Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market PDF Download
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Author: Terry A. Marsh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dividends
Languages : en
Pages : 70
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Book Description
Author: Terry A. Marsh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dividends
Languages : en
Pages : 70
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Terry A. Marsh
Publisher: Forgotten Books
ISBN: 9781330279526
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 82
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Book Description
Excerpt from Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market In this paper, we develop a model of the dividend process for the aggregate stock market. Previous research has focused almost exclusively on dividend behavior at the micro level of the individual firm. Hence, to motivate the focus here on aggregate dividend behavior, we begin with a brief review of these earlier micro studies, this to be followed by a discussion which locates the place of our aggregate analysis within this body of research. In Sections 2-5, we derive and fit our econometric model of the dividend process. In Section 6, we compare the performance of the model with other models in the literature. Although long a staple of financial management textbooks, corporate dividend policy remains a topic on which the field has failed to arrive at even a local sense of closure. Fischer Black (1976) has aptly described this lack of closure as the "dividend puzzle." The pivotal point in this puzzle is the classical work of Miller and Modigliani (1961) which demonstrated the irrelevance of dividend policy for determining the firm's cost of capital. Miller and Modigliani showed that when investors can create any payout pattern they want by selling and purchasing shares, the expected return required to induce them to hold these shares will be invariant to the way in which firms "package" gross dividend payments and new issues of stock (and/or other zero net present value transactions). Since neither the firm's expected future net cash flows nor its discount rate is affected by the choice of dividend policy per se, its current market value cannot be changed by a change in that policy. Thus, dividend policy "does not matter." About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.
Author: Harry DeAngelo
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1601982046
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 215
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Book Description
Corporate Payout Policy synthesizes the academic research on payout policy and explains "how much, when, and how". That is (i) the overall value of payouts over the life of the enterprise, (ii) the time profile of a firm's payouts across periods, and (iii) the form of those payouts. The authors conclude that today's theory does a good job of explaining the general features of corporate payout policies, but some important gaps remain. So while our emphasis is to clarify "what we know" about payout policy, the authors also identify a number of interesting unresolved questions for future research. Corporate Payout Policy discusses potential influences on corporate payout policy including managerial use of payouts to signal future earnings to outside investors, individuals' behavioral biases that lead to sentiment-based demands for distributions, the desire of large block stockholders to maintain corporate control, and personal tax incentives to defer payouts. The authors highlight four important "carry-away" points: the literature's focus on whether repurchases will (or should) drive out dividends is misplaced because it implicitly assumes that a single payout vehicle is optimal; extant empirical evidence is strongly incompatible with the notion that the primary purpose of dividends is to signal managers' views of future earnings to outside investors; over-confidence on the part of managers is potentially a first-order determinant of payout policy because it induces them to over-retain resources to invest in dubious projects and so behavioral biases may, in fact, turn out to be more important than agency costs in explaining why investors pressure firms to accelerate payouts; the influence of controlling stockholders on payout policy --- particularly in non-U.S. firms, where controlling stockholders are common --- is a promising area for future research. Corporate Payout Policy is required reading for both researchers and practitioners interested in understanding this central topic in corporate finance and governance.
Author: Terry A. Marsh
Publisher: Forgotten Books
ISBN: 9780666446480
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 94
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Book Description
Excerpt from Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market In a series of stimulating papers (198la, l98lb, and Robert Shiller uses seemingly powerful variance bounds tests to show that variations in aggregate stock market prices are much too large to be justified by the variation in subsequent dividend payments. Under the assumption that the real expected return on the market remains essentially constant over time, Shiller concludes that the excess variation in stock prices identified in his tests provides strong evidence to reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Even if the real expected return on the market does change over time, Shiller further concludes that the amount of variation in that rate necessary to save the Efficient Market Hypothesis is so large that the measured excess variation in stock prices cannot be attributed to this source. We need hardly mention the significance of such a conclusion. If Shiller's rejection of market efficiency is sustained, then serious doubt is cast on the validity of the most important cornerstone of modern financial economic theory. To be sure, of the hundreds of earlier tests of efficient markets, there have been a few which appear to reject market efficiency [cf. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.
Author: Jack D. Glen
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40
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Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781846632563
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 83
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Book Description
Dividend policy continues to be among the premier unsolved puzzles in finance. A number of theories have been advanced to explain dividend policy. This e-book briefly reviews the principal theories of payout policy and dividend policy and summarizes the empirical evidence on these theories. Empirical evidence is equivocal and the search for new explanation for dividends continues.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investments
Languages : en
Pages : 990
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Book Description
Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital assets pricing model
Languages : en
Pages : 76
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Book Description
We present a consumption-based model that explains the procyclical variation of stock prices, the long-horizon predictability of excess stock returns, and the countercyclical variation of stock market volatility. Our model has an i.i.d. consumption growth driving process, and adds a slow-moving external habit to the standard power utility function. The latter feature produces cyclical variation in risk aversion, and hence in the prices of risky assets. Our model also predicts many of the difficulties that beset the standard power utility model, including Euler equation rejections, no correlation between mean consumption growth and interest rates, very high estimates of risk aversion, and pricing errors that are larger than those of the static CAPM. Our model captures much of the history of stock prices, given only consumption data. Since our model captures the equity premium, it implies that fluctuations have important welfare costs. Unlike many habit-persistence models, our model does not necessarily produce cyclical variation in the risk free interest rate, nor does it produce an extremely skewed distribution or negative realizations of the marginal rate of substitution.
Author: Roger G. Ibbotson
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781556232312
Category : Actions (Titres de société) - Prix - Prévision
Languages : en
Pages : 202
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Book Description
Author: Robert J. Shiller
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262691512
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 486
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Book Description
Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient markets model for explaining asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility. Why does the stock market crash from time to time? Why does real estate go in and out of booms? Why do long term borrowing rates suddenly make surprising shifts? Market Volatility represents a culmination of Shiller's research on these questions over the last dozen years. It contains reprints of major papers with new interpretive material for those unfamiliar with the issues, new papers, new surveys of relevant literature, responses to critics, data sets, and reframing of basic conclusions. Included is work authored jointly with John Y. Campbell, Karl E. Case, Sanford J. Grossman, and Jeremy J. Siegel. Market Volatility sets out basic issues relevant to all markets in which prices make movements for speculative reasons and offers detailed analyses of the stock market, the bond market, and the real estate market. It pursues the relations of these speculative prices and extends the analysis of speculative markets to macroeconomic activity in general. In studies of the October 1987 stock market crash and boom and post-boom housing markets, Market Volatility reports on research directly aimed at collecting information about popular models and interpreting the consequences of belief in those models. Shiller asserts that popular models cause people to react incorrectly to economic data and believes that changing popular models themselves contribute significantly to price movements bearing no relation to fundamental shocks.
