Forecasting the United Kingdom Economy PDF Download
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Author: J. C. K. Ash
Publisher: Farnborough : Saxon House ; Lexington, Mass : Lexington Books
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 294
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Book Description
Author: J. C. K. Ash
Publisher: Farnborough : Saxon House ; Lexington, Mass : Lexington Books
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 294
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Book Description
Author: David F. Hendry
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262582421
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 236
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Book Description
How to interpret and evaluate economic forecasts and the uncertainties inherent in them.
Author: John C. Ash
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 267
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Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781912225996
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264816917
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 221
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Book Description
The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 1, highlights the improved prospects for the global economy due to vaccinations and stronger policy support, but also points to uneven progress across countries and key risks and challenges in maintaining and strengthening the recovery.
Author: Michael Clements
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521634809
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 402
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Book Description
This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.
Author: Great Britain. Treasury
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781845325848
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33
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Book Description
Author: Office for Budget Responsibility
Publisher: The Stationery Office
ISBN: 9780101797924
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 164
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Book Description
The Office for Budget Responsibility was established to provide independent and authoritative analysis of the UK's public finances. Part of this role includes producing the official economic and fiscal forecasts. This report sets out forecasts for the period to 2015-16. The report also assesses whether the Government is on course to meet the medium-term fiscal objectives and presents preliminary observations on the long-run sustainability of the public finances. Since the June forecast, the UK economy has recovered more strongly than initially expected. The GDP growth was greater than expected in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, but that unemployment levels have risen to levels that the June forecast did not anticipate until the middle of 2012. In general the world economy has also grown more strongly. CPI inflation has remained slightly higher than expected in June, whilst public finances have performed as forecast. The interest rates on UK debt are lower than in June. The OBR forecasts that the economy will continue to recover from the recession, but at a slower pace than the recoveries of the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s. The publication is divided into 5 chapters with two annexes.
Author: Giles Keating
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9780416357905
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 238
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Book Description
Author: N. Carnot
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230005810
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 335
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Book Description
Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.
