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Author: Gary A. Klein
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 026225834X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 355
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Book Description
An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble—and why experience can’t be replaced by rules, procedures, or analytical methods In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines—gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete—but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples—ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O’Brian’s Master and Commander novels—to make his point. All these decision makers saw things that others didn’t. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything. “I know of no one who combines theory and observation—intellectual rigor and painstaking observation of the real world—so brilliantly and gracefully as Gary Klein.” —Malcolm Gladwell, author of Outliers and Blink
Author: Gary A. Klein
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 026225834X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 355
Get Book Here
Book Description
An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble—and why experience can’t be replaced by rules, procedures, or analytical methods In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines—gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete—but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples—ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O’Brian’s Master and Commander novels—to make his point. All these decision makers saw things that others didn’t. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything. “I know of no one who combines theory and observation—intellectual rigor and painstaking observation of the real world—so brilliantly and gracefully as Gary Klein.” —Malcolm Gladwell, author of Outliers and Blink
Author: Jennifer Boothroyd
Publisher: Lerner Digital ™
ISBN: 151246337X
Category : Juvenile Nonfiction
Languages : en
Pages : 24
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Book Description
Audisee® eBooks with Audio combine professional narration and text highlighting for an engaging read aloud experience! Young readers will learn how shadows are made with light in this accessible, photo-filled book. Simple text explains different kinds of shadows and teaches students how they can make their own shadows. Vibrant photos bring basic science concepts to life and encourage kids to explore the shadows they see every day.
Author: Beth Dykstra Van Meeteren
Publisher: Teachers College Press
ISBN: 0807766925
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 161
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Book Description
Children are intrigued by switches that power a light source and by items that reflect light and sparkle, and they take notice of personal shadows cast on the playground. An understanding of light and shadow is crucial to many STEM fields, including astronomy, biology, engineering, architecture, and more. This book shows teachers how to engage children (ages 3-8 ) with light and shadow in a playful way, building an early foundation for the later, more complex study of this phenomena and, ultimately, for children's interest in professions within the STEM fields. The text offers guidance for arranging the physical environment of classrooms, integrating literacy learning and investigations, and building partnerships with administrators. Each volume in the STEM for Our Youngest Learners Series includes examples of educators and children engaging in inquiry learning, guidance for selecting materials and arranging the learning environment, modifications and accommodations for diverse learners, support for establishing adult learning communities, and more.
Author: Jayne Ann Krentz
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 9780515136180
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 390
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Book Description
Zoe Luce is a successful interior designer in the Arizona town of Whispering Springs who's developed an unusual career specialty-helping recently divorced clients redesign their homes, to help them forget the past and start anew. But Zoe knows that some things can't be covered up with a coat of paint. And when she senses that one of her clients may be hiding a dark secret, she enlists P.I. Ethan Truax to find the truth. Working together, they solve the mystery . . . and barely escape with their lives. But Ethan's exquisite detection skills are starting to backfire on Zoe: she never wanted to let him find out about her former life; she never wanted to reveal her powerful, inexplicable gift for sensing the history hidden within a house's walls; she never wanted him to know that "Zoe Luce" doesn't really exist. She never wanted to fall in love with him. Now, no matter how much she resists, Ethan may be her only hope-because the people she's been running from have found her. And just when Zoe dares to dream of a normal life and a future with the man she loves, her own past starts to shadow her every step-and threatens to take her back into a nightmare.
Author: C. L. Wilson
Publisher: Harper Collins
ISBN: 0062023691
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 430
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Book Description
“I love this book.” —Christine Feehan The incomparable C.L. Wilson brings her phenomenal Tairen Soul novels to Avon Books! Lady of Light and Shadows is the second book in the epic romantic adventure that combines sweeping fantasy with breathtaking paranormal romance. USA Today and New York Times bestseller C. L. Wilson continues the stirring, magical romance of Ellysetta, the woodcutter’s beautiful daughter, and the tormented Fey King Rain, as darkness rises up all around them, determined to destroy their love and their world.
