Essays on Technology, Trade, and Welfare

Essays on Technology, Trade, and Welfare PDF Author: Jun Ruan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Convergence (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 294

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Technology is a key determinant of comparative advantage among nations. As information technology improves and the nations of the world become economically integrated, concern arises over the dissipation of high-income economies' technological advantage. The three essays in this dissertation explore the trade and technology relationship, which is essential to economic growth in both high-and low-income nations. The first essay employs a monopolistic competition framework to investigate the effects -- on each country's relative wages, share of global markets, and welfare -- of the productivity convergence between a technological leader and follower. Results indicate technological convergence improves the follower's competitiveness at the expense of the leader's. Nevertheless, the leader's welfare improves unambiguously on account of the increase in its terms of trade, while the follower's welfare changes in a direction depending on the relative strength of convergence's income and terms-of-trade effects. We use data from 17 food industries in 30 countries, 1993-2001, to test these analytical predictions. Convergence has lifted followers' income and global value-added share. Followers' welfare has risen since convergence's income improvement has outweighed its terms-of-trade deterioration. Simultaneously, leaders' welfare has improved in response to their improved terms of trade. The second essay employs data from 35 countries in 128 ISIC 4-digit manufacturing industries, 1993 - 2001, to test the empirical validity of these same hypotheses for the international manufacturing sector. We find that, just as in the food sector, convergence improves followers' welfare through its positive income effects. However, we do not find empirical evidence of convergence's terms-of-trade effects. The third essay examines trade liberalization's effects on the geographical distribution of productivity, and consequent cross-country resource and market-share allocations, of five processed food industries. We find that the mean and other quantiles of the global productivity distribution shift to the right as international trade liberalizes. The latter result implies that resources are reallocated toward countries with faster productivity growth. The three essays jointly highlight the important influence of global integration and technological convergence on nations' economic growth and well-being. However, policies promoting integration and convergence should pay attention to the consequent intra-country redistribution of income between producers and consumers.

Essays on Technology, Trade, and Welfare

Essays on Technology, Trade, and Welfare PDF Author: Jun Ruan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Convergence (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 294

Get Book Here

Book Description
Technology is a key determinant of comparative advantage among nations. As information technology improves and the nations of the world become economically integrated, concern arises over the dissipation of high-income economies' technological advantage. The three essays in this dissertation explore the trade and technology relationship, which is essential to economic growth in both high-and low-income nations. The first essay employs a monopolistic competition framework to investigate the effects -- on each country's relative wages, share of global markets, and welfare -- of the productivity convergence between a technological leader and follower. Results indicate technological convergence improves the follower's competitiveness at the expense of the leader's. Nevertheless, the leader's welfare improves unambiguously on account of the increase in its terms of trade, while the follower's welfare changes in a direction depending on the relative strength of convergence's income and terms-of-trade effects. We use data from 17 food industries in 30 countries, 1993-2001, to test these analytical predictions. Convergence has lifted followers' income and global value-added share. Followers' welfare has risen since convergence's income improvement has outweighed its terms-of-trade deterioration. Simultaneously, leaders' welfare has improved in response to their improved terms of trade. The second essay employs data from 35 countries in 128 ISIC 4-digit manufacturing industries, 1993 - 2001, to test the empirical validity of these same hypotheses for the international manufacturing sector. We find that, just as in the food sector, convergence improves followers' welfare through its positive income effects. However, we do not find empirical evidence of convergence's terms-of-trade effects. The third essay examines trade liberalization's effects on the geographical distribution of productivity, and consequent cross-country resource and market-share allocations, of five processed food industries. We find that the mean and other quantiles of the global productivity distribution shift to the right as international trade liberalizes. The latter result implies that resources are reallocated toward countries with faster productivity growth. The three essays jointly highlight the important influence of global integration and technological convergence on nations' economic growth and well-being. However, policies promoting integration and convergence should pay attention to the consequent intra-country redistribution of income between producers and consumers.

