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Author: Michael Kaplan
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN: 1608190919
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 302
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Book Description
A lighthearted survey of the science of mistakes by the authors of Chances Are reveals how the human race is hard-wired to get things wrong in countless ways, citing such examples as successful racy advertisements for inferior products, our inclinations to favor dysfunctional relationship partners and the socially unacceptable behaviors of leaders. Reprint.
Author: Michael Kaplan
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN: 1608190919
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 302
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Book Description
A lighthearted survey of the science of mistakes by the authors of Chances Are reveals how the human race is hard-wired to get things wrong in countless ways, citing such examples as successful racy advertisements for inferior products, our inclinations to favor dysfunctional relationship partners and the socially unacceptable behaviors of leaders. Reprint.
Author: Michael Kaplan
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN: 1608192121
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 302
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Book Description
The New York Times called Chances Are, the authors' look at the application of probability in everyday life, a "dizzying, exhilarating ride." In Bozo Sapiens, they take us on a another funhouse journey, exploring the surprising, or alarming, number of ways that humans can make bad judgments and poor decisions. The Kaplans' ability to explain everything from statistics to evolutionary biology in witty, accessible, and anecdotal style will endear this book to readers of Blink, Freakonomics, and other recent pop-social science successes.
Author: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031320131
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 443
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Book Description
This book explains and illustrates recent developments and advances in decision-making and risk analysis. It demonstrates how artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have not only benefitted from classical decision analysis concepts such as expected utility maximization but have also contributed to making normative decision theory more useful by forcing it to confront realistic complexities. These include skill acquisition, uncertain and time-consuming implementation of intended actions, open-world uncertainties about what might happen next and what consequences actions can have, and learning to cope effectively with uncertain and changing environments. The result is a more robust and implementable technology for AI/ML-assisted decision-making. The book is intended to inform a wide audience in related applied areas and to provide a fun and stimulating resource for students, researchers, and academics in data science and AI-ML, decision analysis, and other closely linked academic fields. It will also appeal to managers, analysts, decision-makers, and policymakers in financial, health and safety, environmental, business, engineering, and security risk management.
Author: Todd K. Shackelford
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319605763
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 233
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Book Description
This review of recent evolutionary theories on psychopathology takes on controversies and contradictions both with established psychological thought and within the evolutionary field itself. Opening with the ancestral origins of the familiar biopsychosocial model of psychological conditions, the book traces distinctive biological and cultural pathways shaping human development and their critical impact on psychiatric and medical disorders. Analyses of disparate phenomena such as jealousy, social anxiety, depressive symptoms, and antisocial behavior describe adaptive functions that have far outlasted their usefulness, or that require further study and perhaps new directions for treatment. In addition, the book’s compelling explorations of violence, greed, addiction, and suicide challenge us to revisit many of our assumptions regarding what it means to be human. Included in the coverage: · Evolutionary foundations of psychiatric compared to non-psychiatric disorders. · Evolutionary psychopathology, uncomplicated depression, and the distinction between normal and disordered sadness. · Depression: is rumination really adaptive? · A CBT approach to coping with sexual betrayal and the green-eyed monster. · Criminology’s modern synthesis: remaking the science of crime with Darwinian insight. · Anthropathology: the abiding malady of the species. With its wealth of interdisciplinary viewpoints, The Evolution of Psychopathology makes an appropriate supplementary text for advanced graduate courses in the evolutionary sciences, particularly in psychology, biology, anthropology, sociology, and philosophy.
Author: John Grant
Publisher: Zest Books ™
ISBN: 1541578686
Category : Young Adult Nonfiction
Languages : en
Pages : 195
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Book Description
We live in an era of misinformation, much of it spread by authority figures, including politicians, religious leaders, broadcasters, and, of course, apps and websites. In this second edition, author John Grant uses ripped-from-the-headlines examples to clearly explain how to identify bad evidence and poor arguments. He also points out the rhetorical tricks people use when attempting to pull the wool over our eyes, and offers advice about how to take these unscrupulous pundits down. Updated to include a chapter on fake news, Debunk It serves as a guide to critical thinking for young readers looking to find some clarity in a confusing world.
