First Term Enlisted Attrition. Volume 2. Summary

First Term Enlisted Attrition. Volume 2. Summary PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 43

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Book Description
During April 4-7, the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the Office of Naval Research co-sponsored a Conference on First Term Enlisted Attrition. The purposes of the meeting were: (a) to review what is known about attrition in the Services--its magnitude, current trends and costs, and how it is managed; (b) to learn about relevant research--both inside and out of the DoD--that deals with attrition; and (c) to identify gaps in our knowledge that could be addressed by new R and D. Participants in the conference included: uniformed representatives of each of the Services; civilian scientists and research managers from the main DoD personnel and manpower laboratories; academic scientists; and contractors currently working on attrition-related matters. The meeting consisted of five types of sessions: (a) a keynote address; (b) general sessions in which technical papers were presented; (c) small workshop meetings providing the opportunity for informal discussion; (d) a roundtable discussion by flag officers; and (e) a final session in two parts: comments by a half-dozen discussant-critics and papers by a half-dozen discussant-critics and papers by representatives of the two principal sponsors within OSD, i.e., the Assistant Secretary of Defense (Manpower and Reserve Affairs) and the Office of the Director of Defense Research and Engineering.

First Term Enlisted Attrition. Volume 2. Summary

First Term Enlisted Attrition. Volume 2. Summary PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 43

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Book Description
During April 4-7, the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the Office of Naval Research co-sponsored a Conference on First Term Enlisted Attrition. The purposes of the meeting were: (a) to review what is known about attrition in the Services--its magnitude, current trends and costs, and how it is managed; (b) to learn about relevant research--both inside and out of the DoD--that deals with attrition; and (c) to identify gaps in our knowledge that could be addressed by new R and D. Participants in the conference included: uniformed representatives of each of the Services; civilian scientists and research managers from the main DoD personnel and manpower laboratories; academic scientists; and contractors currently working on attrition-related matters. The meeting consisted of five types of sessions: (a) a keynote address; (b) general sessions in which technical papers were presented; (c) small workshop meetings providing the opportunity for informal discussion; (d) a roundtable discussion by flag officers; and (e) a final session in two parts: comments by a half-dozen discussant-critics and papers by a half-dozen discussant-critics and papers by representatives of the two principal sponsors within OSD, i.e., the Assistant Secretary of Defense (Manpower and Reserve Affairs) and the Office of the Director of Defense Research and Engineering.

First Term Enlisted Attrition - Volume 1. Papers

First Term Enlisted Attrition - Volume 1. Papers PDF Author: H. W. Sinaiko
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 522

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Book Description
The purposes of this meeting, cosponsored by the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the Office of Naval Research, were: (1) to review what is known about attrition in the Services-its magnitude, current trends and costs, and how it is managed; (2) to learn about relevant research-both inside and out of the DOD-that deals with attrition; and (3) to identify gaps in our knowledge that could be addressed by new R and D. Among the topics discussed in this volume are: First-Term Enlisted Attrition Policies and Practices; The Absorption and Integration of Newcomers; Organizational Commitment and Personnel Attrition; Post High-School Drop-Outs (And Stayers); Individual, Organizational, and Environmental Influences on Turnover; A Longitudinal Study of Enlisted Personnel Attrition in the U.S. Marine Corps; Job Changing Behavior of Young Men in the Civilian Labor Market; Minimizing Adjustment Problems and Attrition Rates of Minority Military First-Term Enlisted Men; A Model to Analyze the Cost Impact of First-Term Attrition in the Navy and Marine Corps; and Quality of Marines-- Test scores, personal data, and performance.

Military Attrition

Military Attrition PDF Author: Carol R. Schuster
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 9780788177323
Category : Military discharge
Languages : en
Pages : 84

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Book Description
25,000 enlisted personnel are being separated from the services in their first 6 months, during or shortly after they complete basic training. This report analyzes historical attrition rates for enlisted personnel who serve at least 6 months, but leave military service before completing their first contract terms. It determines (1) the rate and timing of attrition during enlistees' first terms; (2) the extent of DoD's investment in recruiting and training first-term enlistees; (3) reasons for first-term attrition after training; (4) servicemembers' perceptions of quality-of-life factors that contribute to attrition; and (5) actions the services are taking to reduce enlistees' attrition.

Technical Abstract Bulletin

Technical Abstract Bulletin PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 1048

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Predicting 36-Month Attrition in the U. S. Military

Predicting 36-Month Attrition in the U. S. Military PDF Author: James V. Marrone
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781977404121
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 106

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Book Description
The author analyzes first-term attrition, using administrative data for all accessions across four military service branches in fiscal years 2002 through 2013 to show what characteristics predict attrition across the first 36 months of service.