Three Essays on Trade, Tasks, and Technology

Three Essays on Trade, Tasks, and Technology PDF Author: Eric C. Carlson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Automation
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
In recent years, economists have become increasingly concerned with the economic effects of automation. Robots and artificial intelligence have become fixtures of modern production, transforming the landscape of labor markets and reshaping patterns of international trade. This dissertation explores the economic changes brought about by these new technologies.The first essay provides a theoretical framework for understanding how automation in industrialized countries in the global North affects trade with developing countries in the global South. I show that automation can lead trading partners to change the mix of products they export and import. For example, as the stock of automatable capital increases in the global North, rich countries reshore production of traditionally labor-intensive goods. I also show that, in the context of automation, trade restrictions aimed at protecting labor-intensive industries can backfire. This is because trade restrictions protect domestic industries from foreign competition but do not protect domestic workers from competition with machines. Reducing the scale of production through a reduction in the size of the market exacerbates worker-machine competition which reduces the economic welfare of low-skilled workers.The second essay offers empirical support for the reshoring hypothesis. Using an exposure model, I partition the US into disjoint local labor markets which each differ in terms of exposure to automation. Using demographic data from the Census and American Community Survey, data on occupation characteristics from O*NET, and export data from the Census, I find that local labor markets that were historically more exposed to automation experienced larger increases in export growth relative to their otherwise comparable counterparts with lower levels of automation exposure. While this relationship is economically and statistically significant for horizontal trade movements between the US and other rich countries, the effect is largest for vertical trade between the US and lower-middle income countries like China. This suggests that automation has changed traditional patterns of comparative advantage between economies in the global North and those in the global South.The last essay looks at the effect of automation on the gender wage gap. As in the second essay, the unit of analysis is the local labor market. Using labor market data from the Census and automation data from O*NET, I find suggestive evidence that automation has reduced the wage gap between men and women. However, this effect is primarily relegated to the market for skilled labor. I find that the reduction in the pay differentials by gender is concentrated among workers with college degrees and find little change in the gender wage gap among workers without college degrees.

Essays on Trade, Trust, and Information Technology

Essays on Trade, Trust, and Information Technology PDF Author: Xiang Hui
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 104

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Book Description
In Chapter 2, we focus on a trust policy that mitigates inefficiencies arising from asymmetric information. Traditionally, some markets rely on government interventions, while others rely on reputation systems, warranties, or guarantees. This paper explores the impact of two mechanisms, namely reputation badges and buyer protection programs, and their interaction on eBay's marketplace. Adding buyer protection reduces the premium for the reputation badge and increases efficiency in the marketplace. These efficiency gains are achieved by reducing moral hazard through an increase in sellers' quality and by reducing adverse selection through a higher exit rate for low-quality sellers. Our estimates suggest buyer protection increases the total welfare by 2.9%.

Thinking about Growth

Thinking about Growth PDF Author: Moses Abramovitz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521407748
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 396

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Book Description
The essays in this book explore the forces behind modern economic growth and, in particular, the causes of the extraordinary surge of growth since the Second World War. The introductory essay is an extended treatment of the current views of economists on the growth process and its causes. Other essays consider the contributions of capital formation, education, and the changing character of industries and occupations. These essays disclose the central role of technological progress, take up the relations of science, technology, and business, and discuss the conditions that make for investment in research and the widespread exploitation of new knowledge. They show how Japan and Europe had an unusual opportunity after the war to advance rapidly by following in paths of technology and industrial organization pursued earlier by the United States, and how a remarkable set of circumstances and policies governing trade, investment, population migration, and money worked together to sustain rapid and concerted growth for many years.

