Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

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Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

Get Book Here

Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

Linear Or Nonlinear Utility Functions in Logit Models?

Linear Or Nonlinear Utility Functions in Logit Models? PDF Author: Benedikt Mandel
Publisher: Centre for Research on Transportation = Centre de recherche sur les transports
ISBN:
Category : Choice of transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description
The paper shows that nonlinearity of the representative utility functions of the Logit model applied to an intercity mode choice model implied the presence of asymmetry and of thresholds in the response curve, as well as results that had more reasonable properties (diminishing marginal values of time saving, elasticities, and values of time that differed among the modes), and yielded very different high speed rail market shares for Germany than results obtained with the usual linear utility functions.

Political Complexity

Political Complexity PDF Author: Diana Eva-Ann Richards
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
ISBN: 0472026992
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 243

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Book Description
This collection illustrates how nonlinear methods can provide new insight into existing political questions. Politics is often characterized by unexpected consequences, sensitivity to small changes, non-equilibrium dynamics, the emergence of patterns, and sudden changes in outcomes. These are all attributes of nonlinear processes. Bringing together a variety of recent nonlinear modeling approaches, Political Complexity explores what happens when political actors operate in a dynamic and complex social environment. The contributions to this collection are organized in terms of three branches within non-linear theory: spatial nonlinearity, temporal nonlinearity, and functional nonlinearity. The chapters advance beyond analogy towards developing rigorous nonlinear models capable of empirical verification. Contributions to this volume cover the areas of landscape theory, computational modeling, time series analysis, cross-sectional analysis, dynamic game theory, duration models, neural networks, and hidden Markov models. They address such questions as: Is international cooperation necessary for effective economic sanctions? Is it possible to predict alliance configurations in the international system? Is a bureaucratic agency harder to remove as time goes on? Is it possible to predict which international crises will result in war and which will avoid conflict? Is decentralization in a federal system always beneficial? The contributors are David Bearce, Scott Bennett, Chris Brooks, Daniel Carpenter, Melvin Hinich, Ken Kollman, Susanne Lohmann, Walter Mebane, John Miller, Robert E. Molyneaux, Scott Page, Philip Schrodt, and Langche Zeng. This book will be of interest to a broad group of political scientists, ranging from those who employ nonlinear methods to those curious to see what it is about. Scholars in other social science disciplines will find the new methodologies insightful for their own substantive work. Diana Richards is Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Minnesota.

The Econometrics of Major Transport Infrastructures

The Econometrics of Major Transport Infrastructures PDF Author: Emile Quinet
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1349139777
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 215

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Book Description
Major transport infrastructures are increasingly in the news as both the engineering and financing possibilities come together. However, these projects have also demonstrated the inadequacy of most existing approaches to forecasting their impacts and their overall evaluation. This collection of papers from a conference organised by the Applied Econometric Association represents a state of the art look at issues of forecasting traffic, developing pricing strategies and estimating the impacts in a set of papers by leading authorities from Europe, North America and Japan.

Neural Networks in Transport Applications

Neural Networks in Transport Applications PDF Author: Veli Himanen
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 0429817649
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 367

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Book Description
First published in 1998, this volume enters the debate on human behaviour in the form of neural networks in a spatial context. As most transportation research techniques had been developed in the 1960s and 1970s, these authors sought to bring that research into the modern era. Featuring 17 articles from 37 contributors, it begins with an overview and proceeds to examine aspects of travel behaviour, traffic flow and traffic management.

Applied Choice Analysis

Applied Choice Analysis PDF Author: David A. Hensher
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107092647
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1219

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Book Description
A fully updated second edition of this popular introduction to applied choice analysis, written for graduate students, researchers, professionals and consultants.

Operations Research and Decision Aid Methodologies in Traffic and Transportation Management

Operations Research and Decision Aid Methodologies in Traffic and Transportation Management PDF Author: Martine Labbe
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662035146
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 356

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Book Description
Every one relies on some kind of transportation system nearly every day. Go ing to work, shopping, dropping children at school and many other cultural or social activities imply leaving home, and using some form of transportation, which we expect tobe eflicient and reliable. Of course, efliciency and reliabil ity do not occur by chance, but require careful and often relatively complex planning by transportation system managers, both in the public and private sectors. It has long been recognized that mathematics, and, more specifically, op erations research is an important tool of this planning process. However, the range of skills required to cover both fields, even partially, is very large, and the opportunities to gather people with this very diverse expertise are too few. The organization of the NATO Advanced Studies Institute on "Opera tions Research and Decision Aid Methodologies in Traflic and Transportation Management" in March 1997 in Balatonfüred, Hungary, was therefore more than welcome and the group of people that gathered for a very studious two weeks on the shores of the beautiful lake Balaton did really enjoy the truly multidisciplinary and high scientific level of the meeting. The purpose of the present volume is to report, in a chronological order, the various questions that were considered by the lecturers and the' students at the institute. After a general introduction to the topic, the first week focused on issues related to traflic modeling, mostly in an urban context.

Urban and Regional Transportation Modeling

Urban and Regional Transportation Modeling PDF Author: Der-Horng Lee
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 9781845420536
Category : Transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 420

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Book Description
'This collection in honor of David Boyce contains genuinely interesting and quality papers that reflect the diversity of interests of the honoree. David Boyce has made a number of significant contributions at the interface of transportation and regional science. He has been a pioneer of injecting rigor and consistency into spatial analysis. The papers here both reflect the ethos of this copious body of analysis and take it further in extensions and applications. It will prove to be an enduring source of ideas and insight.' - Kenneth Button, George Mason University, US

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521017152
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 346

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Book Description
Table of contents

Discrete Choice Analysis

Discrete Choice Analysis PDF Author: Moshe Ben-Akiva
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262536404
Category : Architecture
Languages : en
Pages : 414

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Book Description
Discrete Choice Analysis presents these results in such a way that they are fully accessible to the range of students and professionals who are involved in modelling demand and consumer behavior in general or specifically in transportation - whether from the point of view of the design of transit systems, urban and transport economics, public policy, operations research, or systems management and planning. The methods of discrete choice analysis and their applications in the modelling of transportation systems constitute a comparatively new field that has largely evolved over the past 15 years. Since its inception, however, the field has developed rapidly, and this is the first text and reference work to cover the material systematically, bringing together the scattered and often inaccessible results for graduate students and professionals. Discrete Choice Analysis presents these results in such a way that they are fully accessible to the range of students and professionals who are involved in modelling demand and consumer behavior in general or specifically in transportation - whether from the point of view of the design of transit systems, urban and transport economics, public policy, operations research, or systems management and planning. The introductory chapter presents the background of discrete choice analysis and context of transportation demand forecasting. Subsequent chapters cover, among other topics, the theories of individual choice behavior, binary and multinomial choice models, aggregate forecasting techniques, estimation methods, tests used in the process of model development, sampling theory, the nested-logit model, and systems of models. Discrete Choice Analysis is ninth in the MIT Press Series in Transportation Studies, edited by Marvin Manheim.