Author: Tsh Oxenreider
Publisher: Harvest House Publishers
ISBN: 073698061X
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 160
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Book Description
Celebrate a Season of Wonder and Waiting Though the holidays are often jam-packed with busyness, the weeks leading up to Yuletide are still a time to reflect on the miracle of Jesus’s birth. Shadow and Light is a concise and customizable guide for the Advent season to help you rediscover your childlike wonder and contemplate the sacred gift we celebrate in the Christmas season. From bestselling author Tsh Oxenreider, Shadow and Light is a rich yet approachable experience that invites you to explore the historical meaning of Advent. Drawing from liturgical tradition, Tsh provides fresh insights for new and longtime believers alike. Each day includes Scripture, a reflection, a question, and a simple activity to engage the senses, such as lighting candles, listening to music, and viewing artwork both old and new. Let yourself break away from the hustle and bustle of crafts, cookies, and Christmas parties, and receive your invitation to remember the quiet focus of our celebration. Shadow and Light will help you reclaim the holiday season as a time to remember Jesus’s first coming, and to long for his one-day return.
Author: E. L. Koller
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 0486145328
Category : Art
Languages : en
Pages : 82
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Book Description
Without shading, even a beautiful drawing can appear flat. But artists can learn to add dimension to their work with these techniques, illustrations, and exercises that show how to achieve effects with light and shadow.
Author: Walter BrandmŸller
Publisher: Ignatius Press
ISBN: 1586172735
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 287
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Book Description
The Crusades, the Spanish Inquisition, the Reformation, and the Renaissance popes conjure in the imagination a corrupt Roman Catholic clergy hungry for wealth and power. In this insightful, well researched work, the Vatican's chief historian, Fr. Walter Brandmuller, takes a thoughtful and understanding look at these and other important chapters in Church history. Without denying, or flinching at, the human capacity for folly, failure, and evil, Brandmuller moves beyond the caricatures and legends that often substitute for real history to reveal a Church, both human and divine, fulfilling its mission in every time and place. His goal is not to whitewash any of these past events or issues, but rather to illuminate them, and bring to them a more in-depth, comprehensive historical understanding on the basis of their causes, circumstances and effects. "Now let us take into consideration Church history from the theological viewpoint, highlighting another important aspect. Its essential duty, in fact, turns out to be the complex mission to investigate and clarify that process of reception and transmission, of paraleacute;psis and of paragrave;dosis, through which was substantiated, in the course of the ages, the Church's raison d'ecirc;tre. Indeed, it is beyond a doubt that the Church can draw inspiration for her choices by drawing on her centuries-old treasury of experience and memory." -Pope Benedict VXI, Address to the members of the Pontifical Committee for Historical Sciences, March 7, 2008
Author: Adrian Cole
Publisher: Hachette UK
ISBN: 1473206898
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 302
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Book Description
Chaos gathers like a dark cloud above Omara - as the evil Anakhizer prepares to unleash a storm of wizard war upon the last stronghold of the human race. Only the stolen power of Orhung's rod can bring salvation to the doomed world. But the wondrous instrument lies in the perilous deplanes beneath the nice. And Brannog, now King among the Earthwrought - along with a beautiful girl possessing remarkable gifts - must embark on a dangerous quest to battle the ultimate in corruption and return hope to his land.
Author: Lucy Cavendish
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780738756226
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Created by renowned author and witch Lucy Cavendish, this deluxe illustrated journal is full of profound and magickal wisdom about the lunar cycles, the Wheel of the Year, and the time-honoured traditions of witchcraft. A Book of Shadows and Light is your own sacred journal. For hundreds of years, wise ones, magicians, witches and lightworkers of all kinds have kept personal journals in which they have recorded their soul-questing. Be it through meditation, inner exploration, mystic adventure, spiritual travels, magickal manifestation or blessed spellcrafting and casting, the uncovering of each individual enchanted path is full of unique wisdom. Now you can join these magickal practitioners in the quest to realise your soul's energy as it is meant to manifest within the world. Through many inspired quotes and musings, Lucy imparts her extraordinary experience and knowledge to assist you in connecting with your divine wisdom, self-knowledge and natural gifts of intuition. This deluxe soft cover journal features 220 pages of cream-coloured premium quality wood-free paper, with a combination of lined and unlined pages to accommodate all facets of your self-expression--you may like to write, doodle, paint or draw. It also includes 44 full-page, color artwork reproductions by Lucy Cavendish to inspire your creative expression.
