Decisions, Decisions

Decisions, Decisions PDF Author: David Swavely
Publisher: P & R Publishing
ISBN: 9780875525921
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
How can I know what God wants me to do? We make choices, and then our choices makes us (or break us!). This is true of "big" decisions of course, but "little" decisions are just as important because they lead to the big ones. All of our choices are the threads in the fabric of our future. Ultimately, our decisions are so important because they have ramifications beyond this life, and into eternity. What's more, the way we make decisions is a central part of our personal relationship with God. We need to learn how to make good decisions so that will be able to make the best choice immediately, and instinctively. In clear and thoughtful steps, Swavely uncovers and explains the principles that God uses to lead and guide us including: how we should consider feelings, impressions or prompting, circumstances, counsel, desires and prayer. This brief yet relentlesly biblical book also helps us avoid some common errors that can rob our joy, and send us off in the wrong direction. Here, in this the theologically grounded volume, you will gain the wisdom and discernment necessary to practice God's way of making good decisions that honor him.

Decisions, Decisions

Decisions, Decisions PDF Author: David Swavely
Publisher: P & R Publishing
ISBN: 9780875525921
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
How can I know what God wants me to do? We make choices, and then our choices makes us (or break us!). This is true of "big" decisions of course, but "little" decisions are just as important because they lead to the big ones. All of our choices are the threads in the fabric of our future. Ultimately, our decisions are so important because they have ramifications beyond this life, and into eternity. What's more, the way we make decisions is a central part of our personal relationship with God. We need to learn how to make good decisions so that will be able to make the best choice immediately, and instinctively. In clear and thoughtful steps, Swavely uncovers and explains the principles that God uses to lead and guide us including: how we should consider feelings, impressions or prompting, circumstances, counsel, desires and prayer. This brief yet relentlesly biblical book also helps us avoid some common errors that can rob our joy, and send us off in the wrong direction. Here, in this the theologically grounded volume, you will gain the wisdom and discernment necessary to practice God's way of making good decisions that honor him.

Decisions Decisions Decisions

Decisions Decisions Decisions PDF Author: G. Claude Wright
Publisher: AuthorHouse
ISBN: 1468579657
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 285

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Book Description
decisions decisions decisions If you often find yourself unraveling messes your poor choices have created, this book is a must read. Speaking to a wide variety of decision-making situations, its seventy seven principles provide the template for what a good decision-maker looks like. As you become aware of the multifaceted nature of some of these concepts, you'll find they apply to an even greater number of circumstances than you might have imagined. Many of the lessons stress the reality that poor decisions bear consequences-and a few of the principles will open your eyes to the presence of subtle, but important nuances that might otherwise escape your notice. These, alone are worth the price of the book. My hope is that this book will wean you from the habit of second guessing yourself and transform you into a competent decision-maker.

Amazing Decisions

Amazing Decisions PDF Author: Dan Ariely
Publisher: Hill and Wang
ISBN: 1466899549
Category : Comics & Graphic Novels
Languages : en
Pages : 219

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Book Description
Dan Ariely, the New York Times bestselling author of Predictably Irrational, and illustrator Matt R. Trower present a playful graphic novel guide to better decision-making, based on the author’s groundbreaking research in behavioral economics, neuroscience, and psychology. The internationally renowned author Dan Ariely is known for his incisive investigations into the messy business of decision-making. Now, in Amazing Decisions, his unique perspective—informed by behavioral economics, neuroscience, and psychology—comes alive in the graphic form. The illustrator Matt R. Trower’s playful and expressive artwork captures the lessons of Ariely’s groundbreaking research as they explore the essential question: How can we make better decisions? Amazing Decisions follows the narrator, Adam, as he faces the daily barrage of choices and deliberations. He juggles two overlapping—and often contradictory—sets of norms: social norms and market norms. These norms inform our thinking in ways we often don’t notice, just as Adam is shadowed by the “market fairy” and the “social fairy,” each compelling him to act in certain ways. Good decision-making, Ariely argues, requires us to identify and evaluate the forces at play under different circumstances, leading to an optimal outcome. Amazing Decisions is a fascinating and entertaining guide to developing skills that will prove invaluable in personal and professional life.

