Author: Marcel R. REINHARD (and ARMENGAUD (André) Professeur à la Faculté des Lettres de Dijon.)
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Languages : en
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Author: Gérard-François Dumont
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Languages : fr
Pages : 17

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French Abstract: Comment imaginer, en 1900, que le XXe siècle allait une expansion démogra-phique conduisant à un quadruplement de la population dans le monde ? Les caractéris-tiques de ce phénomène doivent être étudié en détail afin d'éclairer ses raisons. Il con-vient aussi de mettre en évidence les grands contrastes régionaux, puis de réfléchir à l'avenir.

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Languages : en
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Author: Gérard-François Dumont
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Languages : en
Pages : 0

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English Abstract: This article shows that the demographic growth of the two last centuries is not the result of an unexpected or unchecked phenomenon, but of a slow evolution, born of the deeds of men. Through economic innovations and improvements of health care, they have brought to human life a change unheard of in history, the great dwindling of mortality bringing about, in the most developed countries, a doubling or even a three time lengthening of human life. Whith knowledge of the demographic mechanisms, it is possible to draw up a true balance sheet of the evolutions of the world population in contemporary history. This balance sheet enables to conduct a prospective approach leading to several scenarios. According to the chosen hypothesis, the expected results are widely spread. Moreover, the demographic reality must be appraised as much or even more in its regional and local dimension as in its global dimension.

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Languages : en
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