An Introduction to Decision Theory

An Introduction to Decision Theory PDF Author: Martin Peterson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107151597
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351

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Book Description
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.

An Introduction to Decision Theory

An Introduction to Decision Theory PDF Author: Martin Peterson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107151597
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351

Get Book Here

Book Description
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.

Decision Theory

Decision Theory PDF Author: Giovanni Parmigiani
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 416

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Book Description
Decision theory provides a formal framework for making logical choices in the face of uncertainty. Given a set of alternatives, a set of consequences, and a correspondence between those sets, decision theory offers conceptually simple procedures for choice. This book presents an overview of the fundamental concepts and outcomes of rational decision making under uncertainty, highlighting the implications for statistical practice. The authors have developed a series of self contained chapters focusing on bridging the gaps between the different fields that have contributed to rational decision making and presenting ideas in a unified framework and notation while respecting and highlighting the different and sometimes conflicting perspectives. This book: * Provides a rich collection of techniques and procedures. * Discusses the foundational aspects and modern day practice. * Links foundations to practical applications in biostatistics, computer science, engineering and economics. * Presents different perspectives and controversies to encourage readers to form their own opinion of decision making and statistics. Decision Theory is fundamental to all scientific disciplines, including biostatistics, computer science, economics and engineering. Anyone interested in the whys and wherefores of statistical science will find much to enjoy in this book.

Decision Making Using Game Theory

Decision Making Using Game Theory PDF Author: Anthony Kelly
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9781139438131
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 228

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Book Description
Game theory is a key element in most decision-making processes involving two or more people or organisations. This book explains how game theory can predict the outcome of complex decision-making processes, and how it can help you to improve your own negotiation and decision-making skills. It is grounded in well-established theory, yet the wide-ranging international examples used to illustrate its application offer a fresh approach to an essential weapon in the armoury of the informed manager. The book is accessibly written, explaining in simple terms the underlying mathematics behind games of skill, before moving on to more sophisticated topics such as zero-sum games, mixed-motive games, and multi-person games, coalitions and power. Clear examples and helpful diagrams are used throughout, and the mathematics is kept to a minimum. It is written for managers, students and decision makers in any field.

Elementary Decision Theory

Elementary Decision Theory PDF Author: Herman Chernoff
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 9780486652184
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 386

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Book Description
This well-respected introduction to statistics and statistical theory covers data processing, probability and random variables, utility and descriptive statistics, computation of Bayes strategies, models, testing hypotheses, and much more. 1959 edition.

Decision Theory

Decision Theory PDF Author: Simon French
Publisher: Prentice Hall
ISBN: 9780132010139
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 448

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Book Description


Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory

Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory PDF Author: Silvia Bacci
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1351621386
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 292

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Book Description
Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory: Utility Theory and Causal Analysis provides the theoretical background to approach decision theory from a statistical perspective. It covers both traditional approaches, in terms of value theory and expected utility theory, and recent developments, in terms of causal inference. The book is specifically designed to appeal to students and researchers that intend to acquire a knowledge of statistical science based on decision theory. Features Covers approaches for making decisions under certainty, risk, and uncertainty Illustrates expected utility theory and its extensions Describes approaches to elicit the utility function Reviews classical and Bayesian approaches to statistical inference based on decision theory Discusses the role of causal analysis in statistical decision theory

Game Theory

Game Theory PDF Author: Steve Tadelis
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691129088
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 416

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Book Description
The definitive introduction to game theory This comprehensive textbook introduces readers to the principal ideas and applications of game theory, in a style that combines rigor with accessibility. Steven Tadelis begins with a concise description of rational decision making, and goes on to discuss strategic and extensive form games with complete information, Bayesian games, and extensive form games with imperfect information. He covers a host of topics, including multistage and repeated games, bargaining theory, auctions, rent-seeking games, mechanism design, signaling games, reputation building, and information transmission games. Unlike other books on game theory, this one begins with the idea of rationality and explores its implications for multiperson decision problems through concepts like dominated strategies and rationalizability. Only then does it present the subject of Nash equilibrium and its derivatives. Game Theory is the ideal textbook for advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate students. Throughout, concepts and methods are explained using real-world examples backed by precise analytic material. The book features many important applications to economics and political science, as well as numerous exercises that focus on how to formalize informal situations and then analyze them. Introduces the core ideas and applications of game theory Covers static and dynamic games, with complete and incomplete information Features a variety of examples, applications, and exercises Topics include repeated games, bargaining, auctions, signaling, reputation, and information transmission Ideal for advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate students Complete solutions available to teachers and selected solutions available to students

Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis

Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis PDF Author: James O. Berger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 147574286X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 633

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Book Description
In this new edition the author has added substantial material on Bayesian analysis, including lengthy new sections on such important topics as empirical and hierarchical Bayes analysis, Bayesian calculation, Bayesian communication, and group decision making. With these changes, the book can be used as a self-contained introduction to Bayesian analysis. In addition, much of the decision-theoretic portion of the text was updated, including new sections covering such modern topics as minimax multivariate (Stein) estimation.

Choices

Choices PDF Author: Michael D. Resnik
Publisher: U of Minnesota Press
ISBN: 9781452902289
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 244

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Book Description


Decision Theory

Decision Theory PDF Author: John Bather
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN:
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 216

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Book Description
Decision Theory An Introduction to Dynamic Programming and Sequential Decisions John Bather University of Sussex, UK Mathematical induction, and its use in solving optimization problems, is a topic of great interest with many applications. It enables us to study multistage decision problems by proceeding backwards in time, using a method called dynamic programming. All the techniques needed to solve the various problems are explained, and the author's fluent style will leave the reader with an avid interest in the subject. * Tailored to the needs of students of optimization and decision theory * Written in a lucid style with numerous examples and applications * Coverage of deterministic models: maximizing utilities, directed networks, shortest paths, critical path analysis, scheduling and convexity * Coverage of stochastic models: stochastic dynamic programming, optimal stopping problems and other special topics * Coverage of advanced topics: Markov decision processes, minimizing expected costs, policy improvements and problems with unknown statistical parameters * Contains exercises at the end of each chapter, with hints in an appendix Aimed primarily at students of mathematics and statistics, the lucid text will also appeal to engineering and science students and those working in the areas of optimization and operations research.