Evaluating Novel Threats to the Homeland

Evaluating Novel Threats to the Homeland PDF Author: Brian A. Jackson
Publisher: Rand Corporation
ISBN: 083304169X
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 129

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Book Description
Changes in technology and adversary behavior will invariably produce new threats that must be assessed by defense and homeland security planners. An example of such a novel threat is the use of cruise missiles or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) by terrorist groups. Individual threats cannot be assessed in isolation, however, since adversaries always have many options for staging attacks. To examine this threat, RAND utilized a ?red analysis of alternatives? approach, wherein the benefits, costs, and risks of different options are considered from the point of view of a potential adversary. For several types of attacks, the suitability of these systems was compared against other options. This approach can help defense planners understand how the capabilities that different attack modes provide address key adversary operational problems. Given the insights this analysis produced about when these systems would likely be preferred by an attacker, RAND explored defensive options to address the threat. UAVs and cruise missiles represent a ?niche threat? within a larger threat context; therefore, defenses were sought that provide common protection against both this and other asymmetric threats. The monograph concludes with a discussion of cross-cutting lessons about this threat and the assessment of novel threats in general.

Evaluating Novel Threats to the Homeland

Evaluating Novel Threats to the Homeland PDF Author: Brian A. Jackson
Publisher: Rand Corporation
ISBN: 083304169X
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 129

Get Book Here

Book Description
Changes in technology and adversary behavior will invariably produce new threats that must be assessed by defense and homeland security planners. An example of such a novel threat is the use of cruise missiles or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) by terrorist groups. Individual threats cannot be assessed in isolation, however, since adversaries always have many options for staging attacks. To examine this threat, RAND utilized a ?red analysis of alternatives? approach, wherein the benefits, costs, and risks of different options are considered from the point of view of a potential adversary. For several types of attacks, the suitability of these systems was compared against other options. This approach can help defense planners understand how the capabilities that different attack modes provide address key adversary operational problems. Given the insights this analysis produced about when these systems would likely be preferred by an attacker, RAND explored defensive options to address the threat. UAVs and cruise missiles represent a ?niche threat? within a larger threat context; therefore, defenses were sought that provide common protection against both this and other asymmetric threats. The monograph concludes with a discussion of cross-cutting lessons about this threat and the assessment of novel threats in general.

Homeland Security

Homeland Security PDF Author: Michael Chertoff
Publisher: University of Pennsylvania Press
ISBN: 081220588X
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 217

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Book Description
In 2003, the President and the U.S. Congress established the Department of Homeland Security. From the beginning, its mission was clear: prevent terrorist attacks, protect against threats to America's safety and security, and prepare the nation to respond effectively to disasters, both natural and man-made. This monumental mission demands a comprehensive strategy. It also requires a crystal-clear explanation of that strategy to Americans and their allies worldwide. In a revealing new book, Homeland Security: Assessing the First Five Years, Michael Chertoff provides that explanation. In a refreshingly candid and engaging manner, America's former homeland security secretary depicts the department's long-term approach, what it has achieved, and what it has yet to do. The strategy begins with the threats America faces, from terrorist groups like al Qaeda to hurricanes like Ike or Gustav. "Once these threats are identified," Chertoff writes, "we can confront them, using every tool at our disposal. We can stop terrorists from entering the country, and discourage people from embracing terrorism by combating its lethal ideology. We can protect our critical assets and reduce our vulnerabilities to natural disasters. We can plan and prepare for emergencies and respond in a way that minimizes the consequences. And we can work closely with our allies abroad to reduce the risk of future disasters." In each of these areas, Chertoff informs the reader what the nation has done and what it still must do to secure its future. How well has this strategy fared in a post-9/11 world? Since that fateful day, there have been no global terror attacks on American soil. Yet in the face of continued dangers, Michael Chertoff warns repeatedly against complacency. He urges America and its leaders to strengthen their resolve, stay the course, and build creatively on past successes.

Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis

Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309159245
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 160

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Book Description
The events of September 11, 2001 changed perceptions, rearranged national priorities, and produced significant new government entities, including the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) created in 2003. While the principal mission of DHS is to lead efforts to secure the nation against those forces that wish to do harm, the department also has responsibilities in regard to preparation for and response to other hazards and disasters, such as floods, earthquakes, and other "natural" disasters. Whether in the context of preparedness, response or recovery from terrorism, illegal entry to the country, or natural disasters, DHS is committed to processes and methods that feature risk assessment as a critical component for making better-informed decisions. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis explores how DHS is building its capabilities in risk analysis to inform decision making. The department uses risk analysis to inform decisions ranging from high-level policy choices to fine-scale protocols that guide the minute-by-minute actions of DHS employees. Although DHS is responsible for mitigating a range of threats, natural disasters, and pandemics, its risk analysis efforts are weighted heavily toward terrorism. In addition to assessing the capability of DHS risk analysis methods to support decision-making, the book evaluates the quality of the current approach to estimating risk and discusses how to improve current risk analysis procedures. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis recommends that DHS continue to build its integrated risk management framework. It also suggests that the department improve the way models are developed and used and follow time-tested scientific practices, among other recommendations.