Military Enlistment and Attrition

Military Enlistment and Attrition PDF Author: John J. Antel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 86

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Book Description
This report presents a theoretical discussion and empirical analysis of enlistment and first-term attrition. The theoretical discussion gives rise to hypotheses about enlistment and attrition. The enlistment hypotheses take a supply view, treating military service as an alternative to further schooling or to work. The attrition hypotheses are inherently two-sided, considering first the value of enlistment to the individual and the likelihood that he is more prone to disappointment due to poor planning, and second, the value of the individual to the service and the chance that the service's eligibility screens were unable to identify low-productivity prospects. The empirical analysis is directed to the two prime recruiting markets from which the services draw high-quality male enlistees: high school seniors and nonstudent high school graduates. The study estimates sequential probit models for seniors and graduates separately, for both enlistment and six-month attrition and enlistment and 35-month attrition. The model produces estimates of the effect of individual characteristics on enlistment and on attrition, and controls for unobserved factors affecting both outcomes. The findings suggest that a small set of factors can reveal a wide range of attrition risk among enlistees. The factors are senior/graduate status, positive/negative education expectations, stable/unstable civilian employment history, and short/long participation in the Delayed Entry Program.

Analysis of Early Military Attrition Behavior

Analysis of Early Military Attrition Behavior PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : United States
Languages : en
Pages : 82

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Book Description
This study analyzes the influence of pre-service experiences and initial military job match on military attrition of first-term enlisted males during their first six months of service (early attrition). The dynamics of attrition behavior are examined in terms of recent firm-specific human capital and job matching models. The determinants of early attrition are compared across services and with those of civilian job separations of young workers. Some of the conclusions drawn are: enlistees with a history of frequency civilian job changes or a recent spell of unemployment are attrition-prone; aspects of the initial military occupational assignment like individual suitability and satisfaction do not significantly influence early attrition; the early attrition rate of nonhigh-school graduates is nearly twice that of graduates even after controlling for previous work experiences, aptitude, and other variables that influence attrition; and older recruits are more attrition-prone than younger recruits.

Predicting U.S. Army Enlisted Attrition After Initial Entry Training (IET) Using Survival Analysis - Sophisticated Research Modeling Using Medical Information, Dental and Hearing Readiness Important

Predicting U.S. Army Enlisted Attrition After Initial Entry Training (IET) Using Survival Analysis - Sophisticated Research Modeling Using Medical Information, Dental and Hearing Readiness Important PDF Author: U S Military
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781688024540
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 108

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Book Description
For the first time since 2005, the U.S. Army fell short of its recruiting goal in 2018 by about 6,500 recruits. A strong economy and an increasing pool of recruit candidates who require a waiver to enlist add to the Army's recruitment troubles. Mental health issues, obesity, and other medical issues have become barriers that disqualify recruits from enlisting. For those who are eligible, they complete a training period called Initial Entry Training (IET). After finishing IET, many soldiers do not finish their first-term service obligation. This research continues the research conducted by Speten (2018) on post-IET attrition, with the added benefit of having medical data available in the Person-event Data Environment (PDE), a secure, virtual environment with a database that provides information on manpower, service, personnel, and medical data. Currently, no research has been conducted that uses detailed medical information to predict post-IET attrition. To estimate the expected number of soldiers who attrite at a specific time post-IET and prior to the end of their first-term obligation, we construct survival tree models using time-varying and time-constant covariates. We find several medical covariates that are important in forecasting attrition including dental readiness and hearing readiness. The effectiveness of the models is assessed on independent test sets. They perform well in predicting expected number of attrition, but not in predicting individual soldier attrition.This compilation includes a reproduction of the 2019 Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community.For the first time in 13 years, the Army did not meet its recruiting goal (Dickstein 2018). This failure to recruit qualified personnel is especially dire in a time when threats from Russia and China continue to grow. One issue that continues to threaten the ability to recruit soldiers is the lack of a qualified pool of candidates. Criminal convictions, mental health issues, obesity, and other medical issues have become roadblocks that disqualify young recruits from enlisting. In the past, the Army has relaxed certain standards and has given waivers to enlistees for conduct, aptitude, or minor medical issues. However, in 2019, Secretary of the Army, Mark Esper, mandated that fewer less-qualified recruits that require waivers be accepted into the ranks (Myers 2018). This research identifies the demographic and medical factors that contribute to first term service obligation attrition of enlisted U.S. Army soldiers who complete Initial Entry Training (IET). We develop a predictive survival model using survival analysis to forecast the probability that a soldier will either leave the service through attrition within the first t years into their first term or will continue to serve in the Army past their initial first term obligation. The data we use is stored and analyzed in the Person-Event Data Environment (PDE). The PDE is a remote cloud computer environment where data is stored centrally and accessed safely from verified users. The remote access feature of the database ensures there are no privacy or security breaches involving personal information. The PDE contains millions of records on Department of Defense employees, military personnel, and their family members. All personally identifiable information in the database is absent and each individual is assigned a unique Person Identifier (PID).

Technical Report

Technical Report PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Military research
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Air University Review

Air University Review PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aeronautics
Languages : en
Pages : 148

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Book Description