Making Better Decisions

Making Better Decisions PDF Author: Itzhak Gilboa
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1444336517
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 235

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Book Description
Making Better Decisions introduces readers to some of the principal aspects of decision theory, and examines how these might lead us to make better decisions. Introduces readers to key aspects of decision theory and examines how they might help us make better decisions Presentation of material encourages readers to imagine a situation and make a decision or a judgment Offers a broad coverage of the subject including major insights from several sub-disciplines: microeconomic theory, decision theory, game theory, social choice, statistics, psychology, and philosophy Explains these insights informally in a language that has minimal mathematical notation or jargon, even when describing and interpreting mathematical theorems Critically assesses the theory presented within the text, as well as some of its critiques Includes a web resource for teachers and students

Making Decisions

Making Decisions PDF Author:
Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press
ISBN: 1422128717
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 114

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Book Description
As a manager, you make countless decisions every day. Some are straightforward, such as assigning a team member to a project. Others are far more complex, such as determining how to handle an under-performing product line. How can you boost the odds of making the best decisions for your organization? Treat decision-making as a process. This volume reveals key strategies for handling each step in the process. You'll find out how to: · Generate a diverse set of alternative courses of action for the decision at hand · Assess the feasibility, risks, and ethical implications of each alternative · Select the best course of action · Communicate your decision and carry it out

Decisions? Decisions!

Decisions? Decisions! PDF Author: Janice H. Humphrey
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780986060991
Category : Deaf
Languages : en
Pages : 199

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Book Description


Decisions, Decisions

Decisions, Decisions PDF Author: Louise Mailhot
Publisher: Cowansville, Québec : Éditions Y. Blais
ISBN: 9782894512371
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 150

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Book Description


How to Decide

How to Decide PDF Author: Annie Duke
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0593418484
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 290

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Book Description
Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker. What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut. What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive? Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn: • To identify and dismantle hidden biases. • To extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek. • To more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions. • When to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance. • To make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values. Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this book helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.

How We Decide

How We Decide PDF Author: Jonah Lehrer
Publisher: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
ISBN: 0547347480
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 357

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Book Description
The first book to use the unexpected discoveries of neuroscience to help us make the best decisions Since Plato, philosophers have described the decision-making process as either rational or emotional: we carefully deliberate, or we “blink” and go with our gut. But as scientists break open the mind’s black box with the latest tools of neuroscience, they’re discovering that this is not how the mind works. Our best decisions are a finely tuned blend of both feeling and reason—and the precise mix depends on the situation. When buying a house, for example, it’s best to let our unconscious mull over the many variables. But when we’re picking a stock, intuition often leads us astray. The trick is to determine when to use the different parts of the brain, and to do this, we need to think harder (and smarter) about how we think. Jonah Lehrer arms us with the tools we need, drawing on cutting-edge research as well as the real-world experiences of a wide range of “deciders”—from airplane pilots and hedge fund investors to serial killers and poker players. Lehrer shows how people are taking advantage of the new science to make better television shows, win more football games, and improve military intelligence. His goal is to answer two questions that are of interest to just about anyone, from CEOs to firefighters: How does the human mind make decisions? And how can we make those decisions better?

Statistics for Making Decisions

Statistics for Making Decisions PDF Author: Nicholas T. Longford
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000347605
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 425

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Book Description
Making decisions is a ubiquitous mental activity in our private and professional or public lives. It entails choosing one course of action from an available shortlist of options. Statistics for Making Decisions places decision making at the centre of statistical inference, proposing its theory as a new paradigm for statistical practice. The analysis in this paradigm is earnest about prior information and the consequences of the various kinds of errors that may be committed. Its conclusion is a course of action tailored to the perspective of the specific client or sponsor of the analysis. The author’s intention is a wholesale replacement of hypothesis testing, indicting it with the argument that it has no means of incorporating the consequences of errors which self-evidently matter to the client. The volume appeals to the analyst who deals with the simplest statistical problems of comparing two samples (which one has a greater mean or variance), or deciding whether a parameter is positive or negative. It combines highlighting the deficiencies of hypothesis testing with promoting a principled solution based on the idea of a currency for error, of which we want to spend as little as possible. This is implemented by selecting the option for which the expected loss is smallest (the Bayes rule). The price to pay is the need for a more detailed description of the options, and eliciting and quantifying the consequences (ramifications) of the errors. This is what our clients do informally and often inexpertly after receiving outputs of the analysis in an established format, such as the verdict of a hypothesis test or an estimate and its standard error. As a scientific discipline and profession, statistics has a potential to do this much better and deliver to the client a more complete and more relevant product. Nicholas T. Longford is a senior statistician at Imperial College, London, specialising in statistical methods for neonatal medicine. His interests include causal analysis of observational studies, decision theory, and the contest of modelling and design in data analysis. His longer-term appointments in the past include Educational Testing Service, Princeton, NJ, USA, de Montfort University, Leicester, England, and directorship of SNTL, a statistics research and consulting company. He is the author of over 100 journal articles and six other monographs on a variety of topics in applied statistics.