Heavy-Tail Phenomena

Heavy-Tail Phenomena PDF Author: Sidney I. Resnick
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387450246
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 412

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Book Description
This comprehensive text gives an interesting and useful blend of the mathematical, probabilistic and statistical tools used in heavy-tail analysis. It is uniquely devoted to heavy-tails and emphasizes both probability modeling and statistical methods for fitting models. Prerequisites for the reader include a prior course in stochastic processes and probability, some statistical background, some familiarity with time series analysis, and ability to use a statistics package. This work will serve second-year graduate students and researchers in the areas of applied mathematics, statistics, operations research, electrical engineering, and economics.

Heavy-Tail Phenomena

Heavy-Tail Phenomena PDF Author: Sidney I. Resnick
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387450246
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 412

Get Book Here

Book Description
This comprehensive text gives an interesting and useful blend of the mathematical, probabilistic and statistical tools used in heavy-tail analysis. It is uniquely devoted to heavy-tails and emphasizes both probability modeling and statistical methods for fitting models. Prerequisites for the reader include a prior course in stochastic processes and probability, some statistical background, some familiarity with time series analysis, and ability to use a statistics package. This work will serve second-year graduate students and researchers in the areas of applied mathematics, statistics, operations research, electrical engineering, and economics.

Heavy-Tail Phenomena

Heavy-Tail Phenomena PDF Author: Sidney I. Resnick
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387242724
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 412

Get Book Here

Book Description
This comprehensive text gives an interesting and useful blend of the mathematical, probabilistic and statistical tools used in heavy-tail analysis. It is uniquely devoted to heavy-tails and emphasizes both probability modeling and statistical methods for fitting models. Prerequisites for the reader include a prior course in stochastic processes and probability, some statistical background, some familiarity with time series analysis, and ability to use a statistics package. This work will serve second-year graduate students and researchers in the areas of applied mathematics, statistics, operations research, electrical engineering, and economics.

The Fundamentals of Heavy Tails

The Fundamentals of Heavy Tails PDF Author: Jayakrishnan Nair
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1009062964
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 266

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Book Description
Heavy tails –extreme events or values more common than expected –emerge everywhere: the economy, natural events, and social and information networks are just a few examples. Yet after decades of progress, they are still treated as mysterious, surprising, and even controversial, primarily because the necessary mathematical models and statistical methods are not widely known. This book, for the first time, provides a rigorous introduction to heavy-tailed distributions accessible to anyone who knows elementary probability. It tackles and tames the zoo of terminology for models and properties, demystifying topics such as the generalized central limit theorem and regular variation. It tracks the natural emergence of heavy-tailed distributions from a wide variety of general processes, building intuition. And it reveals the controversy surrounding heavy tails to be the result of flawed statistics, then equips readers to identify and estimate with confidence. Over 100 exercises complete this engaging package.

Heavy-Tail Phenomena

Heavy-Tail Phenomena PDF Author: Sidney I. Resnick
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9780387504698
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
This comprehensive text gives an interesting and useful blend of the mathematical, probabilistic and statistical tools used in heavy-tail analysis. It is uniquely devoted to heavy-tails and emphasizes both probability modeling and statistical methods for fitting models. Prerequisites for the reader include a prior course in stochastic processes and probability, some statistical background, some familiarity with time series analysis, and ability to use a statistics package. This work will serve second-year graduate students and researchers in the areas of applied mathematics, statistics, operations research, electrical engineering, and economics.

The Fundamentals of Heavy Tails

The Fundamentals of Heavy Tails PDF Author: Jayakrishnan Nair
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1316511731
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 265

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Book Description
An accessible yet rigorous package of probabilistic and statistical tools for anyone who must understand or model extreme events.

Univariate Stable Distributions

Univariate Stable Distributions PDF Author: John P. Nolan
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030529150
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 342

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Book Description
This textbook highlights the many practical uses of stable distributions, exploring the theory, numerical algorithms, and statistical methods used to work with stable laws. Because of the author’s accessible and comprehensive approach, readers will be able to understand and use these methods. Both mathematicians and non-mathematicians will find this a valuable resource for more accurately modelling and predicting large values in a number of real-world scenarios. Beginning with an introductory chapter that explains key ideas about stable laws, readers will be prepared for the more advanced topics that appear later. The following chapters present the theory of stable distributions, a wide range of applications, and statistical methods, with the final chapters focusing on regression, signal processing, and related distributions. Each chapter ends with a number of carefully chosen exercises. Links to free software are included as well, where readers can put these methods into practice. Univariate Stable Distributions is ideal for advanced undergraduate or graduate students in mathematics, as well as many other fields, such as statistics, economics, engineering, physics, and more. It will also appeal to researchers in probability theory who seek an authoritative reference on stable distributions.

Handbook Of Heavy-tailed Distributions In Asset Management And Risk Management

Handbook Of Heavy-tailed Distributions In Asset Management And Risk Management PDF Author: Michele Leonardo Bianchi
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9813276215
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 598

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Book Description
The study of heavy-tailed distributions allows researchers to represent phenomena that occasionally exhibit very large deviations from the mean. The dynamics underlying these phenomena is an interesting theoretical subject, but the study of their statistical properties is in itself a very useful endeavor from the point of view of managing assets and controlling risk. In this book, the authors are primarily concerned with the statistical properties of heavy-tailed distributions and with the processes that exhibit jumps. A detailed overview with a Matlab implementation of heavy-tailed models applied in asset management and risk managements is presented. The book is not intended as a theoretical treatise on probability or statistics, but as a tool to understand the main concepts regarding heavy-tailed random variables and processes as applied to real-world applications in finance. Accordingly, the authors review approaches and methodologies whose realization will be useful for developing new methods for forecasting of financial variables where extreme events are not treated as anomalies, but as intrinsic parts of the economic process.

Fat-tailed Distributions

Fat-tailed Distributions PDF Author: Roger M. Cooke
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781119054207
Category : MATHEMATICS
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails

Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails PDF Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781544508054
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The book investigates the misapplication of conventional statistical techniques to fat tailed distributions and looks for remedies, when possible. Switching from thin tailed to fat tailed distributions requires more than "changing the color of the dress." Traditional asymptotics deal mainly with either n=1 or n=∞, and the real world is in between, under the "laws of the medium numbers"-which vary widely across specific distributions. Both the law of large numbers and the generalized central limit mechanisms operate in highly idiosyncratic ways outside the standard Gaussian or Levy-Stable basins of convergence. A few examples: - The sample mean is rarely in line with the population mean, with effect on "naïve empiricism," but can be sometimes be estimated via parametric methods. - The "empirical distribution" is rarely empirical. - Parameter uncertainty has compounding effects on statistical metrics. - Dimension reduction (principal components) fails. - Inequality estimators (Gini or quantile contributions) are not additive and produce wrong results. - Many "biases" found in psychology become entirely rational under more sophisticated probability distributions. - Most of the failures of financial economics, econometrics, and behavioral economics can be attributed to using the wrong distributions. This book, the first volume of the Technical Incerto, weaves a narrative around published journal articles.

Adventures in Stochastic Processes

Adventures in Stochastic Processes PDF Author: Sidney I. Resnick
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461203872
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 640

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Book Description
Stochastic processes are necessary ingredients for building models of a wide variety of phenomena exhibiting time varying randomness. This text offers easy access to this fundamental topic for many students of applied sciences at many levels. It includes examples, exercises, applications, and computational procedures. It is uniquely useful for beginners and non-beginners in the field. No knowledge of measure theory is presumed.