Modeling Decisions PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Modeling Decisions PDF full book. Access full book title Modeling Decisions by Vicenç Torra. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Vicenç Torra
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540687912
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 284
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book covers the underlying science and application issues related to aggregation operators, focusing on tools used in practical applications that involve numerical information. It will thus be required reading for engineers, statisticians and computer scientists of all kinds. Starting with detailed introductions to information fusion and integration, measurement and probability theory, fuzzy sets, and functional equations, the authors then cover numerous topics in detail, including the synthesis of judgements, fuzzy measures, weighted means and fuzzy integrals.
Author: Vicenç Torra
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540687912
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 284
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book covers the underlying science and application issues related to aggregation operators, focusing on tools used in practical applications that involve numerical information. It will thus be required reading for engineers, statisticians and computer scientists of all kinds. Starting with detailed introductions to information fusion and integration, measurement and probability theory, fuzzy sets, and functional equations, the authors then cover numerous topics in detail, including the synthesis of judgements, fuzzy measures, weighted means and fuzzy integrals.
Author: Andrew Briggs
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191004952
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 269
Get Book Here
Book Description
In financially constrained health systems across the world, increasing emphasis is being placed on the ability to demonstrate that health care interventions are not only effective, but also cost-effective. This book deals with decision modelling techniques that can be used to estimate the value for money of various interventions including medical devices, surgical procedures, diagnostic technologies, and pharmaceuticals. Particular emphasis is placed on the importance of the appropriate representation of uncertainty in the evaluative process and the implication this uncertainty has for decision making and the need for future research. This highly practical guide takes the reader through the key principles and approaches of modelling techniques. It begins with the basics of constructing different forms of the model, the population of the model with input parameter estimates, analysis of the results, and progression to the holistic view of models as a valuable tool for informing future research exercises. Case studies and exercises are supported with online templates and solutions. This book will help analysts understand the contribution of decision-analytic modelling to the evaluation of health care programmes. ABOUT THE SERIES: Economic evaluation of health interventions is a growing specialist field, and this series of practical handbooks will tackle, in-depth, topics superficially addressed in more general health economics books. Each volume will include illustrative material, case histories and worked examples to encourage the reader to apply the methods discussed, with supporting material provided online. This series is aimed at health economists in academia, the pharmaceutical industry and the health sector, those on advanced health economics courses, and health researchers in associated fields.
Author: Roger B. Myerson
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262355604
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 569
Get Book Here
Book Description
An introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risk and economic decisions, using spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty. This textbook offers an introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risks and economic decisions. It takes a learn-by-doing approach, teaching the student to use spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty and to analyze the effect of such uncertainty on an economic decision. Students in applied business and economics can more easily grasp difficult analytical methods with Excel spreadsheets. The book covers the basic ideas of probability, how to simulate random variables, and how to compute conditional probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. The first four chapters use a large collection of probability distributions to simulate a range of problems involving worker efficiency, market entry, oil exploration, repeated investment, and subjective belief elicitation. The book then covers correlation and multivariate normal random variables; conditional expectation; optimization of decision variables, with discussions of the strategic value of information, decision trees, game theory, and adverse selection; risk sharing and finance; dynamic models of growth; dynamic models of arrivals; and model risk. New material in this second edition includes two new chapters on additional dynamic models and model risk; new sections in every chapter; many new end-of-chapter exercises; and coverage of such topics as simulation model workflow, models of probabilistic electoral forecasting, and real options. The book comes equipped with Simtools, an open-source, free software used througout the book, which allows students to conduct Monte Carlo simulations seamlessly in Excel.
Author: Vicenc Torra
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540225552
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 340
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the First International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, MDAI 2004, held in Barcelona, Spain in August 2004. The 26 revised full papers presented together with 4 invited papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 53 submissions. The papers are devoted to topics like models for information fusion, aggregation operators, model selection, fuzzy integrals, fuzzy sets, fuzzy multisets, neural learning, rule-based classification systems, fuzzy association rules, algorithmic learning, diagnosis, text categorization, unsupervised aggregation, the Choquet integral, group decision making, preference relations, vague knowledge processing, etc.
Author: James Taylor
Publisher: Jtonedm
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
Organizations make thousands of automated, operational decisions every week. How well they make these decisions drives profitability, reputation and customer satisfaction. Decision modeling helps them understand, automate and improve them
Author: Vicenç Torra
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031334981
Category : Artificial intelligence
Languages : en
Pages : 274
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, MDAI 2023, held in Umeå, Sweden, during June19–22,2023. The 17 papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 28 submissions. Additionally, 1 invited paper were included. The papers discuss different facets of decision processes in a broad sense and present research in data science, data privacy, aggregation functions, human decision making, graphs and social networks, and recommendation and search. The papers are organized in the following topical sections: Decision making and uncertainty; Machine Learning and data science; and Data privacy.
Author: Yasuo Narukawa
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3540882693
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 247
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, MDAI 2008, held in Sabadell, Spain, in October 2008. The 19 revised full papers presented together with 2 invited lectures were thoroughly reviewed and selected from 43 submissions; they are devoted to theory and tools for modeling decisions, as well as applications that encompass decision making processes and information fusion techniques. The papers are organized in topical sections on aggregation operators, decision making, clustering and similarity, computational intelligence and optimization, as well as data privacy.
Author: Vincenc Torra
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540327800
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 384
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Third International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, MDAI 2006, held in Tarragona, Spain, in April 2006. The 31 revised full papers presented together with 4 invited lectures were thoroughly reviewed and selected from 97 submissions. The papers are devoted to theory and tools for modeling decisions, as well as applications that encompass decision making processes and information fusion techniques.
Author: Dimitris Bertsimas
Publisher: Ingram
ISBN: 9780975914601
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 530
Get Book Here
Book Description
Combines topics from two traditionally distinct quantitative subjects, probability/statistics and management science/optimization, in a unified treatment of quantitative methods and models for management. Stresses those fundamental concepts that are most important for the practical analysis of management decisions: modeling and evaluating uncertainty explicitly, understanding the dynamic nature of decision-making, using historical data and limited information effectively, simulating complex systems, and allocating scarce resources optimally.
Author: Peter S.H. Leeflang
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 146154050X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 642
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book is about marketing models and the process of model building. Our primary focus is on models that can be used by managers to support marketing decisions. It has long been known that simple models usually outperform judgments in predicting outcomes in a wide variety of contexts. For example, models of judgments tend to provide better forecasts of the outcomes than the judgments themselves (because the model eliminates the noise in judgments). And since judgments never fully reflect the complexities of the many forces that influence outcomes, it is easy to see why models of actual outcomes should be very attractive to (marketing) decision makers. Thus, appropriately constructed models can provide insights about structural relations between marketing variables. Since models explicate the relations, both the process of model building and the model that ultimately results can improve the quality of marketing decisions. Managers often use rules of thumb for decisions. For example, a brand manager will have defined a specific set of alternative brands as the competitive set within a product category. Usually this set is based on perceived similarities in brand characteristics, advertising messages, etc. If a new marketing initiative occurs for one of the other brands, the brand manager will have a strong inclination to react. The reaction is partly based on the manager's desire to maintain some competitive parity in the mar keting variables.
