Conditioning Variables and the Empirical Test of the Stock Returns in US Market

Conditioning Variables and the Empirical Test of the Stock Returns in US Market PDF Author: Min Liu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investment analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 72

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Book Description

Conditioning Variables and the Empirical Test of the Stock Returns in US Market

Conditioning Variables and the Empirical Test of the Stock Returns in US Market PDF Author: Min Liu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investment analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 72

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Book Description


Do Macroeconomic Variables have an Effect on the US Stock Market?

Do Macroeconomic Variables have an Effect on the US Stock Market? PDF Author: Dennis Sauert
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3640720210
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 27

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Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1.0, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine whether the unanticipated change of specific macroeconomic variables influences the US stock market represented by the S&P 500 using monthly data from 1986 to 2007. Thereby, the performance of the arbitrage pricing theory of Ross (cp. Ross, S., 1976) shall be studied. To explain the behavior of the US stock market return the paper contains the five predefined variables consumer price index (CPI), industrial production index (IPT), money stock M1 (M1), total consumer credit outstanding (TCC) and the term structure of interest rates (Term) which are approximately similar to those variables used by Ross (cp. Chen N. F. et al., 1986, pp. 383-403). Applying the OLS method, it was found that CPI, IPT and Term are negatively related to the US stock return. It was also detected that M1 affects the stock market lagging 8 months and 12 months. However, the test statistics showed that TCC has rather no impact on the US stock market return. To ensure that the ultimate results are not spurious, care will be taken in regards to autocorrelation, multicollinearity, serial correlation as well as heteroskedasticity.

Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing PDF Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262039370
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 497

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Book Description
An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Variables that Explain Stock Returns

Variables that Explain Stock Returns PDF Author: Clifford Scott Asness
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investment analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 330

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Book Description


Real Estate Risk in Equity Returns

Real Estate Risk in Equity Returns PDF Author: Gaston Michel
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3834994960
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 182

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Book Description
Gaston Michel investigates whether shocks to real estate markets constitute an important source of the risk that is priced in the cross section of equity returns. His results document that real estate risk explains a large part of the cross-sectional variation in equity returns. He shows that an alternative modeI which includes the real estate factor performs as well as or better than the Fama-French model in pricing equity returns.

An Empirical Test of the Perfect Market Hypothesis

An Empirical Test of the Perfect Market Hypothesis PDF Author: Peter Patrick Kozel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investments
Languages : en
Pages : 514

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Book Description


An Empirical Test of the Perfect Market Model Hypothesis: an Analysis of the Reaction of Stock Returns to Quarterly Earnings Data

An Empirical Test of the Perfect Market Model Hypothesis: an Analysis of the Reaction of Stock Returns to Quarterly Earnings Data PDF Author: Peter Patrick Kozel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 514

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Book Description


Conditioning Variables and the Cross-section of Stock Returns

Conditioning Variables and the Cross-section of Stock Returns PDF Author: Wayne E. Ferson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital assets pricing model
Languages : en
Pages : 45

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Book Description
Previous studies have identified predetermined variables that have some power to explain the time series of stock and bond returns. This paper shows that loadings on the same variables also provide significant cross-sectional explanatory power for stock portfolio returns. These loadings are important, over and the above the variables advocated by Fama and French (1993) in their three factor model, ' and also the four factors of Elton, Gruber and Blake (1995). The explanatory power of the loadings on lagged variables is robust to various portfolio grouping procedures and other considerations. The lagged variables reveal information about the cross-section of expected returns that is not captured by popular asset pricing factors. These results carry implications for risk analysis, performance measurement, cost-of-capital calculations and other applications

Empirical Tests Using Daily Preferred Stock Returns

Empirical Tests Using Daily Preferred Stock Returns PDF Author: Scott E. Stickel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Preferred stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 190

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Book Description


Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing PDF Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262351307
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 497

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Book Description
An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.