Introduction to Homeland Security

Introduction to Homeland Security PDF Author: Jane Bullock
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0124158021
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 688

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Book Description
Provides a comprehensive account of past and current homeland security reorganization and practices, policies and programs in relation to government restructuring.

Evaluating Novel Threats to the Homeland. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles and Cruise Missiles

Evaluating Novel Threats to the Homeland. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles and Cruise Missiles PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
How to invest homeland security resources wisely in the United States can appear to be an intractable problem because the large, open American society seems to be vulnerable to so many threats in every corner of the country. This monograph is intended to present a defense-planning approach to bound the problem and thereby aid policy and resource decisions about one type of potential threat to the homeland: cruise missiles and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). The methodology used can be applied to other modes of attack, and the insights gained from this approach extend to other threats as well. Indeed, although the focus of the research is on a specific class of weapons, it does not look at that class in isolation; rather, it considers the weapons as one of many options open to a potential attacker and seeks to identify investment strategies that are effective against multiple threats and weapons.

Developing Next-Generation Countermeasures for Homeland Security Threat Prevention

Developing Next-Generation Countermeasures for Homeland Security Threat Prevention PDF Author: Dawson, Maurice
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1522507043
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 448

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Book Description
In the modern world, natural disasters are becoming more commonplace, unmanned systems are becoming the norm, and terrorism and espionage are increasingly taking place online. All of these threats have made it necessary for governments and organizations to steel themselves against these threats in innovative ways. Developing Next-Generation Countermeasures for Homeland Security Threat Prevention provides relevant theoretical frameworks and empirical research outlining potential threats while exploring their appropriate countermeasures. This relevant publication takes a broad perspective, from network security, surveillance, reconnaissance, and physical security, all topics are considered with equal weight. Ideal for policy makers, IT professionals, engineers, NGO operators, and graduate students, this book provides an in-depth look into the threats facing modern society and the methods to avoid them.

Terrorism, Asymmetric Warfare, and Weapons of Mass Destruction

Terrorism, Asymmetric Warfare, and Weapons of Mass Destruction PDF Author: Anthony H. Cordesman
Publisher:
ISBN: 9782001036318
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description


Threat Assessment and Risk Analysis

Threat Assessment and Risk Analysis PDF Author: Greg Allen
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN: 9780128022245
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Threat Assessment and Risk Analysis: An Applied Approach details the entire risk analysis process in accessible language, providing the tools and insight needed to effectively analyze risk and secure facilities in a broad range of industries and organizations. The book explores physical vulnerabilities in such systems as transportation, distribution, and communications, and demonstrates how to measure the key risks and their consequences, providing cost-effective and achievable methods for evaluating the appropriate security risk mitigation countermeasures. Users will find a book that outlines the processes for identifying and assessing the most essential threats and risks an organization faces, along with information on how to address only those that justify security expenditures. Balancing the proper security measures versus the actual risks an organization faces is essential when it comes to protecting physical assets. However, determining which security controls are appropriate is often a subjective and complex matter. The book explores this process in an objective and achievable manner, and is a valuable resource for security and risk management executives, directors, and students.

The Myth of Homeland Security

The Myth of Homeland Security PDF Author: Marcus Ranum
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0764555790
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 264

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Book Description
"As I write this, I'm sitting in a restaurant in a major U.S. airport, eating my breakfast with a plastic knife and fork. I worked up quite an appetite getting here two hours early and shuffling in the block-long lines until I got to the security checkpoint where I could take off my shoes, remove my belt, and put my carry-on luggage through the screening system . "What's going on? It's homeland security. Welcome to the new age of knee-jerk security at any price. Well, I've paid, and you've paid, and we'll all keep paying-but is it going to help? Have we embarked on a massive multibillion-dollar boondoggle that's going to do nothing more than make us feel more secure? Are we paying nosebleed prices for "feel-good" measures? . "This book was painful to write. By nature, I am a problem solver. Professionally I have made my career out of solving complex problems efficiently by trying to find the right place to push hard and make a difference. Researching the Department of Homeland Security, the FBI, CIA, INS, the PATRIOT Act, and so forth, one falls into a rabbit's hole of interdependent lameness and dysfunction. I came face to face with the realization that there are gigantic bureaucracies that exist primarily for the sole purpose of prolonging their existence, that the very structure of bureaucracy rewards inefficiency and encourages territorialism and turf warfare."

Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment

Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309120284
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 172

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Book Description
The mission of Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change, the book published in December 2008, is to independently and scientifically review the methodology that led to the 2006 Department of Homeland Security report, Bioterrorism Risk Assessment (BTRA) and provide a foundation for future updates. This book identifies a number of fundamental concerns with the BTRA of 2006, ranging from mathematical and statistical mistakes that have corrupted results, to unnecessarily complicated probability models and models with fidelity far exceeding existing data, to more basic questions about how terrorist behavior should be modeled. Rather than merely criticizing what was done in the BTRA of 2006, this new NRC book consults outside experts and collects a number of proposed alternatives that could improve DHS's ability to assess potential terrorist behavior as a key element of risk-informed decision making, and it explains these alternatives in the specific context of the BTRA and the bioterrorism threat.