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Author: Baranovskiy, Nikolay Viktorovich
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1799872521
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 297
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Book Description
Forest fires cause ecological, economic, and social damage to various states of the international community. The causes of forest fires are rather varied, but the main factor is human activity in settlements, industrial facilities, objects of transport infrastructure, and intensively developed territories (in other words, anthropogenic load). In turn, storm activity is also a basic reason for forest fires in remote territories. Therefore, scientists across the world have developed methods, approaches, and systems to predict forest fire danger, including the impact of human and storm activity on forested territories. An important and comprehensive point of research is on the complex deterministic-probabilistic approach, which combines mathematical models of forest fuel ignition by various sources of high temperature and probabilistic criteria of forest fire occurrence. Forest Fire Danger Prediction Using Deterministic-Probabilistic Approach provides a comprehensive approach of forest fire danger prediction using mathematical models of forest fuel with consideration to anthropogenic load, storm activity, and meteorological parameters. Specifically, it uses the deterministic-probabilistic approach to predict forest fire danger and improve forest protection from fires. The chapters will cover various tree types, mathematical models, and solutions for reducing the destructive consequences of forest fires on ecosystems. This book is ideal for professionals and researchers working in the field of forestry, forest fire danger researchers, executives, computer engineers, practitioners, government officials, policymakers, academicians, and students looking for a new system to predict forest fire danger.
Author: Baranovskiy, Nikolay Viktorovich
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1799872521
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 297
Get Book Here
Book Description
Forest fires cause ecological, economic, and social damage to various states of the international community. The causes of forest fires are rather varied, but the main factor is human activity in settlements, industrial facilities, objects of transport infrastructure, and intensively developed territories (in other words, anthropogenic load). In turn, storm activity is also a basic reason for forest fires in remote territories. Therefore, scientists across the world have developed methods, approaches, and systems to predict forest fire danger, including the impact of human and storm activity on forested territories. An important and comprehensive point of research is on the complex deterministic-probabilistic approach, which combines mathematical models of forest fuel ignition by various sources of high temperature and probabilistic criteria of forest fire occurrence. Forest Fire Danger Prediction Using Deterministic-Probabilistic Approach provides a comprehensive approach of forest fire danger prediction using mathematical models of forest fuel with consideration to anthropogenic load, storm activity, and meteorological parameters. Specifically, it uses the deterministic-probabilistic approach to predict forest fire danger and improve forest protection from fires. The chapters will cover various tree types, mathematical models, and solutions for reducing the destructive consequences of forest fires on ecosystems. This book is ideal for professionals and researchers working in the field of forestry, forest fire danger researchers, executives, computer engineers, practitioners, government officials, policymakers, academicians, and students looking for a new system to predict forest fire danger.
Author: Baranovskiy, Nikolay Viktorovich
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1799818691
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 417
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Book Description
To understand the catastrophic processes of forest fire danger, different deterministic, probabilistic, and empiric models must be used. Simulating various surface and crown forest fires using predictive information technology could lead to the improvement of existing systems and the examination of the ecological and economic effects of forest fires in other countries. Predicting, Monitoring, and Assessing Forest Fire Dangers and Risks provides innovative insights into forestry management and fire statistics. The content within this publication examines climate change, thermal radiation, and remote sensing. It is designed for fire investigators, forestry technicians, emergency managers, fire and rescue specialists, professionals, researchers, meteorologists, computer engineers, academicians, and students invested in topics centered around providing conjugate information on forest fire danger and risk.
Author: Stéphane Vannitsem
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 012812248X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 364
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Book Description
Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. - Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place - Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts - Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner
Author: Joe H. Scott
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Fire management
Languages : en
Pages : 84
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Book Description
This report describes a new set of standard fire behavior fuel models for use with Rothermels surface fire spread model and the relationship of the new set to the original set of 13 fire behavior fuel models. To assist with transition to using the new fuel models, a fuel model selection guide, fuel model crosswalk, and set of fuel model photos are provided.
Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309380979
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 187
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Book Description
As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall, and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts. Even with evidence of these broad trends, scientists cautioned in the past that individual weather events couldn't be attributed to climate change. Now, with advances in understanding the climate science behind extreme events and the science of extreme event attribution, such blanket statements may not be accurate. The relatively young science of extreme event attribution seeks to tease out the influence of human-cause climate change from other factors, such as natural sources of variability like El Niño, as contributors to individual extreme events. Event attribution can answer questions about how much climate change influenced the probability or intensity of a specific type of weather event. As event attribution capabilities improve, they could help inform choices about assessing and managing risk, and in guiding climate adaptation strategies. This report examines the current state of science of extreme weather attribution, and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities.
Author: JS Gould
Publisher: CSIRO PUBLISHING
ISBN: 0643102779
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 230
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Book Description
Project Vesta was a comprehensive research project to investigate the behaviour and spread of high-intensity bushfires in dry eucalypt forests with different fuel ages and understorey vegetation structures. The project was designed to quantify age-related changes in fuel attributes and fire behaviour in dry eucalypt forests typical of southern Australia. The four main scientific aims of Project Vesta were: To quantify the changes in the behaviour of fire in dry eucalypt forest as fuel develops with age (i.e. time since fire); To characterise wind speed profiles in forest with different overstorey and understorey vegetation structure in relation to fire behaviour; To develop new algorithms describing the relationship between fire spread and wind speed, and fire spread and fuel characteristics including load, structure and height; and to develop a National Fire Behaviour Prediction System for dry eucalypt forests. These aims have been addressed through a program of experimental burning and associated studies at two sites in the south-west of Western Australia.
Author: Tan Yigitcanlar
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 161692022X
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 416
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Book Description
"This book investigates the role of urban, regional and infrastructure planning in achieving sustainable urban and infrastructure development, providing insights into overcoming the consequences of unsustainable development"--Provided by publisher.
Author: Jonathan Rougier
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107310768
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 587
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Book Description
Assessment of risk and uncertainty is crucial for natural hazard risk management, facilitating risk communication and informing strategies to successfully mitigate our society's vulnerability to natural disasters. Written by some of the world's leading experts, this book provides a state-of-the-art overview of risk and uncertainty assessment in natural hazards. It presents the core statistical concepts using clearly defined terminology applicable across all types of natural hazards and addresses the full range of sources of uncertainty, the role of expert judgement and the practice of uncertainty elicitation. The core of the book provides detailed coverage of all the main hazard types and concluding chapters address the wider societal context of risk management. This is an invaluable compendium for academic researchers and professionals working in the fields of natural hazards science, risk assessment and management and environmental science, and will be of interest to anyone involved in natural hazards policy.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forest fire forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
The objective of this study was to provide managers with national-level data on current conditions of vegetation and fuels developed from ecologically based methods to address these questions: How do current vegetation and fuels differ from those that existed historically? Where on the landscape do vegetation and fuels differ from historical levels? In particular, where are high fuel accumulations? When considered at a coarse scale, which areas estimated to have high fuel accumulations represent the highest priorities for treatment?
Author: Alberto Troccoli
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1402069928
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 462
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Book Description
Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI), this book has grown to become organised and presented rather more as a textbook than as a standard "collection of proceedings". This therefore is the first unified reference ‘textbook’ in seasonal to interannual climate predictions and their practical uses. Written by some of the world’s leading experts, the book covers a rapidly-developing science of prime social concern.
