An Experimental Study of Bubble Formation in Asset Markets Using the Tâtonnement Trading Institution PDF Download
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Author: Volodymyr Lugovskyy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital assets pricing model
Languages : en
Pages : 35
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Book Description
Author: Volodymyr Lugovskyy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital assets pricing model
Languages : en
Pages : 35
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Volodymyr Lugovskyy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital assets pricing model
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
Author: Daniel Hosp
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3656270449
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 19
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Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,00, University of Innsbruck, language: English, abstract: Bubbles in Asset Market gibt eine kurzen Überblick darüber, wie "Blasen" in Finanzmärkten entstehen könnne und wie deren Entstehung anhand von Experimenten bisher getestet wurde. Darauf aufbauen gibt es empfehlungen für eine geändertes Design der Experimente um bessre Ergebnisse erzielen zu können.
Author: Stefan Palan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642021476
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 179
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Book Description
This book describes a laboratory experiment designed to test the causes and properties of bubbles in financial markets and explores the question whether it is possible to design markets which avoid such bubbles and crashes. In the experiment, subjects were given the opportunity to trade in a stock market modeled after the seminal work of Smith et al. (1988). To account for the increasing importance of online betting sites, subjects were also allowed to trade in a digital option market. The outcomes shed new light on how subjects form and update their expectations, placing special emphasis on the bounded rationality of investors. Various analytical bubble measures found in the literature are collected, calculated, classified and presented for the first time. The very interesting new bubble measures "Dispersion Ratio", "Overpriced Transactions" and "Underpriced Transactions" are developed, making the book an important step towards the research goal of preventing bubbles and crashes in financial markets.
Author: Jörg Oechssler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Erik F. Gerding
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 63
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Book Description
This article analyzes the effectiveness of proposed and actual securities, financial, and tax laws designed to prevent, or dampen the severity of asset price bubbles, including laws designed to mitigate excessive speculation. The article employs experimental asset market research to measure the effectiveness of these anti-bubble laws in correcting mispricings. Experimental asset markets represent complex simulations of stock markets in which subjects trade securities over a computer network. These markets allow scholars to test causal links between legal policies and market effects in ways that empirical research alone cannot. With these virtual markets, researchers can identify asset price bubbles - when prices of assets diverge from fundamental values - with a certainty that is beyond the capacity of empirical studies.The article places anti-bubble laws in the following template, which maps onto microeconomic (including behavioral finance) and macroeconomic research on bubble formation:(1) laws that aim to provide information to investors on fundamental value of assets: these laws require enhanced disclosure or investor education either to focus investor attention on information on fundamental value rather than noise or to remedy information asymmetries that lead to asset mispricing; (2) laws that attempt to short circuit positive feedback loops: these anti-bubble laws attempt to dampen the positive feedback created when investors chase rising asset prices and include transaction taxes, circuit breakers and laws that attempt to restrict access of investors to certain markets or channel less sophisticated investors to less risky assets; (3) removal of legal restrictions on arbitrage; and (4) laws that restrict credit to investors to curb speculation (e.g., margin regulations). Experimental (and empirical) evidence suggests the effectiveness of many laws in eliminating bubbles is weak. This article argues for greater use of experimental asset market research in corporate and securities law scholarship and provides a model for an analysis of the validity of experimental results.
Author: Ralf M. Becker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
The paper investigates the effect of interest policy on price bubbles, trading behavior and portfolio choice in experimental stock markets. A series of experiments has 8 participants trade an asset over 15 periods. Alternatively, the participants can invest money in interest-bearing bonds. Treatment groups are subjected to an endogenous interest policy, while control groups experience a constant interest rate. Our stock markets are characterized by bubbles. While we observe a small positive impact of our interest policy on bubbles, the policy also strongly increases market volatility. On the other hand, concerning portfolio choice, we find evidence for value-driven (rational) investment behavior.
Author: Ross M. Miller
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 18
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Book Description
One of the most striking results in experimental economics is the ease with which market bubbles form in a laboratory setting and the difficulty of preventing them. This article re-examines bubble experiments in light of the results of an earlier series of market experiments that examine how learning occurs in markets characterized by an asymmetry of information between buyers and sellers, such as found in Akerlof's lemons model and Spence's signaling model and extends the arguments put forth in the author's book, Paving Wall Street: Experimental Economics and the Quest for the Perfect Market.Markets with asymmetric information are incomplete because they lack markets for specific levels of product quality. Such markets either lump all qualities together (lemons) or use external indications of quality to separate them (signaling). Similarly, the markets used in bubble experiments are incomplete in that they are lacking a complete set of forward or futures markets, depriving traders of the information supplied by the prices in those markets. Preliminary experimental results suggest that the addition of a single forward market can sometimes mitigate bubble formation and this article suggests more extensive research in this direction is warranted. Market bubbles outside of the laboratory usually are found in markets in with forward and futures markets that are either legally restricted or otherwise limited.Experimentation in markets with asymmetric information also indicates that the ability of subjects to learn how to send and receive signals can be enhanced by changing the way that market information is presented to them. We explore how this result might be used to help asset markets learn to avoid bubbles.
Author: Brice Corgnet
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Te Bao
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 55
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Book Description
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the fundamental price in all treatments, but to a larger degree in treatments (2) and (3). Mispricing is therefore a robust finding in markets with positive expectation feedback. Some very large, recurring bubbles arise, where the price is 3 times larger than the fundamental value, which were not seen in former experiments.
