An Empirical Investigation of Asymmetric Volatility, Trading Volume and Risk-Return Relationship in the Indian Stock Market PDF Download
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Author: Pramod Kumar Naik
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 25
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Book Description
The objective of this article is to investigate the volatility asymmetry, volatility-volume relationship by considering trading volume as a mixing variable, and the risk-return relationship in the Indian stock market. Daily data from January 2, 1997 to May 30, 2013 for S&P CNX Nifty are used for the empirical analysis. First, we employ GARCH, EGARCH and GJR-GARCH models to examine the volatility pattern in the stock market. Second, both contemporaneous and lagged trading volumes are augmented in the volatility model to empirically verify the validity of Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH) and Sequential Information Arrival Hypothesis (SIAH). The level of volatility persistence also compared. Finally, GARCH in mean extension has been tried to investigate whether the risk-return trade-off exist in the market. The findings show significant volatility asymmetry supporting the leverage effect; provide supports to MDH but the volatility shocks are found to be highly persistent even after incorporating trading volume. The study also finds evidence of no significant relationship between risk and return. The implication of the findings may be applicable to traders, speculator as well as the financial decision makers and practitioners as the trading volume reflects the information about market expectation.
Author: Pramod Kumar Naik
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 25
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Book Description
The objective of this article is to investigate the volatility asymmetry, volatility-volume relationship by considering trading volume as a mixing variable, and the risk-return relationship in the Indian stock market. Daily data from January 2, 1997 to May 30, 2013 for S&P CNX Nifty are used for the empirical analysis. First, we employ GARCH, EGARCH and GJR-GARCH models to examine the volatility pattern in the stock market. Second, both contemporaneous and lagged trading volumes are augmented in the volatility model to empirically verify the validity of Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH) and Sequential Information Arrival Hypothesis (SIAH). The level of volatility persistence also compared. Finally, GARCH in mean extension has been tried to investigate whether the risk-return trade-off exist in the market. The findings show significant volatility asymmetry supporting the leverage effect; provide supports to MDH but the volatility shocks are found to be highly persistent even after incorporating trading volume. The study also finds evidence of no significant relationship between risk and return. The implication of the findings may be applicable to traders, speculator as well as the financial decision makers and practitioners as the trading volume reflects the information about market expectation.
Author: Gurmeet Singh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 23
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Book Description
This paper investigates the empirical relationship between return, volume and volatility dynamics of stock market by using data of the NIFTY index of NSE during the period from Jan 2007 to March 2014. The volatility in the Indian stock market exhibits characteristics similar to those found earlier in many of the major developed and emerging stock markets. It is shown that ARCH family models outperform the conventional OLS models. We find that, the TARCH model is better fit, when we compare the GARCH, EGARCH and TARCH models, on the basis of AIC and SC criteria. Causality from volatility to volume can be seen as some evidence that new information arrival might follow a sequential rather than a simultaneous process. Moreover, in the GARCH model, ARCH and GARCH effects remain significant, which highlights the inefficiency in the market. In addition, EGARCH and TARCH models indicate the presence of leverage effect and positive impact of volatility on returns. Finally, the findings of granger causality test records the evidence of one way causality from volatility to trading volume and from return to volume.
Author: Arushi Gaur
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The study investigated one of the vital issues on market microstructure, the relationship between volatility, stock returns and trading volume on Indian stock market for daily frequency from 2nd March 2009 to 31st July 2018. The investor's fear gauge measure of VIX was used as a volatility variable. The asymmetric impact of returns was estimated on volume and volatility changes. The MWALD granger test revealed that trading volume is undirectionally caused be negative returns and implied volatility VIX. Feedback relationship exists between positive returns, negative returns and VIX. Also positive and negative returns have a bi-directional causality. But the results of Toda-Yamamoto only capture the central values of dependent variable's distribution. Therefore we also estimate Quantile Regression models. The asymmetric significant relation of stock returns on changes of volatility and volume distribution was found and stronger at extreme ends of dependent variable's distribution. The study supports the behavioral justification for negative return-volatility contemporaneous relationship but not unconditionally. The evidence of volatility feedback and leverage hypothesis was also significant for lagged period. The contemporaneous negative relationship was found between volatility and volume changes highlighting that investors in India are risk-averse and informed. But the positive lagged effect of changes in volatility on trading volume supports SAIH and affirms the fact that when information gets assimilated with time, noise traders entre the market and increase liquidity. Thus their presence increases trading volume with increase in VIX level.
Author: Robert Maria Margaretha Jozef Bauer
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789090107905
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 191
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Book Description
Author: Omid Sabbaghi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
In light of the global financial crisis of 2008, this study provides an empirical investigation of the asymmetric volatility - trading volume relationship. Using national equity indices, this study conducts an EGARCH analysis for the Group of Five, or G5, countries. The empirical evidence suggests that trading volume is an important variable in explaining conditional volatility. Consistent with recent research, it is found that the presence of trading volume does not lead volatility persistence levels to decrease. In addition, our results suggest that trading volume captures a significant fraction of asymmetric volatility effects during the recent financial crisis.
