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Author: Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108563309
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 503
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Book Description
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author: Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108563309
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 503
Get Book Here
Book Description
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author: Editors of Chase's
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1641432640
Category : Reference
Languages : en
Pages : 753
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Book Description
Find out what's going on any day of the year, anywhere across the globe! The world’s date book, Chase's is the definitive day-by-day resource of what America and the world are celebrating and commemorating. From national days to celebrity birthdays, from historical anniversaries to astronomical phenomena, from award ceremonies and sporting events to religious festivals and carnivals, Chase's is the must-have reference used by experts and professionals—a one-stop shop with 12,500 entries for everything that is happening now or is worth remembering from the past. Completely updated for 2019, Chase's also features extensive appendices as well as a companion website that puts the power of Chase's at the user's fingertips. 2019 is packed with special events and observances, including The International Year of the Periodic Table of Chemical Elements The Transit of Mercury National days and public holidays of every nation on Earth Celebrations and observances of Leonardo da Vinci's 500th death anniversary The 100th anniversary of the 1919 World Series Scandal The 50th anniversary of the Apollo 11 moon landing The 200th birthdays of Queen Victoria and Walt Whitman The 150th birth anniversary of Mohandas Gandhi and the 100th birth anniversary of Jackie Robinson Scores of new holidays and national days Birthdays of new world leaders, office holders, and breakout stars And much more! All from the reference book that NPR's Planet Money calls the "Oxford English Dictionary of holidays."
Author: DEBORAH BROOKS LANGFORD and SUSAN JOYNER-STUMPF
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 0359472524
Category : Poetry
Languages : en
Pages : 70
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Book Description
Welcome to WILDFIRE PUBLICATIONS, LLC March 2019, Edition 20 Issue, showcasing new talents in and about our Artistic Circles from around the Globe. Hope you enjoy reading great articles on writing tips, artists' drawings and prolific poems and stories. Happy Reading!!!
Author: Debbie Alsdorf
Publisher: Revell
ISBN: 0800733673
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 240
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Book Description
Dynamic Bible teacher dares women to step out of their comfort zones and live up to their full faith potential.
Author: Nina Roesner
Publisher: Thomas Nelson
ISBN: 071808148X
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 254
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Book Description
With All Due Respect is a handbook for parents navigating the difficulties of the tween and teen years. Roesner and Hitchcock help parents identify what successful relationships look like and give easy-to-follow lessons in enforcing rules, communicating lovingly, resetting relationships, overcoming fears and exhaustion, and handling rebellion. Each day features a story every mom can relate to, down-to-earth questions to think about, and a prayer to launch an action plan. As a result, the reader gains new skills and perspective, greater strength, and an ability to live out faith daily as never before. With All Due Respect is for all parents seeking not only to connect more deeply with and positively impact their teens and tweens, but also to grow more deeply in faith through the process.
Author: James Fallows
Publisher: Vintage
ISBN: 1101871857
Category : Travel
Languages : en
Pages : 440
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Book Description
NATIONAL BESTSELLER • "James and Deborah Fallows have always moved to where history is being made.... They have an excellent sense of where world-shaping events are taking place at any moment" —The New York Times • The basis for the HBO documentary streaming on HBO Max For five years, James and Deborah Fallows have travelled across America in a single-engine prop airplane. Visiting dozens of towns, the America they saw is acutely conscious of its problems—from economic dislocation to the opioid scourge—but it is also crafting solutions, with a practical-minded determination at dramatic odds with the bitter paralysis of national politics. At times of dysfunction on a national level, reform possibilities have often arisen from the local level. The Fallowses describe America in the middle of one of these creative waves. Their view of the country is as complex and contradictory as America itself, but it also reflects the energy, the generosity and compassion, the dreams, and the determination of many who are in the midst of making things better. Our Towns is the story of their journey—and an account of a country busy remaking itself.
Author: Debbie Alsdorf
Publisher: NavPress
ISBN: 1496426592
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 288
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Book Description
Let’s face it: when it comes to mothers and their daughters, things can get a little . . . complicated. Momplicated, you might say. Whether your relationship with your mom has been wonderful or stressful, redeemed or broken, close or nonexistent, it’s one of your life’s most important and defining connections. Its effects have probably followed you into adulthood. If you have conflicting feelings toward mom—or if you wish you could get past some of the baggage that holds you back—this is your book. Combining spiritual disciplines and the best of current therapeutic practice, It’s Momplicated will help you discover How your early connection with your mother may have impacted your sense of self and your other important relationships—and what you can do to break the cycle Why you and your mother have the relationship you have—the underlying reasons that may be contributing to strain and unease Tools and exercises to help you cope with some of the most common effects of a broken relationship, including anxiety, depression, lack of confidence, and trust issues How to be the daughter and mother God wants you to be even if your mom wasn’t who you needed her to be. It’s never too late to love, never too late to heal, and never too late to trust God to turn the pain in your story into a redemption song. As you read It’s Momplicated, you’ll realize that while God doesn’t promise to fix all your circumstances, He does promise to uphold you and lead you to a healing place of knowing you are truly precious and loved, no matter how your past has affected you.
Author: Joel Comiskey
Publisher: CCS Publishing
ISBN: 1950069028
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 148
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Book Description
Christians desire to grow in their relationship with God. They want to flourish, to experience victory in their Christian lives. They want to live in the overcoming power that the cross provides. But they are stuck. They are like my friend, John, who works sixty hours per week, sits in two hours of traffic each day and carries the burdens of the world on his shoulders. He and his wife, Jenny, love each other, or at least they used to. They now spend their time together carting their kids to activities after driving through Taco Bell for dinner. Every week, John sits in the second row at church, listening to the pastor, and he and Jenny volunteer in the children’s church. But he told me last week that he is exhausted. On the surface, he has a good life, but deep down he is drowning. He has no real victory. How does someone like John stem the tide? How does he start living the victorious lifestyle Jesus came to offer? Many find the answer in promises of a magic pill, something that provides a quick fix. But such fixes don’t exist. The victory of God is an ongoing lifestyle while adopting and applying certain priorities that prepare and equip us for life. True victory comes in heaven and not on earth. And only the Spirit of God living through the believer based on God’s Word can give true victory. But there are basic principles that God has used throughout the centuries to encourage believers and give them victory. In this book, I’ve pinpointed nine principles and priorities that will help a believer live a victorious Christian life. They are: -victory in preparing for eternity -victory in experiencing God's love -victory in God's grace -victory in God’s sovereignty -victory in spending time with Jesus -victory in close relationships -victory in the local church -victory in rest -victory in healthy living These nine priorities will help you understand and apply principles that are simple, biblical, and time-tested to produce spiritual, emotional, and physical benefits. My aim is to stimulate you to live these biblical truths while allowing the Holy Spirit to transform you.
Author: Deb Burma
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780758662026
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Rejoice! Every day. Sure, we find joy in our triumphs, but not so much in the trials. Yet real joy, genuine joy, is always ours in the saving grace of Christ Jesus. This close look at Paul's Letter to the Philippians, the "letter of joy," unpacks messages of contentment, confidence, humility, and hope- all found in Christ and infused with joy-in the mountaintop moments and in the mundane. Enclosed are eight weeks of study, divided into forty short sessions, to help you realize the gifts from God's hand more fully. Ample materials are provided to make the sessions flexible for personal or group use and to accommodate changing schedules and individual needs. Targeted study, discussion and reflection questions, and life-application challenges guide you in your exploration of JOY. Book jacket.
Author: Standard and Poor's Corporation
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 1250
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Book Description
