Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction PDF Author: Haraldur Olafsson
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0128154918
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 364

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Book Description
Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction is a comprehensive work on the most current understandings of uncertainties and predictability in numerical simulations of the atmosphere. It provides general knowledge on all aspects of uncertainties in the weather prediction models in a single, easy to use reference. The book illustrates particular uncertainties in observations and data assimilation, as well as the errors associated with numerical integration methods. Stochastic methods in parameterization of subgrid processes are also assessed, as are uncertainties associated with surface-atmosphere exchange, orographic flows and processes in the atmospheric boundary layer. Through a better understanding of the uncertainties to watch for, readers will be able to produce more precise and accurate forecasts. This is an essential work for anyone who wants to improve the accuracy of weather and climate forecasting and interested parties developing tools to enhance the quality of such forecasts. Provides a comprehensive overview of the state of numerical weather prediction at spatial scales, from hundreds of meters, to thousands of kilometers Focuses on short-term 1-15 day atmospheric predictions, with some coverage appropriate for longer-term forecasts Includes references to climate prediction models to allow applications of these techniques for climate simulations

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction PDF Author: Haraldur Olafsson
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0128154918
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 364

Get Book Here

Book Description
Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction is a comprehensive work on the most current understandings of uncertainties and predictability in numerical simulations of the atmosphere. It provides general knowledge on all aspects of uncertainties in the weather prediction models in a single, easy to use reference. The book illustrates particular uncertainties in observations and data assimilation, as well as the errors associated with numerical integration methods. Stochastic methods in parameterization of subgrid processes are also assessed, as are uncertainties associated with surface-atmosphere exchange, orographic flows and processes in the atmospheric boundary layer. Through a better understanding of the uncertainties to watch for, readers will be able to produce more precise and accurate forecasts. This is an essential work for anyone who wants to improve the accuracy of weather and climate forecasting and interested parties developing tools to enhance the quality of such forecasts. Provides a comprehensive overview of the state of numerical weather prediction at spatial scales, from hundreds of meters, to thousands of kilometers Focuses on short-term 1-15 day atmospheric predictions, with some coverage appropriate for longer-term forecasts Includes references to climate prediction models to allow applications of these techniques for climate simulations

Numerical Prediction and Dynamic Meteorology

Numerical Prediction and Dynamic Meteorology PDF Author: George J. Haltiner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 504

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Book Description
An advanced, updated, and self-contained treatment. Includes the fundamental system of equations governing large-scale atmospheric motions, coordinate systems, atmospheric wave motions, energetics, hyperbolic and elliptic equations, moisture modeling, solar and terrestrial radiation modeling, seasonal and climate prediction. Presupposes a knowledge of mathematics through calculus, some vector analysis, and introductory meteorology.

Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction

Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction PDF Author: Jean Coiffier
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139502700
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 363

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Book Description
Numerical models have become essential tools in environmental science, particularly in weather forecasting and climate prediction. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the techniques used in these fields, with emphasis on the design of the most recent numerical models of the atmosphere. It presents a short history of numerical weather prediction and its evolution, before describing the various model equations and how to solve them numerically. It outlines the main elements of a meteorological forecast suite, and the theory is illustrated throughout with practical examples of operational models and parameterizations of physical processes. This book is founded on the author's many years of experience, as a scientist at Météo-France and teaching university-level courses. It is a practical and accessible textbook for graduate courses and a handy resource for researchers and professionals in atmospheric physics, meteorology and climatology, as well as the related disciplines of fluid dynamics, hydrology and oceanography.

