mathematical Statistics with Resampling and R combines modern resampling techniques and mathematical statistics. This book has been classroom-tested to ensure an accessible presentation, uses the powerful and flexible computer language R for data analysis and explores the benefits of modern resampling techniques. This book offers an introduction to permutation tests and bootstrap methods that can serve to motivate classical inference methods. The book strikes a balance between theory, computing, and applications, and the new edition explores additional topics including consulting, paired t test, ANOVA and Google Interview Questions. Throughout the book, new and updated case studies are included representing a diverse range of subjects such as flight delays, birth weights of babies, and telephone company repair times. These illustrate the relevance of the real-world applications of the material. This new edition: • Puts the focus on statistical consulting that emphasizes giving a client an understanding of data and goes beyond typical expectations • Presents new material on topics such as the paired t test, Fisher's Exact Test and the EM algorithm • Offers a new section on "Google Interview Questions" that illustrates statistical thinking • Provides a new chapter on ANOVA • Contains more exercises and updated case studies, data sets, and R code Written for undergraduate students in a mathematical statistics course as well as practitioners and researchers, the second edition of Mathematical Statistics with Resampling and R presents a revised and updated guide for applying the most current resampling techniques to mathematical statistics.

Nonparametric Monte Carlo Tests and Their Applications

Nonparametric Monte Carlo Tests and Their Applications PDF Author: Li-Xing Zhu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387290532
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 184

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Book Description
A fundamental issue in statistical analysis is testing the fit of a particular probability model to a set of observed data. Monte Carlo approximation to the null distribution of the test provides a convenient and powerful means of testing model fit. Nonparametric Monte Carlo Tests and Their Applications proposes a new Monte Carlo-based methodology to construct this type of approximation when the model is semistructured. When there are no nuisance parameters to be estimated, the nonparametric Monte Carlo test can exactly maintain the significance level, and when nuisance parameters exist, this method can allow the test to asymptotically maintain the level. The author addresses both applied and theoretical aspects of nonparametric Monte Carlo tests. The new methodology has been used for model checking in many fields of statistics, such as multivariate distribution theory, parametric and semiparametric regression models, multivariate regression models, varying-coefficient models with longitudinal data, heteroscedasticity, and homogeneity of covariance matrices. This book will be of interest to both practitioners and researchers investigating goodness-of-fit tests and resampling approximations. Every chapter of the book includes algorithms, simulations, and theoretical deductions. The prerequisites for a full appreciation of the book are a modest knowledge of mathematical statistics and limit theorems in probability/empirical process theory. The less mathematically sophisticated reader will find Chapters 1, 2 and 6 to be a comprehensible introduction on how and where the new method can apply and the rest of the book to be a valuable reference for Monte Carlo test approximation and goodness-of-fit tests. Lixing Zhu is Associate Professor of Statistics at the University of Hong Kong. He is a winner of the Humboldt Research Award at Alexander-von Humboldt Foundation of Germany and an elected Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. From the reviews: "These lecture notes discuss several topics in goodness-of-fit testing, a classical area in statistical analysis. ... The mathematical part contains detailed proofs of the theoretical results. Simulation studies illustrate the quality of the Monte Carlo approximation. ... this book constitutes a recommendable contribution to an active area of current research." Winfried Stute for Mathematical Reviews, Issue 2006 "...Overall, this is an interesting book, which gives a nice introduction to this new and specific field of resampling methods." Dongsheng Tu for Biometrics, September 2006

Monte Carlo Simulation and Resampling

Monte Carlo Simulation and Resampling PDF Author: Thomas M. Carsey
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781483319605
Category : Monte Carlo method
Languages : en
Pages : 293

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Book Description
Taking the topics of a quantitative methodology course and illustrating them through Monte Carlo simulation, this book examines abstract principles, such as bias, efficiency, and measures of uncertainty in an intuitive, visual way. Instead of thinking in the abstract about what would happen to a particular estimator 'in repeated samples', the book uses simulation to actually create those repeated samples and summarise the results.