Internal Versus External Convertibility and Emerging-Market Crises

Internal Versus External Convertibility and Emerging-Market Crises PDF Author: Gerardo della Paolera
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Argentina's once strong money and banking system deteriorated in the 1920s and was devastated by the Great Depression. Gold convertibility was suspended in December 1929, even before the crisis seriously damaged the core economies. Commonly, these events are seen as being driven by external real shocks associated with the World Depression, despite the puzzle of the timing. We argue for an alternative, or complementary, explanation of the crisis that focuses on the inside-outside money relationship in a system of fractional-reserve banking and gold-standard rules. This internal explanation for the crisis involves no timing puzzle. The tension between internal and external convertibility can be felt when banks fall into bad times, and an internal drain can feed an external drain. Such was the case after financial fragility appeared in the 1914-27 suspension. Resumption in 1927 was probably unsustainable due to the problems of the financial system, and a dynamic model illustrates the point well. The resolution of the crisis required Lender-of-Last-Resort actions by the state, discharged at first by the state bank. When the state bank became insolvent, the currency board started bailing out the system using high-powered money. Thus came about the demise of the currency board and the creation of a central bank in 1935, an institution that had no pretense of a nominal-anchor commitment device and no ceiling on Lender-of-Last-Resort actions - innovations with painful long-run consequences for inflation performance and financial-sector health. The parallels with recent developing-country crises, not least the current Argentine dilemma, are remarkable, and the implications for the institutional design of monetary and banking systems are considered.

Internal Versus External Convertibility and Emerging-Market Crises

Internal Versus External Convertibility and Emerging-Market Crises PDF Author: Gerardo della Paolera
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Argentina's once strong money and banking system deteriorated in the 1920s and was devastated by the Great Depression. Gold convertibility was suspended in December 1929, even before the crisis seriously damaged the core economies. Commonly, these events are seen as being driven by external real shocks associated with the World Depression, despite the puzzle of the timing. We argue for an alternative, or complementary, explanation of the crisis that focuses on the inside-outside money relationship in a system of fractional-reserve banking and gold-standard rules. This internal explanation for the crisis involves no timing puzzle. The tension between internal and external convertibility can be felt when banks fall into bad times, and an internal drain can feed an external drain. Such was the case after financial fragility appeared in the 1914-27 suspension. Resumption in 1927 was probably unsustainable due to the problems of the financial system, and a dynamic model illustrates the point well. The resolution of the crisis required Lender-of-Last-Resort actions by the state, discharged at first by the state bank. When the state bank became insolvent, the currency board started bailing out the system using high-powered money. Thus came about the demise of the currency board and the creation of a central bank in 1935, an institution that had no pretense of a nominal-anchor commitment device and no ceiling on Lender-of-Last-Resort actions - innovations with painful long-run consequences for inflation performance and financial-sector health. The parallels with recent developing-country crises, not least the current Argentine dilemma, are remarkable, and the implications for the institutional design of monetary and banking systems are considered.

Internal Versus External Convertibility and Developing-country Financial Crises

Internal Versus External Convertibility and Developing-country Financial Crises PDF Author: Gerardo Della Paolera
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Argentina
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Book Description


Internal Versus External Convertibility and Developing-country Finansial Crises

Internal Versus External Convertibility and Developing-country Finansial Crises PDF Author: Gerardo della Paolera
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description


Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications PDF Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475561008
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 66

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Book Description
This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Global Waves of Debt

Global Waves of Debt PDF Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464815453
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 403

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Book Description
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Global Banks and International Shock Transmission

Global Banks and International Shock Transmission PDF Author: Nicola Cetorelli
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437933874
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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Book Description
Global banks played a significant role in transmitting the 2007-09 financial crisis to emerging-market (EM) economies. The authors examine adverse liquidity shocks on main developed-country banking systems and their relationships to EM across Europe, Asia, and Latin Amer., isolating loan supply from loan demand effects. Loan supply in EM across Europe, Asia, and Latin Amer. was affected significantly through three separate channels: (1) a contraction in direct, cross-border lending by foreign banks; (2) a contraction in local lending by foreign banks¿ affiliates in EM; and (3) a contraction in loan supply by domestic banks, resulting from the funding shock to their balance sheets induced by the decline in interbank, cross-border lending. Charts and tables.

Financial Sector Crisis and Restructuring

Financial Sector Crisis and Restructuring PDF Author: Carl-Johan Lindgren
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781557758712
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 103

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Book Description
An IMF paper reviewing the policy responses of Indonesia, Korea and Thailand to the 1997 Asian crisis, comparing the actions of these three countries with those of Malaysia and the Philippines. Although all judgements are still tentative, important lessons can be learned from the experiences of the last two years.

Financial Crises

Financial Crises PDF Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484355261
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 754

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Book Description
The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.

Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies

Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies PDF Author: Sebastian Edwards
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226184994
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 699

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Book Description
Some scholars argue that the free movement of capital across borders enhances welfare; others claim it represents a clear peril, especially for emerging nations. In Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies, an esteemed group of contributors examines both the advantages and the pitfalls of restricting capital mobility in these emerging nations. In the aftermath of the East Asian currency crises of 1997, the authors consider mechanisms that eight countries have used to control capital inflows and evaluate their effectiveness in altering the maturity of the resulting external debt and reducing macroeconomic vulnerability. This volume is essential reading for all those interested in emerging nations and the costs and benefits of restricting international capital flows.

Currency Crises in Developed and Emerging Market Economies

Currency Crises in Developed and Emerging Market Economies PDF Author: Thomson Fontaine
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
This paper takes a step in empirically testing the implications of a number of theoretical models that attempt to highlight the dynamics behind currency crises. By focusing on countries with broadly disparate economic and political arrangements, the study attempts to determine the extent to which these variables matter in affecting the probabilities of currency crises occurring. The empirical findings provide support for the view that, in general, a deterioration in economic fundamentals and the pursuit of lax monetary policy can contribute to currency crises. The experiences of several emerging market economies suggests that the sustainability of exchange rate policy depends both on adequate policy responses to the shocks to the economy and on the fragility of the economic, financial, and political system.