Measuring the Risk of default in six highly indebted countries PDF Download
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Author: Marc Chesney
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Debt relief
Languages : en
Pages : 27
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Book Description
The risk that the debtor country will default on its external debt may be significantly decreased by a debt-reduction operation, by a reduction in international interest rates, and by changes in the country's willingness to pay.
Author: Marc Chesney
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Debt relief
Languages : en
Pages : 27
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Book Description
The risk that the debtor country will default on its external debt may be significantly decreased by a debt-reduction operation, by a reduction in international interest rates, and by changes in the country's willingness to pay.
Author: Mrs.Lynn Aylward
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451979894
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48
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Book Description
While the literature on external debt repayment performance by sovereign debtors is extensive, repayment performance vis-à-vis the International Monetary Fund has not been dealt with separately. Given differences between the Fund and other providers of financial resources, this paper considers whether it is possible to distinguish through logit analysis between the countries that make timely repayments to the Fund and those that become overdue. The paper finds that the inclusion of Fund-specific financial variables and a small number of macroeconomic variables yields a highly significant econometric model of the probability of a country incurring Fund arrears.
Author: Thordur Jonasson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484350545
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 133
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Book Description
This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and attain desired portfolio structures. Also, the paper outlines how LMOs could be integrated into a debt management strategy and serve as policy tools to reduce potential debt portfolio vulnerabilities. Further, the paper presents operational issues faced by debt managers, including the need to develop a risk management framework, interactions of debt management with fiscal policy, monetary policy, and financial stability, as well as efficient government bond markets.
Author: Mr.Udaibir S. Das
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475505531
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 128
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Book Description
This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering the six decades from 1950–2010; it includes 186 debt exchanges with foreign banks and bondholders, and 447 bilateral debt agreements with the Paris Club. We present new stylized facts on the outcome and process of debt restructurings, including on the size of haircuts, creditor participation, and legal aspects. In addition, the paper summarizes the relevant empirical literature, analyzes recent restructuring episodes, and discusses ongoing debates on crisis resolution mechanisms, credit default swaps, and the role of collective action clauses.
Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464815453
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 403
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Book Description
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
Author:
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 9610030157
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 51
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Book Description
Author: Michael Pettis
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 9780195143300
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 272
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Book Description
This book presents a radically different argument for what has caused, and likely will continue to cause, the collapse of emerging market economies. Pettis combines the insights of economic history, economic theory, and finance theory into a comprehensive model for understanding sovereign liability management and the causes of financial crises. He examines recent financial crises in emerging market countries along with the history of international lending since the 1820s to argue that the process of international lending is driven primarily by external events and not by local politics and/or economic policies. He draws out the corporate finance implications of this approach to argue that most of the current analyses of the recent financial crises suffered by Latin America, Asia, and Russia have largely missed the point. He then develops a sovereign finance model, analogous to corporate finance, to understand the capital structure needs of emerging market countries. Using this model, he finally puts into perspective the recent crises, a new sovereign liability management theory, the implications of the model for sovereign debt restructurings, and the new financial architecture. Bridging the gap between finance specialists and traders, on the one hand, and economists and policy-makers on the other, The Volatility Machine is critical reading for anyone interested in where the international economy is going over the next several years.
Author: Neil E. Moyer
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Ferrocarriles
Languages : en
Pages : 78
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Book Description
Changing transport demands and growing competition from trucks, autos, and air transport are forcing the monolithic railway to change. Options for change must be adapted to different national and other circumstances, with a suitable tradeoff between efficiency of production and effectiveness in meeting market needs.
Author: Sylvia Saborío Alvarado
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
Author: Andrew H. W. Stone
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Business enterprises
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
Firm-level surveys reveal information central to formulating policy advice and projects to promote private sector development, often challenging conventional wisdom. This common sense guide suggests how to do surveys well.
