Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models PDF Download
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Author: Jeffrey C. Fuhrer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometric models
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
Author: Jeffrey C. Fuhrer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometric models
Languages : en
Pages : 32
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Jeffrey C. Fuhrer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometric models
Languages : en
Pages : 54
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Book Description
Author: Jeffrey C. Fuhrer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This paper presents new, computationally efficient algorithms for solution and estimation of nonlinear dynamic rational expectations models. The innovations in the algorithms are as follows: (1) The entire solution path is obtained simultaneously by taking a small number of Newton steps, using analytic derivatives, over the entire path; (2) The terminal conditions for the solution path are derived from the uniqueness and stability conditions from the linearization of the model around the terminus of the solution path; (3) Unit roots are allowed in the model; (4) Very general models with expectational identities and singularities of the type handled by the King-Watson (1995a,b) linear algorithms are also allowed; and (5) Rank- deficient covariance matrices that arise owing to the presence of expectational identities are admissible. Reasonably complex models are solved in less than a second on a Sun Sparc20. This speed improvement makes derivative- based estimation methods feasible. Algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation and sample estimation problems are presented.
Author: Fuhrer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometric models
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
Author: Ray C. Fair
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
A solution method and an estimation method for nonlinear rational expectations models are presented in this paper. The solution method can be used in forecasting and policy applications and can handle models with serial correlation and multiple viewpoint dates. When applied to linear models, the solution method yields the same results as those obtained from currently available methods that are designed specifically for linear models. It is, however, more flexible and general than these methods. For large nonlinear models the results in this paper indicate that the method works quite well. The estimation method is based on the maximum likelihood principal. It is, as far as we know, the only method available for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates for nonlinear rational expectations models. The method has the advantage of being applicable to a wide range of models, including, as a special case, linear , models. The method can also handle different assumptions about the expectations of the exogenous variables, something which is not true of currently available approaches to linear models.
Author: Ray C. Fair
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 43
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Book Description
A solution method and an estimation method for nonlinear rational expectations models are presented in this paper. The solution method can be used in forecasting and policy applications and can handle models with serial correlation and multiple viewpoint dates. When applied to linear models, the solution method yields the same results as those obtained from currently available methods that are designed specifically for linear models. It is, however, more flexible and general than these methods. For large nonlinear models the results in this paper indicate that the method works quite well. The estimation method is based on the maximum likelihood principal. It is, as far as we know, the only method available for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates for nonlinear rational expectations models. The method has the advantage of being applicable to a wide range of models, including, as a special case, linear ,models. The method can also handle different assumptions about the expectations of the exogenous variables, something which is not true of currently available approaches to linear models.
Author: Giorgio Pauletto
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475726317
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 175
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Book Description
This book is the result of my doctoral dissertation research at the Department of Econometrics of the University of Geneva, Switzerland. This research was also partially financed by the Swiss National Science Foundation (grants 12- 31072.91 and 12-40300.94). First and foremost, I wish to express my deepest gratitude to Professor Manfred Gilli, my thesis supervisor, for his constant support and help. I would also like to thank the president of my jury, Professor Fabrizio Carlevaro, as well as the other members of the jury, Professor Andrew Hughes Hallett, Professor Jean-Philippe Vial and Professor Gerhard Wanner. I am grateful to my colleagues and friends of the Departement of Econometrics, especially David Miceli who provided constant help and kind understanding during all the stages of my research. I would also like to thank Pascale Mignon for proofreading my text and im proving my English. Finally, I am greatly indebted to my parents for their kindness and encourage ments without which I could never have achieved my goals. Giorgio Pauletto Department of Econometrics, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland Chapter 1 Introduction The purpose of this book is to present the available methodologies for the solution of large-scale macroeconometric models. This work reviews classical solution methods and introduces more recent techniques, such as parallel com puting and nonstationary iterative algorithms.
Author: Andrew J. Hughes Hallett
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461552192
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 295
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Book Description
Macroeconomic Modelling has undergone radical changes in the last few years. There has been considerable innovation in developing robust solution techniques for the new breed of increasingly complex models. Similarly there has been a growing consensus on their long run and dynamic properties, as well as much development on existing themes such as modelling expectations and policy rules. This edited volume focuses on those areas which have undergone the most significant and imaginative developments and brings together the very best of modelling practice. We include specific sections on (I) Solving Large Macroeconomic Models, (II) Rational Expectations and Learning Approaches, (III) Macro Dynamics, and (IV) Long Run and Closures. All of the contributions offer new research whilst putting their developments firmly in context and as such will influence much future research in the area. It will be an invaluable text for those in policy institutions as well as academics and advanced students in the fields of economics, mathematics, business and government. Our contributors include those working in central banks, the IMF, European Commission and established academics.
Author: Sean Holly
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521650694
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 324
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Book Description
The latest techniques used in modelling the economy with policy analysis and applications.
Author: Charles G. Renfro
Publisher: IOS Press
ISBN: 9781586034269
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 420
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Book Description
This publication contains a substantial amount of detail about the broad history of the development of econometric software based on the personal recollections of many people. For economists, the computer has increasingly become the primary applied research tool, and it is software that makes the computer work.
