Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Indian Economy

Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Indian Economy PDF Author: Raktim Ghosh
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1804559369
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193

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Book Description
As businesses, consumers, and investors make key financial decisions amid Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), there is the danger that many might freeze investment projects and hiring, leading to contractions of the economy. This book examines this and makes important recommendations.

Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Indian Economy

Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Indian Economy PDF Author: Raktim Ghosh
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1804559369
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193

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Book Description
As businesses, consumers, and investors make key financial decisions amid Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), there is the danger that many might freeze investment projects and hiring, leading to contractions of the economy. This book examines this and makes important recommendations.

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Growth in India

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Growth in India PDF Author: Sanjai Bhagat
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
Economic and political commentators in India have repeatedly noted their concern about the recent slow-down in the Indian economy. Several recent papers have provided evidence that increase in the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) has played a significant role in the slow-down and the increase in unemployment in the U.S. In this paper we construct a measure of economic policy uncertainty for India and study its impact on the Indian economy. We find Indian GDP and Indian fixed investment are negatively related to EPU in India. More relevant, the economic magnitudes of these relations are quite significant. For example, if the economic uncertainty in India were to decrease today to the level observed in 2005, India's GDP growth would increase by 0.56%, and fixed investment growth would increase by 1.36%. Additionally, we document a negative correlation between the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) index and EPU in India.

India's Economic Policy

India's Economic Policy PDF Author: Bimal Jalan
Publisher: Penguin UK
ISBN: 9351187799
Category : Literary Collections
Languages : en
Pages : 243

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Book Description
A lucid and brilliantly-argued book on India's recent economic reforms Nearly fifty years after independence, India remains a very poor country. It ranks near the bottom in terms of per capita income, and is similarly placed in the Human Develoent Index which measures social well-being. Economic growth in India has been less than half that of China or even other countries in Asia. And governments, at the Centre as well as in the states, are close to insolvency. The reason for our spectacular underachievement lies in the continuation of policies which had a certain validity as a response to the colonial experience, but which have long outlived their usefulness. The global economic scene has changed dramatically since they were formulated, and we must respond to the new realities. Bimal Jalan, the well known economist and present Governor of the RBI, in this lucid and well-argued book, makes a case for governments doing what they alone can best do, and less of what they cannot do effectively.

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance PDF Author: Mr.Ananthakrishnan Prasad
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484397010
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 39

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Book Description
The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast to point forecasts), quantify macrofinancial risks in terms of growth, and monitor the evolution of risks to economic activity over time. By using GaR analysis, policymakers can quantify the likelihood of risk scenarios, which would serve as a basis for preemptive action. This paper offers practical guidance on how to conduct GaR analysis and draws lessons from country case studies. It also discusses an Excel-based GaR tool developed to support the IMF’s bilateral surveillance efforts.

Investment under Uncertainty

Investment under Uncertainty PDF Author: Robert K. Dixit
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400830176
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 484

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Book Description
How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

Issues in Indian Economy

Issues in Indian Economy PDF Author: K. R. Gupta
Publisher: Atlantic Publishers & Dist
ISBN: 9788171565719
Category : India
Languages : en
Pages : 364

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Book Description
During The Last Four Years, The Indian Economy Has Been Undergoing Phenomenal Changes. Licensing And Controls Are Being Dismantled. Nationali¬Sation Is Giving Place To Privatisation. Import Of Capital And Technology Is Being Liberalised. Terms And Conditions For The Import Of Capital And Technology Are Being Eased. Attractive Terms Are Being Offered To Multinationals To Induce Them To Set Up Production Units In India. Fast Progress Is Being Made In The Direction Of Making The Rupee Completely Convertible. Imports Have Been Liberalised; Import Duties Have Been Drastically Reduced; More And More Items Have Been Added To The Ogl List. Bank Interest Rates Have Been Freed.In Order To Make A Critical Analysis Of The Changes That Are Taking Place In Various Fields Of The Indian Economy, We Have Planned To Bring Out Five Volumes Covering Different Fields And Including Different Shades Of Opinions. The Present Is The First Volume Of The Planned Five Volumes. The Contributors Of This Volume Are Leading Experts In Their Respective Fields.It Is Hoped That The Book Would Be Found Useful By The Researchers And Students Of Economics, Businessmen, Government Executives Concerned With The Formulation And Execution Of Economic Policies, Parliamentarians And Legislators, And The General Readers Interested In Knowing The Changes That Are Taking Place In Our Economy.

