Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding Swift Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade PDF Download
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Author: Narek Ghazaryan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616357630
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 63
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Book Description
This paper extends earlier research by adding SWIFT data on documentary collections to the short-term forecast of international trade. While SWIFT documentary collections accounted for just over one percent of world trade financing in 2020, they have strong explanatory power to forecast world trade and national trade in selected economies. The informational content from documentary collections helps improve the forecast of world trade, while a horse race with machine learning algorithms shows significant non-linearities between trade and its determinants during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Author: Narek Ghazaryan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616357630
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 63
Get Book Here
Book Description
This paper extends earlier research by adding SWIFT data on documentary collections to the short-term forecast of international trade. While SWIFT documentary collections accounted for just over one percent of world trade financing in 2020, they have strong explanatory power to forecast world trade and national trade in selected economies. The informational content from documentary collections helps improve the forecast of world trade, while a horse race with machine learning algorithms shows significant non-linearities between trade and its determinants during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Author: Jenna McGuiggan
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1645176711
Category : Games & Activities
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Revisit your favorite memories of Mister Rogers’ Neighborhood with nine 96-piece jigsaw puzzles that you put together right in the book! It’s a beautiful day in this neighborhood, as you’ll find in this collection of nine 96-piece jigsaw puzzles featuring memorable moments in the life of Fred Rogers and his classic TV show Mister Rogers’ Neighborhood. Each puzzle is packed (and can be assembled) in a spacer page and is accompanied by anecdotes about the television series and the lessons Mister Rogers taught us—from friendship and kindness to inclusivity and patience. The back side of each puzzle shows a color-coded bonus puzzle for easy identification. Plus, hidden underneath each puzzle on the spacer page is an inspiring quote from Mister Rogers. This go-anywhere book is perfect for fans of the show and jigsaw puzzle enthusiasts alike. Relive the nostalgia of the neighbor who taught us life’s lessons. Get to know the Jigsaw Puzzle Book series! These unique books of puzzles are perfect for jigsaw fans of all ages! Each book in the series features nine 96-piece puzzles, and every spread offers a brand-new puzzle, which is securely housed in a tray built directly into the page. Remove the pieces and work on the puzzles on a table, or assemble your jigsaw masterpieces directly in the trays. The reverse sides of each puzzle’s jigsaw pieces are color-coordinated with the trays so that you’ll never worry about the pieces of different puzzles getting mixed together. Each puzzle is also accompanied by interesting stories and fun facts that add a richness to the images you are piecing together. A puzzle key for all nine puzzles can be found on inside back cover. And don’t miss the surprise—as you remove the puzzle pieces from the tray, you’ll reveal a special message printed on the inside of the tray. The Jigsaw Puzzle Book series offers an engaging new twist on the joy of puzzling!
Author: RH Disney Staff
Publisher: RH/Disney
ISBN: 9780736424066
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Watch Cinderella change from rags to riches, Ariel go from fins to feet, and Sleeping Beauty awaken into the Princess she was born to be in this enchanting new puzzle book featuring all of the beloved Disney Princesses. This exciting new casebound storybook boasts 10 sturdy puzzles, all-new full color art AND glitter and embossing on the front cover!
Author: Brian Mills
Publisher: B&H Publishing Group
ISBN: 1462794254
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 167
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Book Description
For many, the college experience is defined by drinking, sex, impulsive decision-making, and a journey of self discovery. It's packaged as a consequence-free zone to have the "best time of your life." But the reality is that what happens in college doesn't stay in college. There are real, lasting consequences to your decisions. Student ministry leaders Ben Trueblood and Brian Mills have seen this firsthand. With decades of student-ministry leadership under their belts, they have seen too many lives fall apart because of the world's view of what the college experience should be. You don't have to have that kind of college experience. Fortunately, just as the gospel redeems all of life, the gospel redeems the college experience. It tells us there is another way. In this book, Ben and Brian provide a biblical and practical guide for how you can have a fun, joy-filled, and spiritually enriching college experience while avoiding the pitfalls that have captured so many before you.
Author: Alex Irvine
Publisher: Chronicle Books
ISBN: 9781452148274
Category : Games & Activities
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
New York Collapse is an in-world fictionalized companion to one of the biggest video game releases of 2016: Tom Clancy's The Division from Ubisoft. Within this discarded survivalist field guide, written before the collapse, lies a mystery—a handwritten account of a woman struggling to discover why New York City fell. The keys to unlocking the survivor's full story are hidden within seven removable artifacts, ranging from a full-city map to a used transit card. Retrace her steps through a destroyed urban landscape and decipher her clues to reveal the key secrets at the heart of this highly anticipated game.
