Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows

Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows PDF Author: Eric M. Leeper
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475558244
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65

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Book Description
News - or foresight - about future economic fundamentals can create rational expectations equilibria with non-fundamental representations that pose substantial challenges to econometric efforts to recover the structural shocks to which economic agents react. Using tax policies as a leading example of foresight, simple theory makes transparent the economic behavior and information structures that generate non-fundamental equilibria. Econometric analyses that fail to model foresight will obtain biased estimates of output multipliers for taxes; biases are quantitatively important when two canonical theoretical models are taken as data generating processes. Both the nature of equilibria and the inferences about the effects of anticipated tax changes hinge critically on hypothesized information flows. Different methods for extracting or hypothesizing the information flows are discussed and shown to be alternative techniques for resolving a non-uniqueness problem endemic to moving average representations.

Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows

Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows PDF Author: Eric M. Leeper
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475558244
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65

Get Book Here

Book Description
News - or foresight - about future economic fundamentals can create rational expectations equilibria with non-fundamental representations that pose substantial challenges to econometric efforts to recover the structural shocks to which economic agents react. Using tax policies as a leading example of foresight, simple theory makes transparent the economic behavior and information structures that generate non-fundamental equilibria. Econometric analyses that fail to model foresight will obtain biased estimates of output multipliers for taxes; biases are quantitatively important when two canonical theoretical models are taken as data generating processes. Both the nature of equilibria and the inferences about the effects of anticipated tax changes hinge critically on hypothesized information flows. Different methods for extracting or hypothesizing the information flows are discussed and shown to be alternative techniques for resolving a non-uniqueness problem endemic to moving average representations.

Foresight and Information Flows

Foresight and Information Flows PDF Author: Eric M. Leeper
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 45

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Book Description
Abstract: News--or foresight--about future economic fundamentals can create rational expectations equilibria with non-fundamental representations that pose substantial challenges to econometric efforts to recover the structural shocks to which economic agents react. Using tax policies as a leading example of foresight, simple theory makes transparent the economic behavior and information structures that generate non-fundamental equilibria. Econometric analyses that fail to model foresight will obtain biased estimates of output multipliers for taxes; biases are quantitatively important when two canonical theoretical models are taken as data generating processes. Both the nature of equilibria and the inferences about the effects of anticipated tax changes hinge critically on hypothesized tax information flows. Differential U.S. federal tax treatment of municipal and treasury bonds embeds news about future taxes in bond yield spreads. Including that measure of tax news in identified VARs produces substantially different inferences about the macroeconomic impacts of anticipated taxes

Corporate Foresight and Strategic Decisions

Corporate Foresight and Strategic Decisions PDF Author: S. Marinova
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137326972
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 368

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Book Description
This study investigates the relationships between corporate foresight and management decision-making processes in organizations. It provides an extensive analysis of extant theories of corporate foresight and strategic management, brings in new insights, and presents an in-depth case study exploration of corporate foresight of a European bank.

Information Resources Management

Information Resources Management PDF Author: United States. Commission on Federal Paperwork
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Government information
Languages : en
Pages : 84

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Book Description


Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040 PDF Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
ISBN: 9781646794973
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 158

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Book Description
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Asian and Pacific Technology Transfer Handbook - Strategic Information, Regulations, Developments

Asian and Pacific Technology Transfer Handbook - Strategic Information, Regulations, Developments PDF Author: IBP, Inc.
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 1438700865
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 297

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Book Description
2011 Updated Reprint. Updated Annually. Asian and Pacific Technology Transfer Handbook

Innovation and Strategy

Innovation and Strategy PDF Author: Rajan Varadarajan
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1787548309
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 371

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Book Description
This volume focuses on substantive issues in innovation, marketing strategy, and the nexus of innovation and marketing strategy.

Information Systems and Organizational Structure

Information Systems and Organizational Structure PDF Author: Erwin Grochla
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN: 3110833484
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 496

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Book Description
No detailed description available for "Information Systems and Organizational Structure".

Proceedings

Proceedings PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Computer simulation
Languages : en
Pages : 276

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Book Description


Knowledge Management, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship in a Changing World

Knowledge Management, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship in a Changing World PDF Author: Jennex, Murray Eugene
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1799823571
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 463

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Book Description
In today’s world of business, gaining an advantage of competitors is a focal point for organizations and a driving force in the economy. New practices are being studied and implemented constantly by rivaling companies. Many industries have begun putting emphasis on intensive knowledge practices, with the belief that implementing cutting-edge learning practices will fuel research and innovation within the company. Understanding this dynamic method of management is critical for managers and executives who wish to propel the success of their organizations. Knowledge Management, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship in a Changing World is a collection of pioneering research on the methods of gaining organizational advantages based on knowledge innovation and management. While highlighting topics including human-robot teaming, organizational learning, and e-collaboration, this book will explore the sustainable links between knowledge management influences and organizational capability. This book is ideally designed for managers, strategists, economists, policymakers, entrepreneurs, business professionals, researchers, students, and academics seeking research on recent trends in innovative economics and business technologies.