Estimating Volatility and Dividend Yield When Valuing Real Options to Invest or Abandon

Estimating Volatility and Dividend Yield When Valuing Real Options to Invest or Abandon PDF Author: Graham A. Davis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The opportunity to invest in or abandon a project can in principle be valued using real options techniques. In practice, option pricing has as inputs the volatility and dividend yield of the project, which are in most cases not observable via market data. Current methods of estimating these parameters are largely ad hoc, introducing potential error into the valuation process. This paper uses simple production models to formalize concepts for estimating project volatility and dividend yield in single stochastic variable option models, and provides an example of how these estimates can be used in a real option valuation exercise.

Estimating Volatility and Dividend Yield When Valuing Real Options to Invest or Abandon

Estimating Volatility and Dividend Yield When Valuing Real Options to Invest or Abandon PDF Author: Graham A. Davis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The opportunity to invest in or abandon a project can in principle be valued using real options techniques. In practice, option pricing has as inputs the volatility and dividend yield of the project, which are in most cases not observable via market data. Current methods of estimating these parameters are largely ad hoc, introducing potential error into the valuation process. This paper uses simple production models to formalize concepts for estimating project volatility and dividend yield in single stochastic variable option models, and provides an example of how these estimates can be used in a real option valuation exercise.

Evaluating real options as a means for investment appraisal under uncertainty and its degree of utilisation by companies

Evaluating real options as a means for investment appraisal under uncertainty and its degree of utilisation by companies PDF Author: Andreas Würfel
Publisher: diplom.de
ISBN: 3832473076
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 120

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Book Description
Inhaltsangabe:Abstract: This paper evaluates the real options approach (ROA) as a means for appraising capital investments under uncertainty. Globalisation and growing competitiveness have led to an increase in uncertainty with regard to companies decision making. Flexibility to react to this uncertainty has become more important. The question arises whether there is a need for a further investment appraisal technique or whether traditional techniques can cope with that. A growing literature about real options shows that traditional investment appraisal techniques do not value flexibility. That is why ROA has become more important within recent years. However, the degree of its utilisation by companies seems to be rather low. Three possible reasons for that are examined: ROA is not well-known by companies, especially small- and medium-sized enterprises. ROA is only limitedly applicable. ROA is too difficult to use. After traditional investment appraisal techniques have been outlined, the real options approach is illustrated by means of a case study. The possible range of application is assessed by reviewing the literature. A survey was conducted to check whether companies know about or apply that technique, and to identify the tools used by companies. This study shows that while the range of possible applications of real options is rather vast, ROA is rarely known by German and British companies and barely applied. One reason might be, that most books and articles are of rather academic nature. This seems to have been realised since books with a focus on practical application have been published recently. The complexity of ROA seems to be a further reason for its low degree of utilisation. Companies tend to use simpler but more comprehensible techniques although these methods have some major drawbacks. However, business science should not end in itself but serve businesses. Therefore, further emphasis has to be put on making real options approachable for practitioners. Inhaltsverzeichnis:Table of Contents: I.Abstract2 II.Acknowledgements3 III.Table of Contents4 IV.List of Figures7 V.List of Abbreviations8 1.Introduction9 2.Characteristics of Investment Decisions11 2.1What Is a Capital Investment?11 2.2Risk and Uncertainty12 3.Tools for Investment Appraisals15 3.1Static Methods15 3.2Discounted Cash Flow Approaches (Dynamic)17 3.3Approaches Which Try to Deal With Risk20 4.The Real Options Approach24 4.1Why Use Real Options to [...]

Real Options Analysis

Real Options Analysis PDF Author: Johnathan Mun
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118429079
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 603

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Book Description
"Mun demystifies real options analysis and delivers a powerful, pragmatic guide for decision-makers and practitioners alike. Finally, there is a book that equips professionals to easily recognize, value, and seize real options in the world around them." --Jim Schreckengast, Senior VP, R&D Strategy, Gemplus International SA, France Completely revised and updated to meet the challenges of today's dynamic business environment, Real Options Analysis, Second Edition offers you a fresh look at evaluating capital investment strategies by taking the strategic decision-making process into consideration. This comprehensive guide provides both a qualitative and quantitative description of real options; the methods used in solving real options; why and when they are used; and the applicability of these methods in decision making.