Author: Stanley J. Serxner
Publisher: iUniverse
ISBN: 1532086563
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 73
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Book Description
These are short stories. No novels. Hardly any violence or sex. Some are funny, some mystery, some deeper than others. Is there a major motion picture lurking in my stories? Will I rate the New York Times best seller list? Will I be translated into 57 obscure languages? Hope springs eternal. Meanwhile, soar with me into my flighty flights of imagination. Thanks! Questions? Comments? Email:
[email protected]
Author: Michael McCarthy
Publisher: Grosvenor House Publishing
ISBN: 1803819855
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 513
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Book Description
Liverpool 1818. It was time for Liverpool's leading newspaper The Mercury to recruit a 'young investigative journalist' who it would it train and steep in its reformist outlook. Fighting for social and economic justice in England's 'port of empire.' On his way to interview, Edwin Kearney had taken a shortcut through storm-battered Old Dock. What occurred that morning would shape his life and affect those of all about him. In the aftermath, he would encounter dark forces feverishly at work in this hectic, tumultuous place. Across its quays and warehouses. On its streets and in its shadows. Forces and their instruments, locals and their out-of-town allies, devoted to unrelenting crime, privation and misery. The lives and circumstances of its people little more than a commodity to be weighed, bartered and discarded. The brutal physical removal of one community and to enable the imposition of another. Civic dispossession and the pre-emption of rights. An assault on the undefended by the indefensible. In their way, stood the town's fearless newspaper The Mercury, its remarkable owner and the young man who had unwittingly crossed into Liverpool's netherworld and now found himself at the very heart of The Mercury's proposition that 'the welfare of the people shall be the supreme law.' Lives and communities were at stake, the forces against them -native and imported - vicious and formidable- led by one of London's most ingenious and elusive criminals and bolstered locally by his feared Liverpool counterpart. The very existence of Liverpool's crusading newspaper in jeopardy, until a remarkable group of friends and allies also emerged from the shadows.
Author: Delbert D. Thiessen
Publisher: Transaction Publishers
ISBN: 156000245X
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 437
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Book Description
Bittersweet Destiny combines discourse on the evolution of human behavior with a philosophical perspective. It explores evolutionary theory aimed at determining human behavior. Del Thiessen presents this material against the broad background of everyday life, allowing the reader to see the theory of evolution as it has shaped his or her own behavior. However, he points out that when evolutionary theory is aimed at human behavior, the critics object, and controversy results. Thiessen argues that nothing in our lives makes sense unless we look at it through a biological lens. We can thereby understand our origin, our affiliation with all animals and plants, and our cultural destination. However, we can also discover a dark side to our destinyâour favoritism to those who share our own genes, our ability to deceive, and our capacity for abuse, rape, and murder. Good, bad, and indifferent, we serve the replication of our DNA. Critics extrapolate evolutionary theory to a wide range of animal species, and even human morphology and physiology, but when the same perspective is applied to human behavior there is strong dissent. What these critics fear, according to Thiessen, is that accepting evolutionary notions about human behavior strikes at the heart of free will, self-determination, and social equality. Bittersweet Destiny describes the heroic efforts of naturalists Charles Darwin and Alfred Wallace to unlock the secrets of evolution. It continues with a vivid description of our fossil history and our chance beginnings. From there the story implicates disease processes in evolution, highlights our rational and irrational nature, focuses on those characteristics of brain evolution and language that make us distinctive, and illustrates our most basic survival and reproductive mechanisms. Thiessen warns the reader that things are as they are no matter what we might wish; we ignore facts and controversy at our own risk. This book will be significant to anthropologists, psychologists, biologists, and sociologists.
Author: Graham Masterton
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN: 178669557X
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 425
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Book Description
'One of Britain's finest horror writers' DAILY MAIL An idyllic retreat? Or a madhouse soaked in blood? Only the Walkers can tell you... The Oaks is an idyllic, up-market country club – but its ornately carved walls hide a horrific past. Sixty years ago the house was an asylum, home to crazed psychopaths. One night all of them disappeared, never to be seen again. Jack Reed, the owner of The Oaks, has no idea about the building's terrible history. It is only when Jack's son is dragged into the walls of the mansion that he realises what happened sixty years ago – and just where the inmates have been living all this time... 'One of the most original and frightening storytellers of our time' PETER JAMES 'A true master of horror' JAMES HERBERT 'God, he's good' STEPHEN KING
Author: Gary Goelz
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1475856881
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 217
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Book Description
This book is designed to help all educators get back to the CORE (Calling or Reason in Education) of what they love most about their chosen profession. What’s in Your CORE re-centers and rejuvenates the reader by encouraging self-reflection and demanding action. The authors introduce and guide the reader through their ten “COREs,” which can be thought of as “educational personality types” or a default purpose setting. What's in Your CORE then takes purpose to the next level by discussing the unifying power of perspective-taking in others. It helps the reader to better understand and appreciate the perspective of their colleagues in order to efficiently work together to achieve school goals. Readers will find it engaging, humorous, applicable and different from any professional book they’ve ever read. Whether you’re a teacher, an aide, a principal, a district office leader, or anyone in between, this book is for you.