Essays on Economic Growth, Institutions and Technology Diffusion

Essays on Economic Growth, Institutions and Technology Diffusion PDF Author: Diana Maria Van Patten Rivera
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 161

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Book Description
In the first chapter of this dissertation (joint with Esteban M ndez-Chac n), we study the short- and long-run effects of large firms on economic development. To do so, we use evidence from one of the largest multinationals of the 20th Century: The United Fruit Company (UFCo). The firm was given a large land concession in Costa Rica--one of the so-called "Banana Republics"--from 1889 to 1984. Using administrative census data with census-block geo-references from 1973 to 2011, we implement a geographic regression discontinuity (RD) design that exploits a quasi-random assignment of land. We find that the firm had a positive and persistent effect on living standards. Regions within the UFCo were 26% less likely to be poor in 1973 than nearby counterfactual locations, with only 63% of the gap closing over the following 3 decades. Company documents explain that a key concern at the time was to attract and maintain a sizable workforce, which induced the firm to invest heavily in local amenities that likely account for our result. We then build a dynamic spatial model in which a firm's labor market power within a region depends on how mobile workers are across locations and run counterfactual exercises. The model is consistent with observable spatial frictions and the RD estimates, and shows that the firm increases aggregate welfare by 2.9%. This effect is increasing in worker mobility: If workers were half as mobile, the firm would have decreased aggregate welfare by 6%. The model also shows that a local monopsonist compensates workers mostly through local amenities keeping wages low, and leads to higher welfare levels than a counterfactual with perfectly competitive labor markets in all regions. In the second chapter of this dissertation, I study an important question in the field of economic growth and development: How developing countries learn to adopt and use new technologies. In particular, the chapter studies how countries learn from each other through international trade. First, I build a panel of bilateral trade flows between industries in different countries. Matching this panel with data on industry-level productivity, I document how productivity grows systematically faster for countries that trade with partners with better technologies, but that this is reducing the gap between local and foreign productivity. Second, I build a model in which knowledge transfers can occur through imported technology, leading to productivity growth. In my framework, agents have heterogeneous learning abilities: The probability of a producer adopting a technology slightly better than hers is larger than the probability of adopting a much more sophisticated one--the trade-off being that conditional on adoption, more sophisticated technologies lead to higher productivity. I document how the model matches the empirical dependence of productivity growth on productivity gaps across trading partners, and the firm size distribution. The model also highlights how ignoring differences in learning abilities can overestimate the impact of exposure to high-TFP trading partners, leading to suboptimal trade policies. I conclude that developing countries should direct relatively more trade to mid-productive countries--as opposed to very productive ones--to maximize technology transfers and increase growth.

Essays in Innovation, Technology Diffusion and Globalisation

Essays in Innovation, Technology Diffusion and Globalisation PDF Author: Anthony Swan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Globalization
Languages : en
Pages : 358

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Book Description
I explore the implications of an increasingly integrated world economy on production patterns, levels of innovation activity and technology diffusion, and welfare across countries in a series of three essays. First, I analyse the gains from openness to international trade and multinational production (MP) across countries in a general equilibrium framework where innovation activity and technology are endogenously determined. The gains from openness to trade and MP implied by the calibrated model are in general much larger than the gains previously reported in the literature, reflecting productivity gains from inward MP, additional profits to multinationals and their affiliates around the world from outward MP, and the benefits of specialisation across production and research activities. Second, I examine the role of international trade in spreading the benefits of technology embodied in machinery and equipment around the world and the contribution of different country characteristics that promote or inhibit these benefits. The results explain why the International Comparison Program's data on equipment prices tend not to fall with levels of development across countries. Third, I examine the empirical relevance of Rybczynski effects, skills biased technical change, and increased global production sharing in explaining Israel's adjustment to immigration of Russian Jews in the 1990s. My findings provide new evidence that all three mechanisms played an important role in Israel's adjustment. The conclusions of this thesis suggest that the gains from participating in a global economy are potentially large but depend in large part on the extent to which the benefits of technology are spread around the world, which in turn depends on geography and other country characteristics. -- provided by Candidate.

