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Author: Lin Gao
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
We identify a strong presence of sentiment exposure in commodity futures returns. Sentiment is able to provide additional explanatory power for comovement among commodity futures beyond the macro- and equity-related sources. Commodity futures with low open interest growth, high volatilities, low momentum, or low futures basis are more sensitive to change in sentiment. Similar to Baker and Wurgler (2006), we construct a market sentiment index by Partial Least Squares regressions (PLS) with non-return based stock market proxies, in particular higher moments of the option implied return distribution. Moreover, our sentiment index can be built on a daily basis.
Author: Lin Gao
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
We identify a strong presence of sentiment exposure in commodity futures returns. Sentiment is able to provide additional explanatory power for comovement among commodity futures beyond the macro- and equity-related sources. Commodity futures with low open interest growth, high volatilities, low momentum, or low futures basis are more sensitive to change in sentiment. Similar to Baker and Wurgler (2006), we construct a market sentiment index by Partial Least Squares regressions (PLS) with non-return based stock market proxies, in particular higher moments of the option implied return distribution. Moreover, our sentiment index can be built on a daily basis.
Author: David Dietachmair
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Taking into account the growing participation of boundedly rational speculators and financial investors in commodity futures markets and the high relevance of price developments for different institutions and the whole macro economy, the main objective of this thesis is to provide knowledge about whether the sentiment of commodity-related media articles is able to influence copper and crude oil futures returns. Regarding this question, robust evidence is found that a shock in news sentiment induces a copper and crude oil price pattern characterized by a statistically significant and economic meaningful intraday overreaction followed by a statistically significant and economic meaningful reversal. Although most of the news sentiment measures induce such price patterns, the strength of the intraday overreaction and subsequent reversal depends on the news source. In addition, the intraday impact as well as the overreaction is substantially stronger on trading days where information uncertainty is low. These results put pressure on the validity of short-term market efficiency, but they may be consistent with longer-term efficiency, because the triggered overreaction reverses and the prices may reach its new fundamental value after a few trading days.
Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470293209
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 986
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Book Description
Filled with a comprehensive collection of information from experts in the commodity investment industry, this detailed guide shows readers how to successfully incorporate commodities into their portfolios. Created with both the professional and individual investor in mind, The Handbook of Commodity Investments covers a wide range of issues, including the risk and return of commodities, diversification benefits, risk management, macroeconomic determinants of commodity investments, and commodity trading advisors. Starting with the basics of commodity investments and moving to more complex topics, such as performance measurement, asset pricing, and value at risk, The Handbook of Commodity Investments is a reliable resource for anyone who needs to understand this dynamic market.
Author: Mark J. S. Keenan
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111960382X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 294
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Book Description
The definitive book on Positioning Analysis — a powerful and sophisticated framework to help traders, investors and risk managers better understand commodity markets Positioning Analysis is a powerful framework to better understand commodity price dynamics, risk, and sentiment. It indicates what each category of trader is doing—what they are trading, how much they are trading and how they might behave under a variety of different circumstances. It is essential in isolating specific types of flow patterns, defining behavioral responses, measuring shifts in sentiment, and developing tools for better risk management. Advanced Positioning, Flow and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets explains the fundamentals of Positioning Analysis and presents new concepts in Commodity Positioning Analytics. This invaluable guide helps readers recognize how certain types of positioning patterns can be used to develop models, indicators, and analyses that can be used to enhance performance. This updated second edition contains substantial new material, including analytics based on the analysis of flow, the decomposition of trading flows, trading activity in the Chinese commodity markets, and the inclusion of Newsflow into Positioning Analysis. Author: Mark J S Keenan, also covers the structure of positioning data, performance attribution of speculators, sentiment analysis and the identification of price risks and behavioral patterns that can be used to generate trading signals.. This must-have resource: Offers intuitive and accessible guidance to commodity market participants and risk managers at various levels and diverse areas of the market Provides a wide range of analytics that can be used directly or integrated into a variety of different commodity-related trading, investment, and risk management programs Features an online platform comprising a wide range of customizable, regularly-updated analytical tools Contains an abundance of exceptional graphics, charts, and illustrations Includes easy-to-follow instructions for building analytics. Advanced Positioning, Flow and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets: Bridging Fundamental and Technical Analysis, 2nd Edition is an indispensable source of information for all types of commodity traders, investors, and speculators, as well as investors in other asset classes who look to the commodity markets for price information.
Author: Harold Kent Baker
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0190656018
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 681
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Book Description
Commodities: Markets, Performance, and Strategies provides a comprehensive look at commodity markets along many dimensions. Its coverage includes physical commodity fundamentals, financial products and strategies for commodity exposure, and current issues relating to commodities. Readers interested in commodity market basics or more nuanced details related to commodity investment can benefit.