Author: J. Stjepandić
Publisher: IOS Press
ISBN: 1614994404
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 928
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Book Description
The theory of concurrent engineering is based on the concept that the different phases of a product lifecycle should be conducted concurrently and initiated as early as possible within the product creation process. Concurrent engineering is important in many industries, including automotive, aerospace, shipbuilding, consumer goods and environmental engineering, as well as in the development of new services and service support. This book presents the proceedings of the 21st ISPE Inc. International Conference on Concurrent Engineering, held at Beijing Jiaotong University, China, in September 2014. It is the first volume of a new book series: 'Advances in Transdisciplinary Engineering'. The title of the CE2014 conference is: 'Moving Integrated Product Development to Service Clouds in the Global Economy', which reflects the variety of processes and methods which influence modern product creation. After an initial first section presenting the keynote papers, the remainder of the book is divided into 11 further sections with peer-reviewed papers: product lifecycle management (PLM); knowledge-based engineering (KBE); cloud approaches; 3-D printing applications; design methods; educational methods and achievements; simulation of complex systems; systems engineering; services as innovation and science; sustainability; and recent research on open innovation in concurrent engineering. The book will be of interest to CE researchers, practitioners from industry and public bodies, and educators alike.
Author: Robert R. Hoffman
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 026254881X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 501
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Book Description
A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.
Author: Leila Schneps
Publisher: Basic Books (AZ)
ISBN: 0465032923
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 274
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Book Description
Describes the issues that can result when mathematical arguments are improperly used and discusses ten trials where this was the case, including the Dreyfus Affair, the case of Diana Sylvester, and Charles Ponzi's original scheme.
Author: Melissa U.D. Goldsmith
Publisher: Chandos Publishing
ISBN: 1780634684
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 217
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Book Description
Academic libraries have continually looked for technological solutions to low circulation statistics, under-usage by students and faculty, and what is perceived as a crisis in relevance, seeing themselves in competition with Google and Wikipedia. Academic libraries, however, are as relevant as they have been historically, as their primary functions within their university missions have not changed, but merely evolved. Going beyond the Gate Count argues that the problem is not relevance, but marketing and articulation. This book offers theoretical reasoning and practical advice to directors on how to better market the function of the library within and beyond the home institution. The aim of this text is to help directors, and ultimately, their librarians and staff get students and faculty back into the library, as a result of better articulation of the library's importance. The first chapter explores the promotion of academic libraries and their function as educational systems. The next two chapters focus on the importance of the role social media and virtual presence in the academic library, and engaging and encouraging students to use the library through a variety of methods, such as visually oriented special collections. Remaining chapters discuss collaboration and collegiality, formalized reporting and marketing. - Offers clear, concise writing, with thoughtful discussions of the problems facing academic libraries - Demonstrates comprehensive and thoughtful research that informs theoretical approaches to realistic outcomes that address these problems - Provides helpful tables, illustrations, and photographs that evidence the collaborative nature of contemporary academic libraries - Provides practical examples from actual experiences that can be adapted by readers
Author: Geoff A. Mohr
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN: 1499031092
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 289
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Book Description
The book delves into a unique mix of the following areas: 1. The psychology of learning, memory, and thinking 2. Tools for critical thinking and assessment 3. Collective thinking of groups, corporations, and the public 4. Measurement of attitudes and market research 5. Mathematical logic and computer programming 6. Planning and scheduling techniques 7. Optimization techniques (both linear and non-linear) 8. Worlds first finite element method (FEM) models of distribution, inventory, and traffic flow systems and optimization of them 9. Mohrs flow ratio design (FRD) optimization technique 10. Econometric modeling techniques (some of them new) The book is the most modern, technically resourced, and innovative study of thinking to date and will prove useful to a wide range of people, including managers, planners, engineers, scientists, teachers, psychologists, and politicians.
