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Author: Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108563309
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 503
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Book Description
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author: Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108563309
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 503
Get Book Here
Book Description
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author: Judea Pearl
Publisher: Basic Books
ISBN: 0465097618
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 432
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Book Description
A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence "Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality -- the study of cause and effect -- on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.
Author: Tom Reilly
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN: 1493157094
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 821
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Book Description
Mike Summers, a look alike George Clooney has no problem filling his cot wit extramarital affairs. At forty five and married to his beautiful wife June and with two teenage children Steven, eighteen and Sheryl, sixteen, life is good for this suburban housewife with her private tennis lessons and girly lunches at the exclusive Jetty Club in East Village, a highly sought after upper-class locality overlooking the river. But Laura Williams, the daughter of Senator Dave Williams and niece of Jake Murray, the New York District Attorney, has other plans when Mike insensitively decides their affair is over and she threatens to destroy him and everything he stands for; his family, his career, his very life, unless he divorces his wife and makes her an honest woman. When money cant solve the problem there is only one avenue left Desperate men do desperate things. Tony Perrino and Bill Hayden two highly respected NYPD detectives are assigned to solve the case and bring the unknown perpetrator to justice for this hyenas crime. What follows is a trail of hypnotic detective work, fraught with danger, kidnapping, and murder. A fugitive is on the run in South America. This is a police drama of insurmountable proportions and twists that are mind shattering, a drama that is both exhilarating and exiting, guaranteed addictive reading.
Author: Tamara PhD Rosier
Publisher: Revell
ISBN: 1493431986
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 208
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Book Description
If you have ADHD, your brain doesn't work in the same way as a "normal" or neurotypical brain does because it's wired differently. You and others may see this difference in circuitry as somehow wrong or incomplete. It isn't. It does present you with significant challenges like time management, organization skills, forgetfulness, trouble completing tasks, mood swings, and relationship problems. In Your Brain's Not Broken, Dr. Tamara Rosier explains how ADHD affects every aspect of your life. You'll finally understand why you think, feel, and act the way you do. Dr. Rosier applies her years of coaching others to offer you the critical practical tools that can dramatically improve your life and relationships. Anyone with ADHD--as well as anyone who lives with or loves someone with ADHD--will find here a compassionate, encouraging guide to living well and with hope.
Author: Gary Burnison
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119475201
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 256
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Book Description
"'Lose the Résumé' breaks down every aspect of job hunting, explaining what matters and what doesn't." —The New York Times Book Review Lose the resume and land that coveted job Gone are the days of polishing up your resume and sending it out at random. At every level today, you need to "lose the resume" in order to land the right job. In other words, you have to learn to tell a story about yourself that speaks to your competencies, purpose, passion, and values. Lose the Resume, Land the Job shares the new rules of engagement: How you must think, act, and present yourself so you can win. Based on inner exploration drawn from the IP of the world's largest executive recruiting firm, the book gleans insights and stories (the good, the bad, and sometimes the ugly) from Korn Ferry recruiters across the globe who work with thousands of candidates each day. It helps you gain a deeper perspective on who you are, what you're passionate about, the cultures in which you fit, the kind of bosses you should work for, and where you can bring the most value to organizations. Includes assessments, questionnaires, and other tools Candid advice for young professionals through middle managers Offers trusted guidance from the same firm that has shown 8 million executives how to achieve their career goals, and that puts a professional in new job every three minutes Helps you build a plan for the future so you can contribute more to the next employer Getting a job and, more importantly, building a career has never been more complex. Lose the Resume, Land the Job helps you score the positions that align with your passion and match your attributes — and that will put you on a trajectory toward bigger and better things.
Author: Tim Kreider
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1439198713
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 256
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Book Description
A "New York Times" political cartoonist and writer presents a collection of his most popular essays and drawings about life and government hypocrisy.
Author: Reni Eddo-Lodge
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN: 1526633922
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 272
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Book Description
'Every voice raised against racism chips away at its power. We can't afford to stay silent. This book is an attempt to speak' The book that sparked a national conversation. Exploring everything from eradicated black history to the inextricable link between class and race, Why I'm No Longer Talking to White People About Race is the essential handbook for anyone who wants to understand race relations in Britain today. THE NO.1 SUNDAY TIMES BESTSELLER WINNER OF THE BRITISH BOOK AWARDS NON-FICTION NARRATIVE BOOK OF THE YEAR 2018 FOYLES NON-FICTION BOOK OF THE YEAR BLACKWELL'S NON-FICTION BOOK OF THE YEAR WINNER OF THE JHALAK PRIZE LONGLISTED FOR THE BAILLIE GIFFORD PRIZE FOR NON-FICTION LONGLISTED FOR THE ORWELL PRIZE SHORTLISTED FOR A BOOKS ARE MY BAG READERS AWARD
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Category : Young Men's Christian associations
Languages : en
Pages : 680
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Book Description
Author: Jerry McDermott
Publisher: iUniverse
ISBN: 166322093X
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 166
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Book Description
In Essays on Christianity, the author delves deeper into many aspects of Christianity with strong emphasis on the End Times. He also shows there is an afterlife, something the “Whatever” generation has ignored or just assumed there is some kind of a higher power. The ultimate goal of mankind should be to spend eternity in heaven with a loving God rather than a fiery eternal sojourn in Hell. Considering our current era, it is important to seek God’s forgiveness for sins and become the person God created.
Author: Garr Reynolds
Publisher: Pearson Education
ISBN: 0321601890
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 316
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Book Description
FOREWORD BY GUY KAWASAKI Presentation designer and internationally acclaimed communications expert Garr Reynolds, creator of the most popular Web site on presentation design and delivery on the Net — presentationzen.com — shares his experience in a provocative mix of illumination, inspiration, education, and guidance that will change the way you think about making presentations with PowerPoint or Keynote. Presentation Zen challenges the conventional wisdom of making "slide presentations" in today’s world and encourages you to think differently and more creatively about the preparation, design, and delivery of your presentations. Garr shares lessons and perspectives that draw upon practical advice from the fields of communication and business. Combining solid principles of design with the tenets of Zen simplicity, this book will help you along the path to simpler, more effective presentations.