Three Essays on International Trade and Technology Spillovers

Three Essays on International Trade and Technology Spillovers PDF Author: Rashid Nikzad
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : University of Ottawa theses
Languages : en
Pages : 348

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Competition, Efficiency, and Welfare

Competition, Efficiency, and Welfare PDF Author: Dennis C. Mueller
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461555590
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 397

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Book Description
Competition, Efficiency and Welfare contains a collection of papers in honor of Manfred Neumann. This collection was prepared as a tribute to a teacher and scholar, whose accomplishments have enriched various fields of economics. The magnitude of his interests is reflected in the breadth of topics covered in this volume: industrial economics, competition policy and related topics. However, if one unifying principle runs through Manfred Neumann's work, it is the belief in the power of competition. Born on May 16, 1933, Manfred Neumann studied economics at the University of Cologne. He graduated in 1960. In 1969 Manfred Neumann was appointed Professor of Economics at Nürnberg University. He was Dean of the Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences of the University of Erlangen-Nürnberg, President of the European Association for Research in Industrial Economics (EARIE) and Chairman of Industrial Organization Study Group of the Verein für Sozialpolitik. Most of his professional career has been spent at Nürnberg, where he has helped to make the Economic Institute one of the leading research centers in Industrial Organization. He has also been involved in various advisory activities. The volume contains 18 essays. The first twelve are grouped into four categories: Innovation and R&D (Part I), Cartels (Part II), Mergers and Merger Policy (Part III), and Methodological Issues in Industrial Organization (Part IV). These papers fall within the bounds of industrial economics, which has been Manfred Neumann's primary research interest throughout his career. Part V includes two papers on theories of international trade, which has been a recurring topic of interest for Manfred Neumann through the years. The last three papers look at broader policy and macroeconomic issues. Contributors to this volume include Karl Aiginger, David B. Audretsch, Paul A. Geroski, Stephen Martin and Dennis Mueller.

Essays in International Trade of Services and Structural Transformation

Essays in International Trade of Services and Structural Transformation PDF Author: Yesheng Guo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
Services has long been the largest sector of the global economy. In 2011, it produced over 70% of the worlds GDP and employed nearly 50% of the worlds labor force. In the United States, those shares were around 80%. Meanwhile, total imports of services reached 6% of the worlds GDP, almost 1/3 of total goods imports, and it has been steadily growing at 2.63% per annum since 1995, 54% faster than goods trade. Despite its solid presence, services trade is still missing in most existing trade studies. It is often taken as a closed outside sector whose main purpose is to complete the equilibrium. The goal of this thesis is to demonstrate the importance of services trade to our understanding of comparative advantage and welfare implications of trade. In particular, I will introduce services trade and related data sources, provide benchmark quantifications of the gains from services trade, investigate the evolution of comparative advantage of services industries over time, and discuss how trade in services can interact with market entry and technology to generate interesting labor reallocation across sectors.The main results can be summarized as follows. First, standard gravity models fit services trade well. This allows us to apply the widely popular Eaton and Kortum model to services and estimate services productivities. Second, in a series of counterfactual experiments, the same amount of technological progress or friction reduction in services will lead to 3 to 4 times higher gains from trade than in manufacturing. Next, by estimating productivities for 35 industries, 17 in services, from 1995 to 2000, we found that while comparative advantage was weakened in all sectors, relative convergence among services industries was 75% faster than manufacturing industries on average. Such convergence eliminated 3.9% potential gains from trade from the median country, and reduced total trade volume by 25%. In addition, we estimated the speed of technological diffusion across industries within each country to be 3.6% and that across countries for every industry to be 6.0%. Last but not least, inspired by the negative correlation between trade intensity and employment share found in the swift labor reallocation from manufacturing to services in the U.S. since 2000, we discussed how interactions between entry choice, skill-biased technology, and trade may give rise to interesting patterns of structural transformation.This thesis offers basic quantifications of the macro impact of services trade on welfare and structural transformation. From these basic quantifications, we can infer that promoting services trade will unlock considerable amount of potential gains, much higher than the gains from goods trade. At the same time, strengthening services comparative advantage could further hurt employment in other sectors, particularly manufacturing. Fortunately, the manufacturing comparative advantage of the non-OECD countries has diminished in recent decades, reducing the relative cost of re-industrialization that US and other OECD countries are pursuing. Finally, as more granular services trade data becomes available, better economics and econometrics tools can be applied to improve our quantification and deepen our understanding of services trade for policy considerations.

3 Essays on Technological Change and Welfare

3 Essays on Technological Change and Welfare PDF Author: A. A. Athanasopoulos
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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