An Introduction to Numerical Weather Prediction Techniques

An Introduction to Numerical Weather Prediction Techniques PDF Author: T. N. Krishnamurti
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1351467050
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 310

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Book Description
An Introduction to Numerical Weather Prediction Techniques is unique in the meteorological field as it presents for the first time theories and software of complex dynamical and physical processes required for numerical modeling. It was first prepared as a manual for the training of the World Meteorological Organization's programs at a similar level. This new book updates these exercises and also includes the latest data sets. This book covers important aspects of numerical weather prediction techniques required at an introductory level. These techniques, ranging from simple one-dimensional space derivative to complex numerical models, are first described in theory and for most cases supported by fully tested computational software. The text discusses the fundamental physical parameterizations needed in numerical weather models, such as cumulus convection, radiative transfers, and surface energy fluxes calculations. The book gives the user all the necessary elements to build a numerical model. An Introduction to Numerical Weather Prediction Techniques is rich in illustrations, especially tables showing outputs from each individual algorithm presented. Selected figures using actual meteorological data are also used. This book is primarily intended for senior-level undergraduates and first-year graduate students in meteorology. It is also excellent for individual scientists who wish to use the book for self-study. Scientists dealing with geophysical data analysis or predictive models will find this book filled with useful techniques and data-processing algorithms.

Weather Prediction by Numerical Process

Weather Prediction by Numerical Process PDF Author: Lewis F. Richardson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Numerical weather forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 258

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Book Description


The Emergence of Numerical Weather Prediction: Richardson's Dream

The Emergence of Numerical Weather Prediction: Richardson's Dream PDF Author: Peter Lynch
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521857295
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 12

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Book Description
This book, first published in 2006, is a history of weather forecasting for researchers, graduate students and professionals in numerical weather forecasting.

The Atmospheric Sciences

The Atmospheric Sciences PDF Author: Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309517656
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 424

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Book Description
Technology has propelled the atmospheric sciences from a fledgling discipline to a global enterprise. Findings in this field shape a broad spectrum of decisions--what to wear outdoors, whether aircraft should fly, how to deal with the issue of climate change, and more. This book presents a comprehensive assessment of the atmospheric sciences and offers a vision for the future and a range of recommendations for federal authorities, the scientific community, and education administrators. How does atmospheric science contribute to national well-being? In the context of this question, the panel identifies imperatives in scientific observation, recommends directions for modeling and forecasting research, and examines management issues, including the growing problem of weather data availability. Five subdisciplines--physics, chemistry, dynamics and weather forecasting, upper atmosphere and near-earth space physics, climate and climate change--and their status as the science enters the twenty-first century are examined in detail, including recommendations for research. This readable book will be of interest to public-sector policy framers and private-sector decisionmakers as well as researchers, educators, and students in the atmospheric sciences.

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction PDF Author: Thomas Tomkins Warner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139494317
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 549

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Book Description
This textbook provides a comprehensive yet accessible treatment of weather and climate prediction, for graduate students, researchers and professionals. It teaches the strengths, weaknesses and best practices for the use of atmospheric models. It is ideal for the many scientists who use such models across a wide variety of applications. The book describes the different numerical methods, data assimilation, ensemble methods, predictability, land-surface modeling, climate modeling and downscaling, computational fluid-dynamics models, experimental designs in model-based research, verification methods, operational prediction, and special applications such as air-quality modeling and flood prediction. This volume will satisfy everyone who needs to know about atmospheric modeling for use in research or operations. It is ideal both as a textbook for a course on weather and climate prediction and as a reference text for researchers and professionals from a range of backgrounds: atmospheric science, meteorology, climatology, environmental science, geography, and geophysical fluid mechanics/dynamics.

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction PDF Author: Thomas Tomkins Warner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521513890
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 550

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Book Description
This textbook provides a comprehensive yet accessible treatment of weather and climate prediction, for graduate students, researchers and professionals. It teaches the strengths, weaknesses and best practices for the use of atmospheric models. It is ideal for the many scientists who use such models across a wide variety of applications. The book describes the different numerical methods, data assimilation, ensemble methods, predictability, land-surface modeling, climate modeling and downscaling, computational fluid-dynamics models, experimental designs in model-based research, verification methods, operational prediction, and special applications such as air-quality modeling and flood prediction. This volume will satisfy everyone who needs to know about atmospheric modeling for use in research or operations. It is ideal both as a textbook for a course on weather and climate prediction and as a reference text for researchers and professionals from a range of backgrounds: atmospheric science, meteorology, climatology, environmental science, geography, and geophysical fluid mechanics/dynamics.

Parameterization Schemes

Parameterization Schemes PDF Author: David J. Stensrud
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521865409
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 408

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Book Description
Contents: 1.