Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction

Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction PDF Author: Stephen J. Taylor
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400839254
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 544

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Book Description
This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.

Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction

Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction PDF Author: Stephen J. Taylor
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400839254
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 544

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Book Description
This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.

Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics

Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics PDF Author: Terence C. Mills
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230244408
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1406

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Book Description
Following theseminal Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics: Volume I , this second volume brings together the finestacademicsworking in econometrics today andexploresapplied econometrics, containing contributions onsubjects includinggrowth/development econometrics and applied econometrics and computing.

New Drivers of Performance in a Changing World

New Drivers of Performance in a Changing World PDF Author: A. Carretta
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230594816
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 299

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Book Description
In a financial revolution, new determinants of performance arise and interest in the way performance is measured and communicated to stakeholders grows. This book presents a wide and accurate analysis of the impact that regulation, structural changes and new financial products have on the performance of markets and intermediaries.

Handbook Of Applied Investment Research

Handbook Of Applied Investment Research PDF Author: John B Guerard Jr
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811222649
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 817

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Book Description
This book introduces the readers to the rapidly growing literature and latest results on financial, fundamental and seasonal anomalies, stock selection modeling and portfolio management. Fifty years ago, finance professors taught the Efficient Markets Hypothesis which states that the average investor could not outperform the stock market based on technical, seasonal and fundamental data. Many, if not most faculty and investors, no longer share that opinion. In this book, the authors report original empirical evidence that applied investment research can produce statistically significant stock selection and excess portfolio returns in the US, and larger excess returns in international and emerging markets.

Advances in Financial Planning and Forecasting (New Series) Vol.5

Advances in Financial Planning and Forecasting (New Series) Vol.5 PDF Author: Cheng F. Lee
Publisher: Center for PBBEFR & Airiti Press
ISBN: 9866286606
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
Advances in Financial Planning and Froecasting (New Series) is an annual publication designed to disseminate developments in the area of financial analysis, planning, and forecasting. The publication is a froum for statistical, quantitative, and accounting analyses of issues in financial analysis and planning in terms of finance, accounting, and economic data.

Long Memory in Emerging Market Stock Returns

Long Memory in Emerging Market Stock Returns PDF Author: Jonathan H. Wright
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
Many authors have investigated the possibility of long memory in asset returns. Generally, very little evidence has been found for long memory in either stock returns or exchange rate returns. This paper applies the log-periodogram regression to a wide range of emerging market stock returns and finds some evidence for positive long memory in 7 of the 17 series considered.

Journal of Empirical Finance

Journal of Empirical Finance PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 884

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Book Description


International Finance Discussion Papers

International Finance Discussion Papers PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : International finance
Languages : en
Pages : 28

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Book Description


The Equity Risk Premium

The Equity Risk Premium PDF Author: William N. Goetzmann
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019803377X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 568

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Book Description
What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.

SSRI Reprint Series

SSRI Reprint Series PDF Author: University of Wisconsin--Madison. Social Systems Research Institute
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 464

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Book Description