Information Content of Investor Trading Behavior

Information Content of Investor Trading Behavior PDF Author: Yen-Hsien Lee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 21

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Book Description
In this study, we analyze the information content of the TXO market using decoupled O/S ratio. First, we find that, among four classes of traders, only foreign institutional investors have significant predictive power in the TXO market, thereby providing evidence that foreign investor flows do indeed have an impact on host-country stock returns. Second, the decoupled O/S (specifically, call O/S) ratio appears to outperform the overall O/S and put-call ratios as an information-content variable. Third, we find that foreign institutional investors exhibit greater predictive ability with regard to the OTM and short-horizon TXO options, which implies that leverage, rather than liquidity, is considered by the informed traders. To the best of our knowledge, this study represents the first of its kind to investigate the information content of decoupled O/S ratios in the index-option market.

Information Content of Investor Trading Behavior

Information Content of Investor Trading Behavior PDF Author: Yen-Hsien Lee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 21

Get Book Here

Book Description
In this study, we analyze the information content of the TXO market using decoupled O/S ratio. First, we find that, among four classes of traders, only foreign institutional investors have significant predictive power in the TXO market, thereby providing evidence that foreign investor flows do indeed have an impact on host-country stock returns. Second, the decoupled O/S (specifically, call O/S) ratio appears to outperform the overall O/S and put-call ratios as an information-content variable. Third, we find that foreign institutional investors exhibit greater predictive ability with regard to the OTM and short-horizon TXO options, which implies that leverage, rather than liquidity, is considered by the informed traders. To the best of our knowledge, this study represents the first of its kind to investigate the information content of decoupled O/S ratios in the index-option market.

Retail Investor Sentiment and Behavior

Retail Investor Sentiment and Behavior PDF Author: Matthias Burghardt
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3834961701
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 170

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Book Description
Using a unique data set consisting of more than 36.5 million submitted retail investor orders over the course of five years, Matthias Burghardt constructs an innovative retail investor sentiment index. He shows that retail investors’ trading decisions are correlated, that retail investors are contrarians, and that a profitable trading strategy can be based on these aggregated sentiment measures.

Trading on Sentiment

Trading on Sentiment PDF Author: Richard L. Peterson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119122767
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 374

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Book Description
In his debut book on trading psychology, Inside the Investor’s Brain, Richard Peterson demonstrated how managing emotions helps top investors outperform. Now, in Trading on Sentiment, he takes you inside the science of crowd psychology and demonstrates that not only do price patterns exist, but the most predictable ones are rooted in our shared human nature. Peterson’s team developed text analysis engines to mine data - topics, beliefs, and emotions - from social media. Based on that data, they put together a market-neutral social media-based hedge fund that beat the S&P 500 by more than twenty-four percent—through the 2008 financial crisis. In this groundbreaking guide, he shows you how they did it and why it worked. Applying algorithms to social media data opened up an unprecedented world of insight into the elusive patterns of investor sentiment driving repeating market moves. Inside, you gain a privileged look at the media content that moves investors, along with time-tested techniques to make the smart moves—even when it doesn’t feel right. This book digs underneath technicals and fundamentals to explain the primary mover of market prices - the global information flow and how investors react to it. It provides the expert guidance you need to develop a competitive edge, manage risk, and overcome our sometimes-flawed human nature. Learn how traders are using sentiment analysis and statistical tools to extract value from media data in order to: Foresee important price moves using an understanding of how investors process news. Make more profitable investment decisions by identifying when prices are trending, when trends are turning, and when sharp market moves are likely to reverse. Use media sentiment to improve value and momentum investing returns. Avoid the pitfalls of unique price patterns found in commodities, currencies, and during speculative bubbles Trading on Sentiment deepens your understanding of markets and supplies you with the tools and techniques to beat global markets— whether they’re going up, down, or sideways.

How Markets Really Work

How Markets Really Work PDF Author: Larry Connors
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118239458
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 198

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Book Description
For years, traders and investors have been using unproven assumptions about popular patterns such as breakouts, momentum, new highs, new lows, market breadth, put/call ratios and more without knowing if there is a statistical edge. Common wisdom holds that the stock markets are ever changing. But, as it turns out, common wisdom can be wrong. Offering a comprehensive look back at the way the markets have acted over the last two decades, How Markets Really Work: A Quantitative Guide to Stock Market Behavior, Second Edition shows that nothing has changed, that the markets behave the same way today as they have in years past, and that understanding this puts you in a prime position to profit. Written by two top financial experts and filled with charts and graphs that illustrate the market concepts they develop, the book takes a sometimes contrarian view of everything from market edges to historical volatility, and from volume to put/call ratio, giving you all that you need to truly understand how the markets function. Fully revised and updated, How Markets Really Work, Second Edition takes a level-headed, data-driven look at the markets to show how they function and how you can apply that information intelligently when making investment decisions.

Behavioral Trading

Behavioral Trading PDF Author: Woody Dorsey
Publisher: Texere Publishing
ISBN: 9781587991646
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Dorsey, a publisher of market commentary since 1985, explains market semiotics, his market research philosophy based on the logic of behavioral finance. His proprietary market diagnosis techniques have been described as market expectations theory, behavioral finance, and contrary opinion analysis. Annotation ♭2004 Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com).