Real Options in Theory and Practice

Real Options in Theory and Practice PDF Author: Graeme Guthrie
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199701423
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
Decision-makers in business and economics face a staggering array of problems. For example, managers of growing firms have to decide when to expand their business, governments have to decide whether to undertake large infrastructure investments, and managers of oil firms must decide how rapidly to deplete their reserves. While these problems seem quite diverse, they all share many important features. In each case, the decision-maker must choose when to take a particular action that will be potentially impossible to reverse, and the consequences of taking (or not taking) that action are uncertain. Also, the timing and nature of these actions directly affect the cash flows generated by the entities they manage. This book explains how techniques originally developed to price financial derivatives can be used to analyze real-world decisions, and provides the tools necessary to put them into practice. The real options analysis approach to decision-making is built on strong theoretical foundations, and is widely discussed in practitioner literature, but often only at a fairly intuitive level. What practitioners need-and what this book delivers-is a structured approach to systematically applying real options analysis to the wide variety of problems they will meet in business and economics. Real Options in Theory and Practice focuses on building up a general approach to solving real options problems from the ground up. Rather than aiming to build a "black box" to solve a small set of standardized real options problems, it describes the building blocks of any successful real options analysis and shows how they can be assembled in a way that is appropriate to the problem being analyzed. For both practitioners and academics, Real Options in Theory and Practice will serve as an authoritative and invaluable resource for those looking for effective and practical solutions to complex, real-life problems.

A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Evaluation

A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Evaluation PDF Author: Alexander Vollert
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461220688
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 275

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Book Description
The theoretical foundation for real options goes back to the mid 1980s and the development of a model that forms the basis for many current applications of real option theory. Over the last decade the theory has rapidly expanded and become enriched thanks to increasing research activity. Modern real option theory may be used for the valuation of entire companies as well as for particular investment projects in the presence of uncertainty. As such, the theory of real options can serve as a tool for more practically oriented decision making, providing management with strategies maximizing its capital market value. This book is devoted to examining a new framework for classifying real options from a management and a valuation perspective, giving the advantages and disadvantages of the real option approach. Impulse control theory and the theory of optimal stopping combined with methods of mathematical finance are used to construct arbitrarily complex real option models which can be solved numerically and which yield optimal capital market strategies and values. Various examples are given to demonstrate the potential of this framework. This work will benefit the financial community, companies, as well as academics in mathematical finance by providing an important extension of real option research from both a theoretical and practical point of view.

Real Options Theory

Real Options Theory PDF Author: Jeffrey J. Reuer
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1849504946
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 520

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Book Description
Examines the ways in which real options theory can contribute to strategic management. This volume offers conceptual pieces that trace out pathways for the theory to move forward and presents research on the implications of real options for strategic investment, organization, and firm performance.

14th WCEAM Proceedings

14th WCEAM Proceedings PDF Author: Adolfo Crespo Márquez
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030642283
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 311

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Book Description
This book gathers selected peer-reviewed papers from the 14th World Congress on Engineering Asset Management (WCEAM), which was held in Singapore on 28–31 July 2019, as well as papers presented during the 1st WCEAMOnline event which focused on the ramifications of Covid-19 on infrastructure systems. This book covers a wide range of topics in engineering asset management, including: asset management services provisioning; servitization; decision-making; asset management systems; industrial Internet of things; and vulnerability and resilience of infrastructure systems. The breadth and depth of these state-of-the-art, comprehensive proceedings make them an excellent resource for asset management practitioners, researchers and academics, as well as undergraduate and postgraduate students.

The Oxford Guide to Financial Modeling

The Oxford Guide to Financial Modeling PDF Author: Thomas S. Y. Ho
Publisher:
ISBN: 019516962X
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 762

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Book Description
The Oxford Guide to Financial Modeling is accompanied by a companion web site that serves as an interactive workbook designed specifically for the book. This site is simple to use yet exceedingly robust with regard to its technological efficiency and purposeful usability. It is designed to further enhance understanding of the use and applications of the models referred to in the book and it is accessible free of charge at www.thomasho.com. This on-line workbook and resource tool contains more than 95 downloadable Excel models. The models provide clear expositions of the mathematical formulations and can be used along with the book. The companion web site is rich with a plethora of research and analytic tools designed for "doing finance" on-line.

Real Options and Investment Under Uncertainty

Real Options and Investment Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Eduardo S. Schwartz
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262693189
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 890

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Book Description
The study of investment under uncertainty was stagnant for several decades until developments in real options revitalized the field. The topics covered in this book include the reasons behind the under-investment programme.

The Dark Side of Valuation

The Dark Side of Valuation PDF Author: Aswath Damodaran
Publisher: FT Press
ISBN: 0137036558
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 604

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Book Description
Renowned valuation expert Aswath Damodaran reviews the core tools of valuation, examines today’s most difficult estimation questions and issues, and then systematically addresses the valuation challenges that arise throughout a firm’s lifecycle in The Dark Side of Valuation: Valuing Young, Distressed and Complex Businesses. In this thoroughly revised edition, he broadens his perspective to consider all companies that resist easy valuation, highlighting specific types of hard-to-value firms, including commodity firms, cyclical companies, financial services firms, organizations dependent on intangible assets, and global firms operating diverse businesses. He covers the entire corporate lifecycle, from “idea” and “nascent growth” companies to those in decline and distress, and offers specific guidance for valuing technology, human capital, commodity, and cyclical firms. ·