Advanced Study in Money and Banking

Advanced Study in Money and Banking PDF Author: Perminder Khanna
Publisher: Atlantic Publishers & Dist
ISBN: 9788126904433
Category : Banks and banking
Languages : en
Pages : 440

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Book Description
The Book Advanced Study In Money & Banking : Theory & Policy Relevance In The Indian Economy Is A Complete Treatise On Banking And Global Financial Developments With Special Reference To Dmcs And The Indian Economy. It Provides An Invaluable, Up-To-Date And Refreshing Approach To Key Development Issues Pertaining To Monetary Theory, Banking, And Policy Matters. The Theoretical, Institutional And Historical Approaches Have Been Skilfully Integrated To Explore And Elucidate The Interrelationships Of Money And Banking And The Functioning Of The Economy As A Whole. The Analytical Study Of The Main Operational Ratios Of Banks For The Period 1998 To 2003 Gives An Overview Of The Bank Street Scenario. In Its Wide Perspective, The Book Includes A Comprehensive Study Of Banking And Information Technology, Mechanism Of International Payments, And International Monetary Policies And Monetary Cooperation. Above All, Against The Backdrop Of Economic Uncertainty And The Low Ebb In Economic Activity, Volatility In Stock Markets And Significant Fluctuations In Major Currencies Of The World, The Indian Monetary Policy During The Period Of 1952-2003 Has Been Extensively Discussed. Simple Graphs And Up-To-Date Economic Models Provided In The Book Enable The Readers To Have An Easy And Accurate Understanding Of The Subject.The Book Would Be Of Great Interest And Use For Students And Teachers Of Economics, Commerce And Business Management. The Bankers And Legislators Concerned With Monetary And Banking Policies Would Find The Book Highly Useful.

Macroeconomic Policy in India Since the Global Financial Crisis

Macroeconomic Policy in India Since the Global Financial Crisis PDF Author: Sebastian Morris
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811912769
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 316

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Book Description
This book discusses the Indian economic crisis and brings out what went wrong and the correction necessary for getting the economy back to high growth trajectory, leading to economic transformation. To do so, the book covers trends in performance of Indian economy since the Global Financial Crisis to the COVID-19 effect, bringing out factors that have determined the same. The book questions the approach to macroeconomic policy of both the RBI and the government and brings out what it takes for macroeconomic policy to be supportive of high growth. It contains revealing contrasts with East Asia and China, although India has the same potential to grow with an expansion of manufacturing. Overall, it argues that macroeconomic policies (as much as structural, industrial, and trade policies) have been deficient and even good initiatives on the industrial policy and trade flounder for the lack of a strategic approach to macroeconomics. The book highlights the special opportunities present in an emerging economy with vast under and utilised labour and the macroeconomic policy initiatives that can take advantage of this key feature. It covers the macroeconomic data on growth using multiple indicators, then the external shocks and the internal policy measures/responses; besides, GVA/GDP, credit, exports, external transactions, interest and policy rates, yields, exchange rates, money, capital flows, indices of industrial sector, price indices and inflation, government expenditures, tax rates, fiscal deficits, market uncertainty measures to present a holistic picture of the economy and the shocks and policy actions that have followed. The book uses an innovative method of presentation and the consistency of the trends/stances of both monetary and fiscal policy using these large number of variables. It discusses the debate on overestimation of GDP/GVA growth estimates over the years from 2011-12 to about 2016-17 comprehensively. There is special coverage of GST with a comparison with China. Coverage also includes performance since the COVID-19 crisis again using a large number of indicators and an explanation for the same in terms of the limitations of the government’s initiatives to counteract. The book is a quick and ready reference of what has happened in macroeconomic terms to those interested in the relevant facts. It is of interest to international economists, policy analysts, and investors whose need to understand that the Indian economy in macroeconomic terms and in terms of the stances and penchant of the government and the RBI is of value.

The Indian Economy

The Indian Economy PDF Author: A. Vaidyanathan
Publisher: Orient Blackswan
ISBN: 9788125003168
Category : India
Languages : en
Pages : 132

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Book Description
This tract provides an overview of Indian economic development in the last four decades since Independence. It traces the evolution of development strategies since the 1930s, attempts to understand their rationale, their problems and contradictions. It begins with an evaluation of economic performance under planning and goes on to review the range of arguments that seek to explain the constraints on growth. It argues against the rigidities and problems of the earlier system and stresses the need for strong corrective measures to restore the economy. While the tract is emphatic about the need for reforms, it questions the assumptions which underlie the present project of liberalization and reiterates the continued need for planning and state intervention within the framework of reforms.

Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models

Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models PDF Author: Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387357688
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 506

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Book Description
The past decade has seen powerful new computational tools for modeling which combine a Bayesian approach with recent Monte simulation techniques based on Markov chains. This book is the first to offer a systematic presentation of the Bayesian perspective of finite mixture modelling. The book is designed to show finite mixture and Markov switching models are formulated, what structures they imply on the data, their potential uses, and how they are estimated. Presenting its concepts informally without sacrificing mathematical correctness, it will serve a wide readership including statisticians as well as biologists, economists, engineers, financial and market researchers.