Using a Z-score Approach to Combine Value and Momentum in Tactical Asset Allocation PDF Download
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Author: Peng Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
We present several active strategies for combining value and momentum strategies in a tactical asset allocation (TAA) framework. We refine the basic yield approach to valuation by standardizing the value signal using the Z-score. Such standardization not only enables us to directly compare valuation measures across asset classes, but also offers insight about each asset class's absolute valuation by its own standard. Under the nonlinear approach, it helps to identify market peaks and bottoms. We improve the momentum strategy by considering both relative and absolute performances. In the combined tactical asset allocation model, this modification to momentum acts as a simple mechanism to adjust the importance of value and momentum strategies under different market conditions. Our combined model takes advantage of both short-term momentum effects and long-term mean-reversion in valuation to achieve superior overall portfolio performance. Finally, we also provide alternative models for smaller tracking errors.
Author: Peng Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
We present several active strategies for combining value and momentum strategies in a tactical asset allocation (TAA) framework. We refine the basic yield approach to valuation by standardizing the value signal using the Z-score. Such standardization not only enables us to directly compare valuation measures across asset classes, but also offers insight about each asset class's absolute valuation by its own standard. Under the nonlinear approach, it helps to identify market peaks and bottoms. We improve the momentum strategy by considering both relative and absolute performances. In the combined tactical asset allocation model, this modification to momentum acts as a simple mechanism to adjust the importance of value and momentum strategies under different market conditions. Our combined model takes advantage of both short-term momentum effects and long-term mean-reversion in valuation to achieve superior overall portfolio performance. Finally, we also provide alternative models for smaller tracking errors.
Author: Adam Butler
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119220378
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 209
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Book Description
Build an agile, responsive portfolio with a new approach to global asset allocation Adaptive Asset Allocation is a no-nonsense how-to guide for dynamic portfolio management. Written by the team behind Gestaltu.com, this book walks you through a uniquely objective and unbiased investment philosophy and provides clear guidelines for execution. From foundational concepts and timing to forecasting and portfolio optimization, this book shares insightful perspective on portfolio adaptation that can improve any investment strategy. Accessible explanations of both classical and contemporary research support the methodologies presented, bolstered by the authors' own capstone case study showing the direct impact of this approach on the individual investor. Financial advisors are competing in an increasingly commoditized environment, with the added burden of two substantial bear markets in the last 15 years. This book presents a framework that addresses the major challenges both advisors and investors face, emphasizing the importance of an agile, globally-diversified portfolio. Drill down to the most important concepts in wealth management Optimize portfolio performance with careful timing of savings and withdrawals Forecast returns 80% more accurately than assuming long-term averages Adopt an investment framework for stability, growth, and maximum income An optimized portfolio must be structured in a way that allows quick response to changes in asset class risks and relationships, and the flexibility to continually adapt to market changes. To execute such an ambitious strategy, it is essential to have a strong grasp of foundational wealth management concepts, a reliable system of forecasting, and a clear understanding of the merits of individual investment methods. Adaptive Asset Allocation provides critical background information alongside a streamlined framework for improving portfolio performance.
Author: Henrik Lumholdt
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319895540
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 259
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Book Description
This book covers each step in the asset allocation process, addressing as many of the relevant questions as possible along the way. How can we formulate expectations about long-term returns? How relevant are valuations? What are the challenges to optimizing the portfolio? Can factor investing add value and, if so, how can it be implemented? Which are the key performance drivers for each asset class, and what determines how they are correlated? How can we apply insights about the business cycle to tactical asset allocation? The book is aimed at finance professionals and others looking for a coherent framework for decision-making in asset allocation, both at the strategic and tactical level. It stresses analysis rather than pre-conceived ideas about investments, and it draws on both empirical research and practical experience to give the reader as strong a background as possible.
Author: Adam Zaremba
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319915304
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 325
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Book Description
This compelling book examines the price-based revolution in investing, showing how research over recent decades has reinvented technical analysis. The authors discuss the major groups of price-based strategies, considering their theoretical motivation, individual and combined implementation, and back-tested results when applied to investment across country stock markets. Containing a comprehensive sample of performance data, taken from 24 major developed markets around the world and ranging over the last 25 years, the authors construct practical portfolios and display their performance—ensuring the book is not only academically rigorous, but practically applicable too. This is a highly useful volume that will be of relevance to researchers and students working in the field of price-based investing, as well as individual investors, fund pickers, market analysts, fund managers, pension fund consultants, hedge fund portfolio managers, endowment chief investment officers, futures traders, and family office investors.
Author: John Okunev
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 15
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Book Description
In this paper we present a simple approach of incorporating a Value at Risk (VAR) constraint to tactical asset allocation (TAA). We outline a dynamic VAR TAA strategy which is useful in controlling the risk and expected losses of any balanced product. From our results it is evident that controlling losses can improve returns and at the same time reduce risk. The attractive feature of the strategy is that it is easy to implement and does not require assumptions about the distribution of returns or estimating investor's utility function. In summary, the strategy provides pension fund managers with prescribed tactical tilts in asset allocation which is consistent with their level of risk aversion. The VAR TAA strategy significantly outperforms the buy hold strategy. This approach can be used as a stand alone strategy or can also be used in conjunction with the views of a TAA manager. We show that when the VAR TAA strategy is combined with more traditional TAA strategies this produces a more robust investment process with improved information ratios.
