A Trading Strategy Based on the Lead-Lag Relationship between the Spot Index and Futures Contract for the Ftse 100 PDF Download
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Author: Chris Brooks
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This paper examines the lead-lag relationship between the FTSE 100 index and index futures price employing a number of time series models. Using ten-minutely observations from June 1996-1997, it is found that lagged changes in the futures price can help to predict changes in the spot price. The best forecasting model is of the error correction type, allowing for the theoretical difference between spot and futures prices according to the cost of carry relationship. This predictive ability is in turn utilised to derive a trading strategy which is tested under real-world conditions to search for systematic profitable trading opportunities. It is revealed that although the model forecasts produce significantly higher returns than a passive benchmark, the model was unable to outperform the benchmark after allowing for transaction costs.
Author: Chris Brooks
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This paper examines the lead-lag relationship between the FTSE 100 index and index futures price employing a number of time series models. Using ten-minutely observations from June 1996-1997, it is found that lagged changes in the futures price can help to predict changes in the spot price. The best forecasting model is of the error correction type, allowing for the theoretical difference between spot and futures prices according to the cost of carry relationship. This predictive ability is in turn utilised to derive a trading strategy which is tested under real-world conditions to search for systematic profitable trading opportunities. It is revealed that although the model forecasts produce significantly higher returns than a passive benchmark, the model was unable to outperform the benchmark after allowing for transaction costs.
Author: I. Banerjee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Charles M.S. Sutcliffe
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351148559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 534
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Book Description
The global value of trading in index futures is about $20 trillion per year and rising and for many countries the value traded is similar to that traded on their stock markets. This book describes how index futures markets work and clearly summarises the substantial body of international empirical evidence relating to these markets. Using the concepts and tools of finance, the book also provides a comprehensive description of the economic forces that underlie trading in index futures. Stock Index Futures 3/e contains many teaching and learning aids including numerous examples, a glossary, essay questions, comprehensive references, and a detailed subject index. Written primarily for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students, this text will also be useful to researchers and market participants who want to gain a better understanding of these markets.
Author: Chris Brooks
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521793674
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 732
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Book Description
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Author: M. Agarwal
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137359927
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 259
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Book Description
This book discusses new determinants for optimal portfolio selection. It reviews the existing modelling framework and creates mean-variance efficient portfolios from the securities companies on the National Stock Exchange. Comparisons enable researchers to rank them in terms of their effectiveness in the present day Indian securities market.
Author: Alex Frino
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 27
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Book Description
In this paper, we consider the impact of the introduction of LIFFE CONNECT on the lead-lag relationship between the FTSE100 index and its futures. In general, the results of this study suggest that the move to screen trading strengthens the simultaneity of price discovery in the cash and futures markets and lessens the existence of a lead-lag relationship. This evidence differs to that of the previous literature which has generally found a strengthening of the lead of the futures market to the cash market. The reason for this difference in results is most likely a reflection of the fact that the cash market was generally floor traded in the previous literature, while in this study the FTSE100 was screen traded.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 698
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Book Description
Author: M. A. H. Dempster
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1498712339
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 725
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Book Description
Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development.This book covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets as well as the interaction between commodi
Author: Hammad Mehmood
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Author: J. Nathan Kutz
Publisher: SIAM
ISBN: 1611974496
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 241
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Book Description
Data-driven dynamical systems is a burgeoning field?it connects how measurements of nonlinear dynamical systems and/or complex systems can be used with well-established methods in dynamical systems theory. This is a critically important new direction because the governing equations of many problems under consideration by practitioners in various scientific fields are not typically known. Thus, using data alone to help derive, in an optimal sense, the best dynamical system representation of a given application allows for important new insights. The recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is an innovative tool for integrating data with dynamical systems theory. The DMD has deep connections with traditional dynamical systems theory and many recent innovations in compressed sensing and machine learning. Dynamic Mode Decomposition: Data-Driven Modeling of Complex Systems, the first book to address the DMD algorithm, presents a pedagogical and comprehensive approach to all aspects of DMD currently developed or under development; blends theoretical development, example codes, and applications to showcase the theory and its many innovations and uses; highlights the numerous innovations around the DMD algorithm and demonstrates its efficacy using example problems from engineering and the physical and biological sciences; and provides extensive MATLAB code, data for intuitive examples of key methods, and graphical presentations.
