Estimating a Freight Mode Choice Model

Estimating a Freight Mode Choice Model PDF Author: Nowreen Keya
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Book Description
This research effort develops a national freight mode choice model employing data from the 2012 Commodity Flow Survey (CFS). While several research efforts have developed mode choice model with multiple modes in the passenger travel context, the literature is sparse in the freight context. The primary reasons being unavailability and/or the high cost associated with the acquisition of mode choice and level of service (LOS) measures--such as travel time and travel cost. The first contribution of the research effort is to develop travel time and cost measures for various modes reported in the CFS. The study considers five modes: hire truck, private truck, air, parcel service and other modes (rail, ship, pipeline, and other miscellaneous single and multiple modes). The LOS estimation is undertaken for a sample of CFS 2012 data that is partitioned into estimation sample and holdout sample. Subsequently, a mixed multinomial logit model is developed using the estimation sample. The exogenous variables considered in the model include LOS measures, freight characteristics, and transportation network and Origin-Destination variables. The model also accounts for unobserved factors that influence the mode choice process. The estimated mode choice model is validated using the holdout sample. Finally, a policy sensitivity analysis is conducted to illustrate the applicability of the proposed model.

Estimating a Freight Mode Choice Model

Estimating a Freight Mode Choice Model PDF Author: Nowreen Keya
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Book Description
This research effort develops a national freight mode choice model employing data from the 2012 Commodity Flow Survey (CFS). While several research efforts have developed mode choice model with multiple modes in the passenger travel context, the literature is sparse in the freight context. The primary reasons being unavailability and/or the high cost associated with the acquisition of mode choice and level of service (LOS) measures--such as travel time and travel cost. The first contribution of the research effort is to develop travel time and cost measures for various modes reported in the CFS. The study considers five modes: hire truck, private truck, air, parcel service and other modes (rail, ship, pipeline, and other miscellaneous single and multiple modes). The LOS estimation is undertaken for a sample of CFS 2012 data that is partitioned into estimation sample and holdout sample. Subsequently, a mixed multinomial logit model is developed using the estimation sample. The exogenous variables considered in the model include LOS measures, freight characteristics, and transportation network and Origin-Destination variables. The model also accounts for unobserved factors that influence the mode choice process. The estimated mode choice model is validated using the holdout sample. Finally, a policy sensitivity analysis is conducted to illustrate the applicability of the proposed model.

Modelling Freight Transport

Modelling Freight Transport PDF Author: Lorant Tavasszy
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 012416708X
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 269

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Book Description
Freight Transport Modelling is a unique new reference book that provides insight into the state-of-the-art of freight modelling. Focusing on models used to support public transport policy analysis, Freight Transport Modelling systematically introduces the latest freight transport modelling approaches and describes the main methods and techniques used to arrive at operational models. As freight transport has grown exponentially in recent decades, policymakers now need to include freight flows in quantitative evaluations of transport systems. Whereas early freight modelling practice was inspired by passenger transport models, by now it has developed its separate stream of methods and techniques inspired by disciplines such as economic geography and supply chain management. Besides summarizing the latest achievements in fundamental research, this book describes the state of practice and advises practitioners on how to cope with typical challenges such as limitations in data availability. Uniquely focused book exploring the key issues and logistics of freight transport modelling Highlights the latest approaches and describes the main methods and techniques used to arrive at operational models Summarizes fundamental research into freight transport modeling, as well as current practices and advice for practitioners facing day-to-day challenges

Disaggregate Mode Choice Models of Intercity Freight Movement

Disaggregate Mode Choice Models of Intercity Freight Movement PDF Author: James Conrad Hartwig
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Choice of transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 250

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Book Description


Freight-demand Modeling to Support Public-sector Decision Making

Freight-demand Modeling to Support Public-sector Decision Making PDF Author: Cambridge Systematics
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISBN: 0309155134
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 67

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Book Description
"This report presents an evaluation of possible improvements in freight demand models and other analysis tools and provides a guidebook to assist model developers in implementing these improvements. The report is especially valuable for its findings of general satisfaction with methods available to support freight planning, but concerns with the data available to support that planning. As such, the report focuses on ways to use existing data to develop data inputs for the model, showing that existing and readily available data can be used to develop the inputs required by freight models. The report will enable decision makers at a range of geographical levels to improve the usability of freight demand models."--Pub. desc.

Mode Choice in Freight Transportation

Mode Choice in Freight Transportation PDF Author: Clifford Winston
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Choice of transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 122

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Book Description


A Guidebook for Forecasting Freight Transportation Demand

A Guidebook for Forecasting Freight Transportation Demand PDF Author: National Cooperative Highway Research Program
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISBN: 9780309060592
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 176

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Book Description


Freight Transport Modelling

Freight Transport Modelling PDF Author: Moshe E. Ben-Akiva
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1781902852
Category : Transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 512

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Book Description
This title addresses the need to develop new freight transport models and scientific tools to provide sound solutions that consider the wide range of internal and external impacts. The international contributions push forward frontiers in freight transport modelling and analysis.

A Simultaneous Decision-making Approach to Model the Demand for Freight Tansportation

A Simultaneous Decision-making Approach to Model the Demand for Freight Tansportation PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 6

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Book Description
This paper presents a new approach to study the demand for intercity freight transportation. The model proposed in this paper utilizes the strength of discrete choice models (e.g., probit) in explaining the process of mode choice as one part of a complete model. The complete model is presented as a joint discrete/continuous choice model for the choices of mode and shipment size. The model is practical in that it requires the same amount and quality of data that would be required to develop a standard disaggregate mode choice model, and it can be estimated using simple two-stage estimation methods which utilizes standard probit maximum likelihood and ordinary least squares estimation techniques.

Development of a Policy Sensitive Model for Forecasting Freight Demand

Development of a Policy Sensitive Model for Forecasting Freight Demand PDF Author: Yu-Sheng Chiang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Freight and freightage
Languages : en
Pages : 244

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Book Description


Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

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Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.