Author: Mary B. Holihan
Publisher: Atlantic Publishing Company
ISBN: 1601380038
Category : Commodity exchanges
Languages : en
Pages : 290
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Book Description
Many people have become very rich in the commodity markets. It is one of a few investment areas where an individual with limited capital can make extraordinary profits in a relatively short period of time. Commodities are agreements to buy and sell virtually anything that is harvested except onions. (A 1958 federal law prohibits trading onions.) Such goods are raw or partly refined materials whose value mainly reflects the costs of finding or gathering them. They are traded for processing or incorporation into final goods. Examples are crude oil, cotton, rubber, grains, and metals and other minerals. Since it is impractical to transport these bulky, often perishable materials, what is actually traded are commodities futures contracts, or options, that are agreements to buy or sell at an agreed upon price on a specific date. Trading in futures and options is speculative in nature and there is a substantial risk of loss. These investments are not suitable for everyone, and only risk capital should be used. As with many other business segments, the Internet and technology have opened up this attractive marketplace to a new breed of individual investors and speculators working part-time. You and I can now stand on an even playing field with the largest banks, wealthiest individuals, and trading institutions from the comfort of home. Commodity trading can provide you with very high, secure rate of return, in some cases as high as 12%, 18%, 24%, or even 300% or more per year. If performed correctly, commodity trading will far outpace all other investments. The key is to know how to perform this process correctly. This all sounds great, but what is the catch? There really is none, except you must know what you are doing! This book will provide everything you need to know to get you started generating high investment returns from start to finish. In this easy to read and comprehensive book you will learn what commodity trading and futures are, how to set up your account online, how to choose software to use in trading, how to invest in commodities, evaluate their performance, and handle fees and taxes. This book explores numbers of investing strategies and tactics, charting techniques, and position trading. You will pick up the language of a trader so that you recognize terminology and know how to use leverage, call options, put options, advancing and declining issues, advancing and declining volume, the Commodity Channel Index (CCI), and commodity charts, among others. Like the pros who have been trading commodities for years, you will learn how to pinpoint entry, exits, and targets for your trades, and use insider secrets to help you double or even triple your investment all while avoiding the common traps and pitfalls. Aside from learning the basics of commodity and futures trading you will be privy to their secrets and proven successful ideas. Instruction is great, but advice from experts is even better, and the experts chronicled in this book are earning millions. If you are interested in learning essentially everything there is to know about commodity and futures investing in addition to hundreds of tactics, tricks, and tips on how to earn enormous profits in commodity trading while controlling your investments, then this book is for you. Atlantic Publishing is a small, independent publishing company based in Ocala, Florida. Founded over twenty years ago in the company presidentâe(tm)s garage, Atlantic Publishing has grown to become a renowned resource for non-fiction books. Today, over 450 titles are in print covering subjects such as small business, healthy living, management, finance, careers, and real estate. Atlantic Publishing prides itself on producing award winning, high-quality manuals that give readers up-to-date, pertinent information, real-world examples, and case studies with expert advice. Every book has resources, contact information, and web sites of the products or companies discussed.
Author: Adam Dunsby
Publisher: Wiley
ISBN: 0470262648
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 320
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Book Description
Straightforward and accessible, Commodity Investing balances academic-quality analysis with clear, compelling prose, and provides those interested in this fast-growing field with unparalleled investment insights. Page by page, you’ll acquire a deeper understanding of this discipline and discover how to make more informed decisions when investing in such a dynamic environment. With this book as your guide, you’ll benefit from the lessons of experienced practitioners and quickly come to grips with what it takes to make it in today’s commodity market.
Author: R. Earl Hadady
Publisher: Wiley
ISBN: 9780471363538
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Measure market sentiment and predict market trends. Contrary opinion is the opposite opinion of the sentiment held by the majority. If eighty percent of traders are bearish then a bullish view would be a contrary opinion. As developer of the Bullish Consensus, R. Earl Hadady has fine-tuned sentiment, measuring the opinion of a specific majority, to a calculable figure. Traders can now develop a winning trading plan around the Bullish Consensus and buy or sell as warranted by its numbers. Examines in-depth the workings of the futures markets and how market sentiment affects those markets. * Demonstrates that the trend of the market is actually a reflection of the trend of market sentiment Earl Hadady (Glendora, CA) is the author of the first edition of Contrary Opinion: How to Use it for Profit in Trading Commodity Futures. Mr. Hadady is a renowned expert in contrary opinion.
Author: Simon Scholl
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3656541388
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 87
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Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,0, University of Edinburgh, language: English, abstract: Since the prices in the agricultural commodity market surged in 2008 and 2011 many articles investigated these turbulences from different perspectives. However, neither fundamental factors nor increased financial speculation provides a completely satisfactory explanation on this complex topic. Our study therefore tries to capture all these factors in a single approach and investigates the impact of investor sentiment on wheat futures returns. We construct an investor sentiment index out of monthly data from the period 2000 to 2013 by conducting a principal component analysis (PCA) with a set of well-established sentiment proxies. In particular, we employ three equity market proxies suggested by Baker & Wurgler (2007) and three wheat market specific sentiment proxies, in order to obtain a tailored investor sentiment index. The sentiment index is statistical significant at the 95 per cent significance level and predicts about 2.45 per cent of the total variation in the subsequent month wheat futures returns. The results are also robust after controlling for fundamental factors in an extended multiple linear regression analysis. Our sentiment index therefore proves that investor sentiment impacts wheat futures returns, although further research is needed to verify this relationship.
Author: Joel Robbins
Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 396
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Book Description
