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Author: Jaebeom Kim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The paper examines the convergence question by contrasting the half-lives of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) across traded and nontraded goods in an exchange rate model with sticky prices. In particular, empirical results show that in most cases the half-lives of PPP deviations for traded goods are shorter than those for total consumption and for nontraded goods.
Author: Jaebeom Kim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The paper examines the convergence question by contrasting the half-lives of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) across traded and nontraded goods in an exchange rate model with sticky prices. In particular, empirical results show that in most cases the half-lives of PPP deviations for traded goods are shorter than those for total consumption and for nontraded goods.
Author: Lutz Kilian
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 35
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Book Description
The half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) plays a central role in the ongoing debate about the ability of macroeconomic models to account for the time series behavior of the real exchange rate. The main contribution of this paper is a general framework in which alternative priors for the half-life of deviations from PPP can be examined. We show how to incorporate formally the prior views of economists about the half-life. In our empirical analysis we provide two examples of such priors. One example is a consensus prior consistent with widely held views among economists with a professional interest in the PPP debate. The other example is a relatively diffuse prior designed to capture a large degree of uncertainty about the half-life. Our methodology allows us to make explicit probability statements about the half-life and to assess the likelihood that the half-life exceeds a given number of years, without taking a stand on whether or not the data have a unit root. We find only very limited support for the common view in the PPP literature that the half-life is between three and five years.
Author: Lutz Kilian
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange rates
Languages : en
Pages : 48
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Book Description
Author: Lutz Kilian
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33
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Book Description
Author: Mr. Haroon Mumtaz
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451895534
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 43
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Book Description
We show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the PPP puzzle. We prove that established time-series and panel methods substantially exaggerate the persistence of real exchange rates because of heterogeneity in the dynamics of disaggregated relative prices. When heterogeneity is properly taken into account, estimates of the real exchange rate half-life fall dramatically, to little more than one year, or significantly below Rogoff''s "consensus view" of three to five years. We show that corrected estimates are consistent with plausible nominal rigidities, thus, arguably, solving the PPP puzzle.
Author: Mark Fisher
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 13
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Book Description
This note presents a nonparametric Bayesian approach to fitting a distribution to the survey data provided in Kilian and Zha (2002) regarding the prior for the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP). A point mass at infinity is included. The unknown density is represented as an average of shape-restricted Bernstein polynomials, each of which has been skewed according to a preliminary parametric fit. A sparsity prior is adopted for regularization.
Author: R.W. Jones
Publisher: North Holland
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 654
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Book Description
Textbook, research papers on international economic theory, economic policy and practice - includes a literature survey of theoretical studies in trade relations; covers evolution of economic models explaining the determinants of trade structure, capital flow, labour mobility, trade in natural resources, etc.; examines macroeconomics aspects of balance of payments, exchange rate, international monetary system, economic relations and dependence, etc. Bibliography, graphs, statistical tables.
Author: Mark P. Taylor
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317988205
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 227
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Book Description
The term Purchasing Power Parity may date from the early twentieth century, when it was coined by the Swedish economist Gustav Cassel, but the underlying concept had been enjoying varying degrees of success since its development in sixteenth century Spain. Even towards the end of the twentieth century, and especially since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates, PPP and the stability of real exchange rates continued to be the subject of academic debate. This volume brings together essays covering aspects of current thinking on Purchasing Power Parity, from the various ways in which to test for its existence, to its appearance in different economies around the world, to examinations of the explanations given when PPP does not appear to hold This book was published as a special issue of Applied Financial Economics. The academic editor of this journal is Mark P. Taylor.
Author: G.M. Grossman
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 9780444815477
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 902
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Book Description
This reference accords recognition to the recent revolution in macroeconomics wrought by imperfect competition. Grossman and Rogoff (Princeton U.) present chapters by two dozen contributors on two prime areas of research interest: international trade theory and policy (e.g. strategic trade patterns and policies, the relationship between trade and technological progress), and open economy macroeconomics and international finance (covering such topics as exchange rates, foreign lending, and policy coordination). The volume commences with Krugman's overview of the positive theory of international trade, and concludes with analyses of sovereign debt. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR.
Author: Mr.Karl Friedrich Habermeier
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451846959
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26
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Book Description
Long-run movements of real exchange rates are studied using a panel data set comprising 51 economies. The purchasing power parity hypothesis (PPP) is examined first using unit root tests. It is found that PPP does not hold for the full sample of countries, but it may hold for the advanced economies, as well as open and high-inflation economies. Using the recently developed mean group and pooled mean group estimators, the paper finds support for the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis in both advanced and developing economies; and for the influence of shifts in the terms of trade.
