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Author: Kevin C. W. Chen
Publisher:
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Languages : en
Pages : 0
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This study examines analyst forecast revisions after the disclosure of firms' deferred tax adjustments following the U.S. Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 (OBRA), which raised the corporate income tax rate from 34% to 35%. This deferred tax adjustment was a one-time item, and should have had no effect on analyst estimates of future earnings. However, we find that forecast revisions issued after the disclosure of income decreasing deferred tax adjustment were positively related to the amount of the adjustment. The complexity of the deferred tax adjustment and the newness of SFAS 109 (which required the adjustment) may have contributed to the failure of analysts to properly interpret this onetime item when revising their earnings forecasts.
Author: Kevin C. W. Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This study examines analyst forecast revisions after the disclosure of firms' deferred tax adjustments following the U.S. Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 (OBRA), which raised the corporate income tax rate from 34% to 35%. This deferred tax adjustment was a one-time item, and should have had no effect on analyst estimates of future earnings. However, we find that forecast revisions issued after the disclosure of income decreasing deferred tax adjustment were positively related to the amount of the adjustment. The complexity of the deferred tax adjustment and the newness of SFAS 109 (which required the adjustment) may have contributed to the failure of analysts to properly interpret this onetime item when revising their earnings forecasts.
Author: Brian Michael Bratten
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 198
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This dissertation examines the general research issue of whether the components of earnings are informative and specifically 1) how analysts consider earnings components when predicting future earnings and 2) whether the information content in, and analysts' use of, earnings components have changed through time. Although earnings components have predictive value for future earnings based on each component's persistence, extant research provides only a limited understanding of whether and how analysts consider this when forecasting. Using an integrated income statement and balance sheet framework to estimate the persistence of earnings components, I first establish that disaggregation based on the earnings components framework in this study is helpful to predict future earnings and helps explains contemporaneous returns. I then find evidence suggesting that although analysts consider the persistence of various earnings components, they do not fully integrate this information into their forecasts. Interestingly, analysts appear to be selective in their incorporation of the information in earnings components, seeming to ignore information from components indicating lower persistence, which results in higher forecast errors. Conversely, when a firm's income is concentrated in high persistence items, analysts appear to incorporate the information into their forecasts, reducing their forecast errors. I also report that the usefulness of components relative to aggregate earnings has dramatically and continuously increased over the past several decades, and contemporaneous returns appear to be much better explained by earnings components than aggregate earnings (than historically). Finally, the relation between analyst forecast errors and the differential persistence of earnings components has also declined over time, indicating that analysts appear to recognize the increasing importance of earnings components through time.
Author: Ahmed Abdalla
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 58
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We examine the information content of earnings components conditional on the existence of misclassification of earnings in the income statement. We develop a vector autoregression (VAR) of a set of accounting variables that accommodates, besides other variables, two components of transitory earnings; a core component reflecting shifted core earnings and a transitory component reflecting purified transitory earnings. Our model analysis derives two properties of shifted core earnings. Shifted core earnings forecast future abnormal earnings similar to reported core earnings, and shifted core earnings provide a "bad news" signal of management incompetence. Using special items as measure of a transitory line item that is potentially contaminated by shifted earnings, we provide empirical evidence in support of the former. We propose and find empirically that purified special items are transitory. Nevertheless, our evidence suggests that stock prices do not fully reflect the heterogeneity between the core and transitory components of special items, but rather overstate the entire amount of special items when shifting is suspected.
Author: Sangwan Kim
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Despite the central importance of equity analysts as information intermediaries in capital markets, prior studies provide only limited evidence on how analysts use tax information reported in financial statements. To seek a deeper understanding of the mechanisms that underlie analysts' use of tax information in GAAP financial statements, we investigate the association between sell-side equity analysts' forecasts and the change in earnings attributable to a change in ETRs (i.e., the tax change component of earnings). We provide evidence that the persistence of the tax change component of earnings embedded in analysts' forecasts is systematically lower than that implied by our model's time-series properties. Recent research shows that the persistence of the tax change component of earnings is a complex combination of both the persistence of pretax earnings and the persistence of the ETR. We provide evidence that the analysts' underestimation of the tax change component of earnings is primarily attributable to analysts' failure to impound the full implications of the difference between permanent and transitory ETR changes. The results also provide strong evidence that analysts' underreaction to the tax change component of earnings is significantly attenuated when managers voluntarily provide earnings forecasts. Further, analysts' incorporation of tax information into earnings forecasts becomes less biased after Regulation FD. This research answers the call from Graham, Raedy, and Shackelford (2012) for more research into the underlying fundamentals of tax-based information prepared in accordance with GAAP, and the extent to which various financial statement users, including sophisticated market participants such as equity analysts, use tax-based information.
Author: Don Herrmann
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Not all components of earnings are expected to provide similar information regarding future earnings. For example, basic financial statement analysis indicates that the persistence of ordinary income should be greater than the persistence of special, extraordinary, or discontinued operations. Because the market assigns higher multiples to earnings components that are more persistent, differentiating earnings components on the basis of relative persistence would appear to be useful. A focus on relative predictive value is consistent with research findings and user recommendations on separating earnings components that are persistent or permanent from those that are transitory or temporary. This paper examines the persistence and forecast accuracy of earnings components for retail and manufacturing companies listed in the world's two largest equity markets; the USA and Japan. We find the forecast accuracy of earnings in both the USA and Japan increases with greater disaggregation of earnings components. The results further indicate that the improvements in forecast accuracy due to earnings disaggregation are greater in the USA than in Japan. The greater emphasis and more detailed guidelines for reporting earnings components in the USA produce a better differentiation in the persistence of earnings components resulting in greater forecast improvements from earnings disaggregation.
Author: Jeffery Abarbanell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Author: Financial Accounting Standards Board
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Accounting
Languages : en
Pages : 124
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Author: Khondkar E. Karim
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 180382803X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 205
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Book Description
Focusing on research that examines both individual and organizational behavior relative to accounting, Volume 25 of Advances in Accounting Behavioral Research uncovers emerging theories, methods and applications.
Author: Marc Nerlove
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agricultural industries
Languages : en
Pages : 130
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Author: Thomas A. Carnes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 142
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