Linear and Nonlinear Relationship Between Stock Prices and Dividends

Linear and Nonlinear Relationship Between Stock Prices and Dividends PDF Author: Chi-Wei Su
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783838315256
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 88

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Book Description
This study investigates the relationship between stock prices and dividends in Taiwan stock market during the June 1991 to February 2005 period. We employ linear, nonlinear and panel techniques which provide a much stronger test to examine the relationship between stock prices and dividends. Our results suggest that there is a long-run nonlinear relationship between stock prices and dividends. We found that present value model is more suitable with time-varying expected returns provides an empirically valid description of Taiwan stock price behavior in the long-run, while short-run deviations of actual stock prices from present value prices are driven by rational bubbles. Compared to conventional cointegration approach this technique produces more convincing evidence of the time series properties of the dividend and price, the momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) method is flexible enough to capture non-linear adjustment patterns and support the existence of stock price increases relative to fundamentals in Taiwan stock market.

Linear and Nonlinear Relationship Between Stock Prices and Dividends

Linear and Nonlinear Relationship Between Stock Prices and Dividends PDF Author: Chi-Wei Su
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783838315256
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 88

Get Book Here

Book Description
This study investigates the relationship between stock prices and dividends in Taiwan stock market during the June 1991 to February 2005 period. We employ linear, nonlinear and panel techniques which provide a much stronger test to examine the relationship between stock prices and dividends. Our results suggest that there is a long-run nonlinear relationship between stock prices and dividends. We found that present value model is more suitable with time-varying expected returns provides an empirically valid description of Taiwan stock price behavior in the long-run, while short-run deviations of actual stock prices from present value prices are driven by rational bubbles. Compared to conventional cointegration approach this technique produces more convincing evidence of the time series properties of the dividend and price, the momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) method is flexible enough to capture non-linear adjustment patterns and support the existence of stock price increases relative to fundamentals in Taiwan stock market.

Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance

Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance PDF Author: Philip Hans Franses
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521770416
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 299

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Book Description
This 2000 volume reviews non-linear time series models, and their applications to financial markets.

Revisiting Non-Linear Dividend Yield Dynamics and Returns Predictability

Revisiting Non-Linear Dividend Yield Dynamics and Returns Predictability PDF Author: David G. McMillan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28

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Book Description
Since the bubble of the late 1990's the dividend yield appears non-stationary indicating the breakdown of the equilibrium relationship between prices and dividends. Two lines of research have developed in order to explain this apparent breakdown. First, that the dividend yield is better characterised as a non-linear process and second, that it is subject to mean level shifts. This paper jointly models both of these characteristics by allowing non-linear reversion to a changing mean level. Results support stationarity of this model for eight international dividend yield series. This model is than applied to the forecast of monthly stock returns. Evidence supports our time-varying non-linear model over linear alternatives, particularly so on the basis of an out-of-sample R-squared measure and a trading rule exercise. More detailed examination of the trading rule measure suggests that investors could obtain positive returns, as the model forecasts do not imply excessive trading such that costs would not outweigh returns. Finally, the superior performance of the non-linear model largely arises from its ability to forecast negative returns, whereas linear models are unable to do.

Fuzzy Sets in Management, Economics, and Marketing

Fuzzy Sets in Management, Economics, and Marketing PDF Author: Constantin Zopounidis
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9810247532
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 284

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Book Description
The rapid changes that have taken place globally on the economic, social and business fronts characterized the 20th century. The magnitude of these changes has formed an extremely complex and unpredictable decision-making framework, which is difficult to model through traditional approaches. The main purpose of this book is to present the most recent advances in the development of innovative techniques for managing the uncertainty that prevails in the global economic and management environments. These techniques originate mainly from fuzzy sets theory. However, the book also explores the integration of fuzzy sets with other decision support and modeling disciplines, such as multicriteria decision aid, neural networks, genetic algorithms, machine learning, chaos theory, etc. The presentation of the advances in these fields and their real world applications adds a new perspective to the broad fields of management science and economics.

International Review of Economics & Finance

International Review of Economics & Finance PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 556

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Book Description


Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips

Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips PDF Author: Thomas B. Fomby
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1784411825
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 772

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Book Description
This volume honors Professor Peter C.B. Phillips' many contributions to the field of econometrics. The topics include non-stationary time series, panel models, financial econometrics, predictive tests, IV estimation and inference, difference-in-difference regressions, stochastic dominance techniques, and information matrix testing.

Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models

Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models PDF Author: Jun Ma
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461480604
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 308

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Book Description
Nonlinear models have been used extensively in the areas of economics and finance. Recent literature on the topic has shown that a large number of series exhibit nonlinear dynamics as opposed to the alternative--linear dynamics. Incorporating these concepts involves deriving and estimating nonlinear time series models, and these have typically taken the form of Threshold Autoregression (TAR) models, Exponential Smooth Transition (ESTAR) models, and Markov Switching (MS) models, among several others. This edited volume provides a timely overview of nonlinear estimation techniques, offering new methods and insights into nonlinear time series analysis. It features cutting-edge research from leading academics in economics, finance, and business management, and will focus on such topics as Zero-Information-Limit-Conditions, using Markov Switching Models to analyze economics series, and how best to distinguish between competing nonlinear models. Principles and techniques in this book will appeal to econometricians, finance professors teaching quantitative finance, researchers, and graduate students interested in learning how to apply advances in nonlinear time series modeling to solve complex problems in economics and finance.

Encyclopedia of Finance

Encyclopedia of Finance PDF Author: Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030912310
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 2746

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Book Description
The Encyclopedia of Finance comprehensively covers the broad spectrum of terms and topics relating finance from asset pricing models to option pricing models to risk management and beyond. This third edition is comprised of over 1,300 individual definitions, chapters, appendices and is the most comprehensive and up-to-date resource in the field, integrating the most current terminology, research, theory, and practical applications. It includes 200 new terms and essays; 25 new chapters and four new appendices. Showcasing contributions from an international array of experts, the revised edition of this major reference work is unparalleled in the breadth and depth of its coverage.

International Financial Markets

International Financial Markets PDF Author: Julien Chevallier
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351669206
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 381

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Book Description
This book provides an up-to-date series of advanced chapters on applied financial econometric techniques pertaining the various fields of commodities finance, mathematics & stochastics, international macroeconomics and financial econometrics. International Financial Markets: Volume I provides a key repository on the current state of knowledge, the latest debates and recent literature on international financial markets. Against the background of the "financialization of commodities" since the 2008 sub-primes crisis, section one contains recent contributions on commodity and financial markets, pushing the frontiers of applied econometrics techniques. The second section is devoted to exchange rate and current account dynamics in an environment characterized by large global imbalances. Part three examines the latest research in the field of meta-analysis in economics and finance. This book will be useful to students and researchers in applied econometrics; academics and students seeking convenient access to an unfamiliar area. It will also be of great interest established researchers seeking a single repository on the current state of knowledge, current debates and relevant literature.

Essays on the Relationship Between Stock Proces, Dividends and Accounting Earnings

Essays on the Relationship Between Stock Proces, Dividends and Accounting Earnings PDF Author: Michael Constas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporate profits
Languages : en
Pages : 320

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Book Description