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Author: Howard Raiffa
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 392
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Book Description
Das definitive Buch zur Anwendung der Bayes-Statistik auf wirtschaftliche Probleme in der Praxis, bei denen es um Entscheidungen mit unsicheren Randbedingungen geht! Der Aktionsplan als Ziel der Analyse soll sowohl den Prioritäten Rechnung tragen, die der Entscheidungsfinder bei den Folgen setzt, als auch unbekannte Faktoren in Form von Wahrscheinlichkeiten enthalten. - Jetzt als preiswerte Paperback-Ausgabe! (08/00)
Author: Howard Raiffa
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 392
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Book Description
Das definitive Buch zur Anwendung der Bayes-Statistik auf wirtschaftliche Probleme in der Praxis, bei denen es um Entscheidungen mit unsicheren Randbedingungen geht! Der Aktionsplan als Ziel der Analyse soll sowohl den Prioritäten Rechnung tragen, die der Entscheidungsfinder bei den Folgen setzt, als auch unbekannte Faktoren in Form von Wahrscheinlichkeiten enthalten. - Jetzt als preiswerte Paperback-Ausgabe! (08/00)
Author: Howard Raiffa
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 356
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Book Description
Author: Howard Raiffa
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: James Berger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 147571727X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 440
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Book Description
Decision theory is generally taught in one of two very different ways. When of opti taught by theoretical statisticians, it tends to be presented as a set of mathematical techniques mality principles, together with a collection of various statistical procedures. When useful in establishing the optimality taught by applied decision theorists, it is usually a course in Bayesian analysis, showing how this one decision principle can be applied in various practical situations. The original goal I had in writing this book was to find some middle ground. I wanted a book which discussed the more theoretical ideas and techniques of decision theory, but in a manner that was constantly oriented towards solving statistical problems. In particular, it seemed crucial to include a discussion of when and why the various decision prin ciples should be used, and indeed why decision theory is needed at all. This original goal seemed indicated by my philosophical position at the time, which can best be described as basically neutral. I felt that no one approach to decision theory (or statistics) was clearly superior to the others, and so planned a rather low key and impartial presentation of the competing ideas. In the course of writing the book, however, I turned into a rabid Bayesian. There was no single cause for this conversion; just a gradual realization that things seemed to ultimately make sense only when looked at from the Bayesian viewpoint.
Author: James O. Berger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 147574286X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 633
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Book Description
In this new edition the author has added substantial material on Bayesian analysis, including lengthy new sections on such important topics as empirical and hierarchical Bayes analysis, Bayesian calculation, Bayesian communication, and group decision making. With these changes, the book can be used as a self-contained introduction to Bayesian analysis. In addition, much of the decision-theoretic portion of the text was updated, including new sections covering such modern topics as minimax multivariate (Stein) estimation.
Author: John Winsor Pratt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Statistical Decision
Languages : en
Pages : 875
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Book Description
Author: F. Liese
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387731946
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 696
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Book Description
For advanced graduate students, this book is a one-stop shop that presents the main ideas of decision theory in an organized, balanced, and mathematically rigorous manner, while observing statistical relevance. All of the major topics are introduced at an elementary level, then developed incrementally to higher levels. The book is self-contained as it provides full proofs, worked-out examples, and problems. The authors present a rigorous account of the concepts and a broad treatment of the major results of classical finite sample size decision theory and modern asymptotic decision theory. With its broad coverage of decision theory, this book fills the gap between standard graduate texts in mathematical statistics and advanced monographs on modern asymptotic theory.
Author: Howard Raiffa
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 047138349X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 388
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Book Description
Das definitive Buch zur Anwendung der Bayes-Statistik auf wirtschaftliche Probleme in der Praxis, bei denen es um Entscheidungen mit unsicheren Randbedingungen geht! Der Aktionsplan als Ziel der Analyse soll sowohl den Prioritäten Rechnung tragen, die der Entscheidungsfinder bei den Folgen setzt, als auch unbekannte Faktoren in Form von Wahrscheinlichkeiten enthalten. - Jetzt als preiswerte Paperback-Ausgabe! (08/00)
Author: Michael Zabarankin
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461484715
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 254
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Book Description
Statistical Decision Problems presents a quick and concise introduction into the theory of risk, deviation and error measures that play a key role in statistical decision problems. It introduces state-of-the-art practical decision making through twenty-one case studies from real-life applications. The case studies cover a broad area of topics and the authors include links with source code and data, a very helpful tool for the reader. In its core, the text demonstrates how to use different factors to formulate statistical decision problems arising in various risk management applications, such as optimal hedging, portfolio optimization, cash flow matching, classification, and more. The presentation is organized into three parts: selected concepts of statistical decision theory, statistical decision problems, and case studies with portfolio safeguard. The text is primarily aimed at practitioners in the areas of risk management, decision making, and statistics. However, the inclusion of a fair bit of mathematical rigor renders this monograph an excellent introduction to the theory of general error, deviation, and risk measures for graduate students. It can be used as supplementary reading for graduate courses including statistical analysis, data mining, stochastic programming, financial engineering, to name a few. The high level of detail may serve useful to applied mathematicians, engineers, and statisticians interested in modeling and managing risk in various applications.
Author: John Winsor Pratt
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262161442
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 906
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Book Description
They then examine the Bernoulli, Poisson, and Normal (univariate and multivariate) data generating processes.