Author: Elton Babameto
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
There is now widespread evidence that investment strategies based on value and momentum have been profitable in the past. Moreover, combining value and momentum into a single investment strategy provides investment performance that is less sensitive to market cyclicality. However, portfolio managers may be reluctant to implement such strategies as they can lead to substantial departures from client-assigned benchmarks. In this paper, we implement a combined value-momentum strategy using the Black-Litterman portfolio optimisation framework, applied to a single global market comprising 177 national industry indices of the US, UK and Japan. We develop forecasting models for zero-investment value and momentum strategies, and incorporate the out-of-sample forecasts from these models into the Black-Litterman approach. The combined value-momentum strategy yields a significant improvement in performance relative to the underlying benchmark. Using the Black-Litterman model, we can effortlessly track the benchmark at the desired tracking error level under full investment, long-only and beta-neutral constraints, while producing an average annual investment outperformance of up to 0.7 percent, even after allowing for substantial transaction costs.
Author: William Kinlaw
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111940245X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 271
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Book Description
Since the formalization of asset allocation in 1952 with the publication of Portfolio Selection by Harry Markowitz, there have been great strides made to enhance the application of this groundbreaking theory. However, progress has been uneven. It has been punctuated with instances of misleading research, which has contributed to the stubborn persistence of certain fallacies about asset allocation. A Practitioner's Guide to Asset Allocation fills a void in the literature by offering a hands-on resource that describes the many important innovations that address key challenges to asset allocation and dispels common fallacies about asset allocation. The authors cover the fundamentals of asset allocation, including a discussion of the attributes that qualify a group of securities as an asset class and a detailed description of the conventional application of mean-variance analysis to asset allocation.. The authors review a number of common fallacies about asset allocation and dispel these misconceptions with logic or hard evidence. The fallacies debunked include such notions as: asset allocation determines more than 90% of investment performance; time diversifies risk; optimization is hypersensitive to estimation error; factors provide greater diversification than assets and are more effective at reducing noise; and that equally weighted portfolios perform more reliably out of sample than optimized portfolios. A Practitioner's Guide to Asset Allocation also explores the innovations that address key challenges to asset allocation and presents an alternative optimization procedure to address the idea that some investors have complex preferences and returns may not be elliptically distributed. Among the challenges highlighted, the authors explain how to overcome inefficiencies that result from constraints by expanding the optimization objective function to incorporate absolute and relative goals simultaneously. The text also explores the challenge of currency risk, describes how to use shadow assets and liabilities to unify liquidity with expected return and risk, and shows how to evaluate alternative asset mixes by assessing exposure to loss throughout the investment horizon based on regime-dependent risk. This practical text contains an illustrative example of asset allocation which is used to demonstrate the impact of the innovations described throughout the book. In addition, the book includes supplemental material that summarizes the key takeaways and includes information on relevant statistical and theoretical concepts, as well as a comprehensive glossary of terms.
Author: David Blitz
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31
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Book Description
In this paper we examine global tactical asset allocation (GTAA) strategies across a broad range of asset classes. Contrary to market timing for single asset classes and tactical allocation across similar assets, this topic has received little attention in the existing literature. Our main finding is that momentum and value strategies applied to GTAA across twelve asset classes deliver statistically and economically significant abnormal returns. For a long top-quartile and short bottom-quartile portfolio based on a combination of momentum and value signals we find a return exceeding 9% per annum over the 1986-2007 period. Performance is stable over time, also present in an out-of-sample period and sufficiently high to overcome transaction costs in practice. The return cannot be explained by implicit beta exposures or the Fama French and Carhart hedge factors. We argue that financial markets may be macro inefficient due to insufficient 'smart money' being available to arbitrage mispricing effects away.
Author: Robert D. Arnott
Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 448
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Book Description
No issue is more critical to institutional investors than asset allocation. In today's volatile and increasingly global financial markets, asset mix and portfolio allocation are ever more important. However, the term asset allocation means different things to different people in different contexts. Whether policy asset allocation, tactical asset allocation or dynamic strategies for asset allocation, the policies and tactics are designed to reshape the return distribution. Because there are a number of decisions to make and issues to evaluate when reviewing asset allocation, this authoritative text assembles some of the best thinking in the investment world today on the subject of asset allocation. In Active Asset Allocation, pension sponsors, endowment and foundation managers and portfolio managers will find answers to many of the perplexing problems of assessing and managing the asset mix. Editors Robert D. Arnott and Frank J. Fabozzi, joined by a host of eminent practitioners and theoreticians, focus on the many dimensions of the asset allocation decision, tactical asset allocation and the risks associated with active asset allocation. Completely revised to reflect the latest thinking, Active Asset Allocation updates the ground-breaking material that made the first edition a critically acclaimed best-seller. Some of these current thoughts on asset allocation are communicated through a comprehensive series of chapters, including Managing the Asset Mix; Asset Performance and Surplus Control; Risk-Adjusted Surplus; Tax Consequences of Trading; A Disciplined Approach to Global Asset Allocation; Does Tactical Asset Allocation Work? and At Last, a Rational Case forLong-Horizon Risk Tolerance and for Asset Allocation Timing?
Author: Gregg S. Fisher
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16
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Book Description
This paper considers several popular portfolio implementation techniques that maximize exposure to value and/or momentum stocks while taking into account transaction costs. Our analysis of long-only strategies illustrates how a strategy that simultaneously incorporates both value and momentum outperforms a strategy that combines pure-play value and momentum portfolios that are formed independently. There are two advantages of the simultaneous strategy. The first is the reduction in transaction costs; the second is better utilization of unfavorable value and momentum information in a long-only portfolio. Our analysis also addresses the optimal way to combine the faster-moving momentum signal with the slower-moving value signal.
