Forecasting: principles and practice

Forecasting: principles and practice PDF Author: Rob J Hyndman
Publisher: OTexts
ISBN: 0987507117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380

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Book Description
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Forecasting: principles and practice

Forecasting: principles and practice PDF Author: Rob J Hyndman
Publisher: OTexts
ISBN: 0987507117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380

Get Book Here

Book Description
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Operations Research Proceedings 1993

Operations Research Proceedings 1993 PDF Author: Harald Dyckhoff
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9783540578628
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
In diesem Band werden zentrale Themen und neuere Entwicklungstendenzen auf dem Gebiet des Operations Research (OR) behandelt. Gegenstand sind die Vorträge, die anläßlich der 22. Jahrestagung der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Operations Research (DGOR) und der Nederlandse Stichting voor Operations Research (NSOR) in der Zeit vom 25.-27.8.1993 an der Freien Universität von Amsterdam gehalten wurden. Das Buch ermöglicht dem Leser einen Einblick in neueste Forschungsergebnisse auf dem Gebiet des Operations Research. Neben primär methodischen Fragestellungen bilden praxisorientierte Themen, wie z.B. Anwendungsberichte aus der Praxis und der Bereich Produktionsplanung und -steuerung, einen Schwerpunkt in diesem Band.

Disaggregation in Econometric Modelling (Routledge Revivals)

Disaggregation in Econometric Modelling (Routledge Revivals) PDF Author: Terry Barker
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317829190
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 367

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Book Description
In this book, first published in 1990, leading theorists and applied economists address themselves to the key questions of aggregation. The issues are covered both theoretically and in wide-ranging applications. Of particular intrest is the optimal aggregation of trade data, the need for micro-modelling when imoprtant non-linearities are present (for example, tax exhaustion in modelling company behaviour) and the use of a micro-model to stimulate labour supply behaviour in a macro-model of the Netherlands.

Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting PDF Author: Douglas C. Montgomery
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1394186703
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 740

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Book Description
Bring the latest statistical tools to bear on predicting future variables and outcomes A huge range of fields rely on forecasts of how certain variables and causal factors will affect future outcomes, from product sales to inflation rates to demographic changes. Time series analysis is the branch of applied statistics which generates forecasts, and its sophisticated use of time oriented data can vastly impact the quality of crucial predictions. The latest computing and statistical methodologies are constantly being sought to refine these predictions and increase the confidence with which important actors can rely on future outcomes. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting presents a comprehensive overview of the methodologies required to produce these forecasts with the aid of time-oriented data sets. The potential applications for these techniques are nearly limitless, and this foundational volume has now been updated to reflect the most advanced tools. The result, more than ever, is an essential introduction to a core area of statistical analysis. Readers of the third edition of Time Series Analysis and Forecasting will also find: Updates incorporating JMP, SAS, and R software, with new examples throughout Over 300 exercises and 50 programming algorithms that balance theory and practice Supplementary materials in the e-book including solutions to many problems, data sets, and brand-new explanatory videos covering the key concepts and examples from each chapter. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting is ideal for graduate and advanced undergraduate courses in the areas of data science and analytics and forecasting and time series analysis. It is also an outstanding reference for practicing data scientists.

Advances in Business and Management Forecasting

Advances in Business and Management Forecasting PDF Author: Kenneth D. Lawrence
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 0857247875
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 307

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Book Description
Includes sections devoted to financial applications of forecasting, as well as demand forecasting. This publication also includes a section on general business applications of forecasting, as well as one on forecasting methodologies.

Computational Logistics

Computational Logistics PDF Author: Carlos Paternina-Arboleda
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030311406
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 453

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Book Description
This book constitutes the proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Computational Logistics, ICCL 2019, held in Barranquilla, Colombia, in September/October 2019. The 27 papers included in this book were carefully reviewed and selected from 49 submissions. They were organized in topical sections named: freight transportation and urban logistics; maritime and port logistics; vehicle routing problems; network design and distribution problems; and selected topics in decision support systems and ICT tools.

Principles of Forecasting

Principles of Forecasting PDF Author: J.S. Armstrong
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9780792374015
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 880

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Book Description
This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.

Entropy Application for Forecasting

Entropy Application for Forecasting PDF Author: Ana Jesus Lopez-Menendez
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3039364871
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 200

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Book Description
This book shows the potential of entropy and information theory in forecasting, including both theoretical developments and empirical applications. The contents cover a great diversity of topics, such as the aggregation and combination of individual forecasts, the comparison of forecasting performance, and the debate concerning the tradeoff between complexity and accuracy. Analyses of forecasting uncertainty, robustness, and inconsistency are also included, as are proposals for new forecasting approaches. The proposed methods encompass a variety of time series techniques (e.g., ARIMA, VAR, state space models) as well as econometric methods and machine learning algorithms. The empirical contents include both simulated experiments and real-world applications focusing on GDP, M4-Competition series, confidence and industrial trend surveys, and stock exchange composite indices, among others. In summary, this collection provides an engaging insight into entropy applications for forecasting, offering an interesting overview of the current situation and suggesting possibilities for further research in this field.

Service Parts Management

Service Parts Management PDF Author: Nezih Altay
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0857290398
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 315

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Book Description
With the pressure of time-based competition increasing, and customers demanding faster service, availability of service parts becomes a critical component of manufacturing and servicing operations. Service Parts Management first focuses on intermittent demand forecasting and then on the management of service parts inventories. It guides researchers and practitioners in finding better management solutions to their problems and is both an excellent reference for key concepts and a leading resource for further research. Demand forecasting techniques are presented for parametric and nonparametric approaches, and multi echelon cases and inventory pooling are also considered. Inventory control is examined in the continuous and periodic review cases, while the following are all examined in the context of forecasting: • error measures, • distributional assumptions, and • decision trees. Service Parts Management provides the reader with an overview and a detailed treatment of the current state of the research available on the forecasting and inventory management of items with intermittent demand. It is a comprehensive review of service parts management and provides a starting point for researchers, postgraduate students, and anyone interested in forecasting or managing inventory.

Business Forecasting

Business Forecasting PDF Author: Michael Gilliland
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119782473
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 435

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Book Description
Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performance, forecasting process, communication and accountability for forecasts, and the use of big data in forecasting. You will find: Discussions on deep learning in forecasting, including current trends and challenges Explorations of neural network-based forecasting strategies A treatment of the future of artificial intelligence in business forecasting Analyses of forecasting methods, including modeling, selection, and monitoring In addition to the Foreword by renowned researchers Spyros Makridakis and Fotios Petropoulos, the book also includes 16 "opinion/editorial" Afterwords by a diverse range of top academics, consultants, vendors, and industry practitioners, each providing their own unique vision of the issues, current state, and future direction of business forecasting. Perfect for financial controllers, chief financial officers, business analysts, forecast analysts, and demand planners, Business Forecasting will also earn a place in the libraries of other executives and managers who seek a one-stop resource to help them critically assess and improve their own organization's forecasting efforts.