IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 2 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451974256
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 208

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Book Description
This paper analyzes the link between product variety and economic growth. It finds support for the hypothesis that a greater degree of product variety relative to the United States helps to explain relative per capita GDP levels. The paper presents an empirical study for South Africa, which indicates that there exists a stable money demand type of relationship among domestic prices, broad money, real income, and interest rates, as well as a long-term relationship among domestic prices, foreign prices, and the nominal exchange rate.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 2 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451974256
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 208

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Book Description
This paper analyzes the link between product variety and economic growth. It finds support for the hypothesis that a greater degree of product variety relative to the United States helps to explain relative per capita GDP levels. The paper presents an empirical study for South Africa, which indicates that there exists a stable money demand type of relationship among domestic prices, broad money, real income, and interest rates, as well as a long-term relationship among domestic prices, foreign prices, and the nominal exchange rate.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 2 PDF Author: Mr.Robert P. Flood
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589062023
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 172

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Book Description
This paper examines sources of economic growth in East Asia. The conventional growth-accounting approach to estimating the sources of economic growth requires unrealistically strong assumptions about either competitiveness of factor markets or the form of the underlying aggregate production function. The paper outlines a new approach utilizing nonparametric derivative estimation techniques that does not require imposing these restrictive assumptions. The results for East Asian countries show that output elasticities of capital and labor tend to be different from the income shares of these factors. The paper also explores the compensating potential of private intergenerational transfers.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 3 PDF Author: Mr.Robert P. Flood
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451973799
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 204

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Book Description
This paper analyzes the financial implications of the 1956 crisis of nationalization of the Suez Canal by Egypt. It examines the regional distribution of public employment in Italy. The paper quantifies the impact of changes in the U.S. monetary policy on sovereign bond spreads in emerging market countries. Specifically, the paper explores empirically how country risk, as proxied by sovereign bond spreads, is influenced by U.S. monetary policy, country-specific fundamentals, and conditions in global capital markets. Modeling the IMF’s statistical discrepancy in the global current account is also discussed.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 2 PDF Author: Mr.Robert P. Flood
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589061194
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 122

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Book Description
This paper explores sources of the output collapse in Russia during transition. A modified growth-accounting framework is developed that takes into account changes in factor utilization that are typical of the transition process. The results indicate that declines in factor inputs and productivity were both important determinants of the output fall. The paper analyzes the behavior of real commodity prices over the 1862–1999 progress. It also examines whether average stocks of health and education are converging across countries, and calculates the speed of their convergence using data from 84 countries for 1970–90.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589066502
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 236

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Book Description
Vol. 54, No. 2 includes three notable contributions from the Seventh Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference (ARC) hosted by the IMF in November 2006. Its lead paper, by Olivier Blanchard of Harvard University, is the 2006 Mundell-Fleming Lecture (delivered at the ARC), which analyzes current-account deficits in the advanced economies. Other papers in this issue look at the relationship between international financial integration and the real economy. Other papers discuss whether (or not): i) the next capital account crisis can be predicted; ii) accepted definitions of debt crises are adequate; iii) the Doha Round of trade talks (if they are ever successfully completed) will lead to preference erosion; and finally iv) there is room for political opportunism in countries deciding between money-based or exchange-rate-based stabilization programs.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 2 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589065178
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 166

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Book Description
Noteworthy among the six papers appearing in this latest issue of the IMF's peer-reviewed journal is another installment in the Special Data Section. Anthony Pellechio and John Cady from the IMF's Statistics Department take a close look at differences in IMF data; how and when they could occur; and what the implications of such differences might be for end-users of the IMF's data.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451974205
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 148

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Book Description
This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One model provides forecasts that are somewhat informative though still not reliable. Plausible modifications to this model improve its performance, providing some hope that future models may do better. The study suggests, though, that although forecasting models may help indicate vulnerability to crises, the predictive power of even the best of them may be limited.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 57, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 57, No. 2 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589069129
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 244

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Book Description
This paper introduces a new database of financial reforms covering 91 economies over 1973-2005. It describes the content of the database, the information sources utilized, and the coding rules used to create an index of financial reform. It also compares the database with other measures of financial liberalization, provides descriptive statistics, and discusses some possible applications. The database provides a multifaceted measure of reform, covering seven aspects of financial sector policy. Along each dimension the database provides a graded (rather than a binary) score, and allows for reversals.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589061224
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 260

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Book Description
This paper empirically investigates the monetary impact of banking crises in Chile, Colombia, Denmark, Japan, Kenya, Malaysia, and Uruguay during 1975–98. Cointegration analysis and error correction modeling are used to research two issues: (i) whether money demand stability is threatened by banking crises; and (ii) whether crises lead to structural breaks in the relation between monetary indicators and prices. Overall, no systematic evidence that banking crises cause money demand instability is found. The paper also analyzes inflation targeting in the context of the IMF-supported adjustment programs.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 2 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145197423X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 128

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Book Description
This paper analyzes portfolio diversification, leverage, and financial contagion. It studies the extent to which basic principles of portfolio diversification explain “contagious selling” of financial assets when there are purely local shocks. The paper demonstrates that the elementary portfolio theory offers key insights into “contagion.” Most important, portfolio diversification and leverage are sufficient to explain why an investor will find it optimal to significantly reduce all risky asset positions when an adverse shock impacts just one asset.