Reforming U.S. Financial Markets

Reforming U.S. Financial Markets PDF Author: Randall S. Kroszner
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262518732
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 171

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Book Description
Two top economists outline distinctive approaches to post-crisis financial reform. Over the last few years, the financial sector has experienced its worst crisis since the 1930s. The collapse of major firms, the decline in asset values, the interruption of credit flows, the loss of confidence in firms and credit market instruments, the intervention by governments and central banks: all were extraordinary in scale and scope. In this book, leading economists Randall Kroszner and Robert Shiller discuss what the United States should do to prevent another such financial meltdown. Their discussion goes beyond the nuts and bolts of legislative and regulatory fixes to consider fundamental changes in our financial arrangements. Kroszner and Shiller offer two distinctive approaches to financial reform, with Kroszner providing a systematic analysis of regulatory gaps and Shiller addressing the broader concerns of democratizing and humanizing finance. After brief discussions by four commentators (Benjamin M. Friedman, George G. Kaufman, Robert C. Pozen, and Hal S. Scott), Kroszner and Shiller each offer a response to the other's proposals, creating a fruitful dialogue between two major figures in the field.

What Investors Really Want: Know What Drives Investor Behavior and Make Smarter Financial Decisions

What Investors Really Want: Know What Drives Investor Behavior and Make Smarter Financial Decisions PDF Author: Meir Statman
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071741666
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 305

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Book Description
A pioneer in the field of behavioral finance presents an investment guide based on what really drives investors Perfectly timed to give readers a real edge for investing in post-crash markets Author is a leading authority on the theory and application of behavioral finance and a fixture in The Wall Street Journal and other leading media outlets Poised to become the definitive text on how investors and managers make financial decisions—and how these decisions are reflected in financial markets

Behavioral Explanations of Investors' Trading in Financial Markets

Behavioral Explanations of Investors' Trading in Financial Markets PDF Author: Mohammed Saad H Alhashim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Behavioral assessment
Languages : en
Pages : 119

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Book Description
In the first essay, I examine the effect of social media sentiment on the trading behavior of individual investors. I document a positive association between sentiment and retail order imbalances (i.e., individual investors tend to buy more than they sell as they become more optimistic about stocks). The association between retail investor activity and sentiment is stronger for hard-to-value stocks (small cap, low institutional ownership, and low analyst coverage firms). Finally, the association between retail order imbalances and stock returns exists only in conjunction with investor sentiment. In the second essay, I consider the effect of firm-level sentiment extracted from a social network platform on the presence of herding behavior in the US equity market. Applying a quantile regression model enables me to investigate the existence of herding during both quiet periods and extreme market movements. I also benefit from using different sampling frequencies (daily, weekly, and monthly) for detecting investor herding. I document an asymmetric association between herding and investor sentiment. Herding is present in low-optimism portfolios but not in high-optimism portfolios. I also find evidence of herding in intermediate quantiles (i.e., relatively quiet market periods but not during extreme market movements). The degree of investor attention has a moderating impact on the relationship between investor optimism and the tendency to herd, with herding being more intense among low-optimism stocks. I also find evidence that trading volume drives herding behavior. In the third essay, I estimate the impact of investor sentiment in the stock market on the return and volatility spillover risks between real estate investment trusts (REITs) and a broader equity index. The total return spillover risk from equity market to real estate is higher for low-optimism portfolios (45.76%) relative to high-optimism portfolios (41.41%). I do not document any significant impact of investor sentiment on the volatility spillover risk between REITs and the equity market (34.85% versus 34.17%). My results highlight the importance of considering investor sentiment in the stock market when constructing multi-asset portfolios that include REITs in addition to other asset classes.

Investor Behavior

Investor Behavior PDF Author: H. Kent Baker
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118492986
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 645

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Book Description
WINNER, Business: Personal Finance/Investing, 2015 USA Best Book Awards FINALIST, Business: Reference, 2015 USA Best Book Awards Investor Behavior provides readers with a comprehensive understanding and the latest research in the area of behavioral finance and investor decision making. Blending contributions from noted academics and experienced practitioners, this 30-chapter book will provide investment professionals with insights on how to understand and manage client behavior; a framework for interpreting financial market activity; and an in-depth understanding of this important new field of investment research. The book should also be of interest to academics, investors, and students. The book will cover the major principles of investor psychology, including heuristics, bounded rationality, regret theory, mental accounting, framing, prospect theory, and loss aversion. Specific sections of the book will delve into the role of personality traits, financial therapy, retirement planning, financial coaching, and emotions in investment decisions. Other topics covered include risk perception and tolerance, asset allocation decisions under inertia and inattention bias; evidenced based financial planning, motivation and satisfaction, behavioral investment management, and neurofinance. Contributions will delve into the behavioral underpinnings of various trading and investment topics including trader psychology, stock momentum, earnings surprises, and anomalies. The final chapters of the book examine new research on socially responsible investing, mutual funds, and real estate investing from a behavioral perspective. Empirical evidence and current literature about each type of investment issue are featured. Cited research studies are presented in a straightforward manner focusing on the comprehension of study findings, rather than on the details of mathematical frameworks.

Behavioural Investing

Behavioural Investing PDF Author: Pauline Yong
Publisher: Trafford Publishing
ISBN: 1466998970
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 93

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Book Description
What drives investor behaviour? We would all like to think we always behave rationally but in reality we are often swayed by emotions. Most financial theories are based on the idea that everyone takes careful account of all available information before making investment decisions. However, researchers have uncovered a surprisingly large amount of evidence that this is not the case. Dozens of examples of irrational behaviour and repeated errors in judgement have been documented in academic studies. This book gives plenty of examples of investment mistakes, and analyses them from a Behavioural Finance perspective. Behavioural Finance is the study of the influence of psychology on the behaviour of investors and their subsequent effect on the markets. It combines the discipline of psychology and economics to explain why and how people make irrational or illogical decisions when they make investment decisions.