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Author: Xavier Debrun
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451869828
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 53
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Book Description
The paper takes stock of the debate on the positive link between output volatility and the size of government-which reflects automatic stabilizers. After a survey of the literature, we show that the contribution of automatic stabilizers to output stability may have disappeared since the 1990s. However, econometric analysis suggests that the breakdown in the government size-volatility relationship largely reflects temporary developments (better monetary management and financial intermediation). Once these factors are taken into account, the stabilizing role of government size remains important although little extra stability can be gained by expanding public expenditure beyond 40 percent of GDP.
Author: Xavier Debrun
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451869828
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 53
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Book Description
The paper takes stock of the debate on the positive link between output volatility and the size of government-which reflects automatic stabilizers. After a survey of the literature, we show that the contribution of automatic stabilizers to output stability may have disappeared since the 1990s. However, econometric analysis suggests that the breakdown in the government size-volatility relationship largely reflects temporary developments (better monetary management and financial intermediation). Once these factors are taken into account, the stabilizing role of government size remains important although little extra stability can be gained by expanding public expenditure beyond 40 percent of GDP.
Author: Xavier Debrun
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 53
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Book Description
Author: Xavier Debrun
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic books
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Mr.Carlo Cottarelli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455201383
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 16
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Book Description
The size of government is a commonly used variable in many analytical studies on the effects of fiscal policy. An accepted practice is to measure it as the ratio of government spending to GDP. However, this is not the correct metric when computing the stabilization effects of nondiscretionary fiscal policy. Intuitively, public spending does not react to cyclical conditions as much as taxes do - as reflected in the standard zero-one elasticity assumptions for spending and revenue, respectively. This paper shows that the revenue to GDP ratio is the appropriate indicator of government size for the purpose of assessing the stabilization effects of nondiscretionary fiscal policy.
Author: Martin Iseringhausen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This paper studies the determinants of output volatility in a panel of 22 OECD countries. In contrast to the existing literature, we avoid ad hoc estimates of volatility based on rolling windows, and we account for possible non-stationarity. Specifically, output volatility is modelled within an unobserved components model where the volatility series is the outcome of both macroeconomic determinants and a latent integrated process. A Bayesian model selection approach tests for the presence of the non-stationary component. The results point to demographics and government size as important determinants of macroeconomic (in)stability. A larger share of prime-age workers is associated with lower output volatility, while higher public expenditure increases volatility.
Author: Erkki Koskela
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16
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Book Description
Author: Mr.Xavier Debrun
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455200700
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48
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Book Description
The paper revisits the link between fiscal policy and macroeconomic stability. Two salient features of our analysis are (1) a systematic test for the government’s ambivalent role as a shock absorber and a shock inducer—removing a downward bias present in existing estimates of the impact of automatic stabilizers—and (2) a broad sample of advanced and emerging market economies. Results provide strong support for the view that fiscal stabilization operates mainly through automatic stabilizers. Also, the destabilizing impact of policy changes not systematically related to the business cycle may not be as robust as suggested in the literature.
Author: Madhusudan S. Mohanty
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This article examines the potential role of government size in explaining differences in output volatility across OECD countries in the context of the latest recession. There is some evidence to suggest that government size as measured by the share of expenditure in GDP has a modest negative association with output volatility. Moreover, this link seems to have weakened further since the mid-1980s. Factors such as trade openness and exposure to terms-of-trade shocks as well as volatility of inflation appear important. Interestingly, the same set of factors seems to matter in explaining the severity of recession in OECD countries.
Author: Eiji Fujii
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 42
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Book Description
Government is often considered the safe sector of an open economy that provides households with insurance against external risk exposure. Among highly integrated economies, however, households should be able to exploit common financial markets to insure themselves. In this paper we examine the relationship between government size, trade openness, and output volatility across fully integrated economies using Japan's regional income accounting and public finance data. The contributions of the government- and market-based insurances to inter-regional risk sharing are also estimated. The empirical results reveal some unique aspects of the state-market interactions under full economic integration with vertical fiscal imbalance.
Author: Matti Virén
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789524622042
Category : Economic stabilization
Languages : en
Pages : 24
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Book Description
Tiivistelmä: Julkisen sektorin koko ja tuotannon volatiilisuus.