Author: Manik Lakhani
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This project intends to study the relationship between stock returns and their trading volume and to test the causality effects. It focuses on the 50 stocks of CNX Nifty which is a value-weighted stock index of National Stock Exchange of India. Three proxies of trading volume namely, numbers of transactions, total traded quantity (volume) and total Rupee value of the traded quantity (turnover) have been taken and the asymmetry in the relationship of returns and volume is tested through regression. The study also tries to find the best proxy for volume through granger causality. The results indicate that there is asymmetry in the relation between returns and volume and the best proxy of the volume is the turnover or the value of shares traded.
Author: Brajesh Kumar
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
This paper is based on an empirical study of volatility, risk premium and seasonality in risk-return relation of the Indian stock and commodity markets. This investigation is conducted by means of the General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity in the mean model (GARCH-in-Mean) introduced by Engle et al. (1987). A systematic approach to model volatility in returns is presented. Volatility clustering and asymmetric nature are examined for Indian stock and commodity markets. The risk-return relationship and seasonality in risk-return are also investigated through GARCH-in-Mean modeling in which seasonal dummies are used for return as well as volatility equation. The empirical work has been carried out on market index Samp;P CNX Nifty for a period of 18 years from January 1990 to December 2007. Gold prices from 22nd July 2005 to 20th February 2008 and Soybean from October 2004 - December 2007 are also considered. The stock and commodity markets returns show persistence as well as clustering and asymmetric properties. Risk-return relationship is positive though insignificant for Nifty and Soybean where as significant positive relationship is found in the case of Gold. Seasonality in risk and return is also found which suggests the asymmetric nature of return, i.e. negative correlation between return and its volatility.
Author: Geert Bekaert
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investments
Languages : en
Pages : 72
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Book Description
It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level and to examine two potential explanations of the asymmetry: leverage effects and time-varying risk premiums. Our empirical application uses the market portfolio and portfolios with different leverage constructed from Nikkei 225 stocks, extending the empirical evidence on asymmetry to Japanese stocks. Although volatility asymmetry is present and significant at the market and the portfolio levels, its source differs across portfolios. We find that it is important to include leverage ratios in the volatility dynamics but that their economic effects are mostly dwarfed by the volatility feedback mechanism. Volatility feedback is enhanced by a phenomenon that we term covariance asymmetry: conditional covariances with the market increase only significantly following negative market news. We do not find significant asymmetries in conditional betas.
Author: Mahender
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
The present study aims to examine the investor's perception on trading volume and stock return volatility in Indian stock market using a structured questionnaire. Statistical tools like factor analysis, ANOVA and Cronbach's alpha are used to analyze data with the help of SPSS. The main findings show that out of the nine dimensions determined, on the basis of age, there is a significant difference in the response of the respondents in the case of tactics. On the basis of education, there is a significant difference in the response of the respondents in the case of cause-effect relationship and risk management. In all demographic profiles, there is no significant difference in trading volume and stock return volatility. The main implication of this study is for the investors and portfolio managers, as a majority of the respondents show strong willingness to use trading volume and stock return volatility as an informational tool. Therefore, this study suggests that a new approach to investment ought to be evolved which should aim at using trading volume and stock return volatility as information indicators.
Author: Srinivasan Kaliyaperumal
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3668659958
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 144
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Book Description
Project Report from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, , course: Ph. D, language: English, abstract: Every modern economy is based on a sound financial system and acts as a monetary channel for productive purpose with effecting economic growth. It encourages saving habit by throwing open and plethora of instrument avenues suiting to the individuals requirements, mobilizing savings from households and other segments and allocating savings into productive usage such as trade, commerce, manufacture etc. Thus a financial system can also be understood as institutional arrangements, through which financial surpluses are mobilized from the units generating surplus income and transferring them to the others in need of them. In nutshell, financial market, financial assets, financial services and financial institutions constitute the financial system. The activities include exchange and holding of financial assets or instruments of different kinds of financial institutions, banks and other intermediaries of the market. Financial markets provide channels for allocation of savings to investment and provide variety of assets to savers in various forms in which the investors can park their funds. At the same time, financial market is one that integral part of the financial system which makes significant contribution to the countries’ economic development. It establishes a link between the demand and supply of long-term capital funds. The economic strength of a country depends squarely on the state of financial market, apart from the productive potential of the country. The efficient allocation of fund by the capital market depends on the state of capital market. All the countries therefore focus more on the functioning of the capital market. Indian financial market has faced many challenges in the process of effecting more efficient allocation and mobilization of capital. It has attained a remarkable degree of growth in the last decade and in continuing to achieve the same in current decade also. Opening up of the economy and adoption of the liberalized economic policies have driven our economy more towards the free market. Over the last few years, financial markets, more specifically the security market were experiencing a lot of structural and regulatory changes. The major constituents of financial market are money market and the capital market catering to the type of capital requirements.
