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Author: Stuart A. Klugman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401708452
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 242
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Book Description
The debate between the proponents of "classical" and "Bayesian" statistica} methods continues unabated. It is not the purpose of the text to resolve those issues but rather to demonstrate that within the realm of actuarial science there are a number of problems that are particularly suited for Bayesian analysis. This has been apparent to actuaries for a long time, but the lack of adequate computing power and appropriate algorithms had led to the use of various approximations. The two greatest advantages to the actuary of the Bayesian approach are that the method is independent of the model and that interval estimates are as easy to obtain as point estimates. The former attribute means that once one learns how to analyze one problem, the solution to similar, but more complex, problems will be no more difficult. The second one takes on added significance as the actuary of today is expected to provide evidence concerning the quality of any estimates. While the examples are all actuarial in nature, the methods discussed are applicable to any structured estimation problem. In particular, statisticians will recognize that the basic credibility problem has the same setting as the random effects model from analysis of variance.
Author: Stuart A. Klugman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401708452
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 242
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Book Description
The debate between the proponents of "classical" and "Bayesian" statistica} methods continues unabated. It is not the purpose of the text to resolve those issues but rather to demonstrate that within the realm of actuarial science there are a number of problems that are particularly suited for Bayesian analysis. This has been apparent to actuaries for a long time, but the lack of adequate computing power and appropriate algorithms had led to the use of various approximations. The two greatest advantages to the actuary of the Bayesian approach are that the method is independent of the model and that interval estimates are as easy to obtain as point estimates. The former attribute means that once one learns how to analyze one problem, the solution to similar, but more complex, problems will be no more difficult. The second one takes on added significance as the actuary of today is expected to provide evidence concerning the quality of any estimates. While the examples are all actuarial in nature, the methods discussed are applicable to any structured estimation problem. In particular, statisticians will recognize that the basic credibility problem has the same setting as the random effects model from analysis of variance.
Author: Philip J. Boland
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 158488696X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 368
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Book Description
Statistical and Probabilistic Methods in Actuarial Science covers many of the diverse methods in applied probability and statistics for students aspiring to careers in insurance, actuarial science, and finance. The book builds on students' existing knowledge of probability and statistics by establishing a solid and thorough understanding of
Author: Yanwei Zhang
Publisher: Chapman & Hall/CRC
ISBN: 9781466510616
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 320
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Book Description
There has been a rapidly growing interest in Bayesian methods among insurance practitioners in recent years, mainly because of their ability to generate predictive distributions and to rigorously incorporate expert opinion through prior probabilities. This book introduces modern Bayesian modeling techniques for actuarial and insurance applications. It first provides the necessary background in current actuarial practice and then presents Bayesian methods and MCMC. It includes advanced techniques, such as nonlinear modeling, as well as three chapters on model selection and averaging. The text features case studies using real actuarial and insurance data with computations in R and WinBUGS.
Author: Guangyuan Gao
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9811336091
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 210
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Book Description
This book first provides a review of various aspects of Bayesian statistics. It then investigates three types of claims reserving models in the Bayesian framework: chain ladder models, basis expansion models involving a tail factor, and multivariate copula models. For the Bayesian inferential methods, this book largely relies on Stan, a specialized software environment which applies Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method and variational Bayes.
Author: Arthur Charpentier
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1498759823
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 652
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Book Description
A Hands-On Approach to Understanding and Using Actuarial ModelsComputational Actuarial Science with R provides an introduction to the computational aspects of actuarial science. Using simple R code, the book helps you understand the algorithms involved in actuarial computations. It also covers more advanced topics, such as parallel computing and C/
Author: Edward W. Frees
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107029872
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 565
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Book Description
This book is for actuaries and financial analysts developing their expertise in statistics and who wish to become familiar with concrete examples of predictive modeling.
Author: Paul Damien
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199695601
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 717
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Book Description
This volume guides the reader along a statistical journey that begins with the basic structure of Bayesian theory, and then provides details on most of the past and present advances in this field.
Author: I. B. Hossack
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521655347
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 298
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Book Description
This is a new edition of a very successful introduction to statistical methods for general insurance practitioners. No prior statistical knowledge is assumed, and the mathematical level required is approximately equivalent to school mathematics. Whilst the book is primarily introductory, the authors discuss some more advanced topics, including simulation, calculation of risk premiums, credibility theory, estimation of outstanding claim provisions and risk theory. All topics are illustrated by examples drawn from general insurance, and references for further reading are given. Solutions to most of the exercises are included. For the new edition the opportunity has been taken to make minor improvements and corrections throughout the text, to rewrite some sections to improve clarity, and to update the examples and references. A new section dealing with estimation has also been added.
Author: Robert G. Cowell
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9780387718231
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 340
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Book Description
Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks which support the modeling of uncertainty and decisions in large complex domains, while retaining ease of calculation. Building on original research by the authors, this book gives a thorough and rigorous mathematical treatment of the underlying ideas, structures, and algorithms. The book will be of interest to researchers in both artificial intelligence and statistics, who desire an introduction to this fascinating and rapidly developing field. The book, winner of the DeGroot Prize 2002, the only book prize in the field of statistics, is new in paperback.
Author: Mark Goldburd
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780996889728
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 106
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Book Description
