Using a Value at Risk Approach to Enhance Tactical Asset Allocation

Using a Value at Risk Approach to Enhance Tactical Asset Allocation PDF Author: John Okunev
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 15

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Book Description
In this paper we present a simple approach of incorporating a Value at Risk (VAR) constraint to tactical asset allocation (TAA). We outline a dynamic VAR TAA strategy which is useful in controlling the risk and expected losses of any balanced product. From our results it is evident that controlling losses can improve returns and at the same time reduce risk. The attractive feature of the strategy is that it is easy to implement and does not require assumptions about the distribution of returns or estimating investor's utility function. In summary, the strategy provides pension fund managers with prescribed tactical tilts in asset allocation which is consistent with their level of risk aversion. The VAR TAA strategy significantly outperforms the buy hold strategy. This approach can be used as a stand alone strategy or can also be used in conjunction with the views of a TAA manager. We show that when the VAR TAA strategy is combined with more traditional TAA strategies this produces a more robust investment process with improved information ratios.

Using a Value at Risk Approach to Enhance Tactical Asset Allocation

Using a Value at Risk Approach to Enhance Tactical Asset Allocation PDF Author: John Okunev
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 15

Get Book Here

Book Description
In this paper we present a simple approach of incorporating a Value at Risk (VAR) constraint to tactical asset allocation (TAA). We outline a dynamic VAR TAA strategy which is useful in controlling the risk and expected losses of any balanced product. From our results it is evident that controlling losses can improve returns and at the same time reduce risk. The attractive feature of the strategy is that it is easy to implement and does not require assumptions about the distribution of returns or estimating investor's utility function. In summary, the strategy provides pension fund managers with prescribed tactical tilts in asset allocation which is consistent with their level of risk aversion. The VAR TAA strategy significantly outperforms the buy hold strategy. This approach can be used as a stand alone strategy or can also be used in conjunction with the views of a TAA manager. We show that when the VAR TAA strategy is combined with more traditional TAA strategies this produces a more robust investment process with improved information ratios.

Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation

Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation PDF Author: Henrik Lumholdt
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319895540
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 259

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Book Description
This book covers each step in the asset allocation process, addressing as many of the relevant questions as possible along the way. How can we formulate expectations about long-term returns? How relevant are valuations? What are the challenges to optimizing the portfolio? Can factor investing add value and, if so, how can it be implemented? Which are the key performance drivers for each asset class, and what determines how they are correlated? How can we apply insights about the business cycle to tactical asset allocation? The book is aimed at finance professionals and others looking for a coherent framework for decision-making in asset allocation, both at the strategic and tactical level. It stresses analysis rather than pre-conceived ideas about investments, and it draws on both empirical research and practical experience to give the reader as strong a background as possible.

A Practitioner's Guide to Asset Allocation

A Practitioner's Guide to Asset Allocation PDF Author: William Kinlaw
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119402425
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 259

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Book Description
Since the formalization of asset allocation in 1952 with the publication of Portfolio Selection by Harry Markowitz, there have been great strides made to enhance the application of this groundbreaking theory. However, progress has been uneven. It has been punctuated with instances of misleading research, which has contributed to the stubborn persistence of certain fallacies about asset allocation. A Practitioner's Guide to Asset Allocation fills a void in the literature by offering a hands-on resource that describes the many important innovations that address key challenges to asset allocation and dispels common fallacies about asset allocation. The authors cover the fundamentals of asset allocation, including a discussion of the attributes that qualify a group of securities as an asset class and a detailed description of the conventional application of mean-variance analysis to asset allocation.. The authors review a number of common fallacies about asset allocation and dispel these misconceptions with logic or hard evidence. The fallacies debunked include such notions as: asset allocation determines more than 90% of investment performance; time diversifies risk; optimization is hypersensitive to estimation error; factors provide greater diversification than assets and are more effective at reducing noise; and that equally weighted portfolios perform more reliably out of sample than optimized portfolios. A Practitioner's Guide to Asset Allocation also explores the innovations that address key challenges to asset allocation and presents an alternative optimization procedure to address the idea that some investors have complex preferences and returns may not be elliptically distributed. Among the challenges highlighted, the authors explain how to overcome inefficiencies that result from constraints by expanding the optimization objective function to incorporate absolute and relative goals simultaneously. The text also explores the challenge of currency risk, describes how to use shadow assets and liabilities to unify liquidity with expected return and risk, and shows how to evaluate alternative asset mixes by assessing exposure to loss throughout the investment horizon based on regime-dependent risk. This practical text contains an illustrative example of asset allocation which is used to demonstrate the impact of the innovations described throughout the book. In addition, the book includes supplemental material that summarizes the key takeaways and includes information on relevant statistical and theoretical concepts, as well as a comprehensive glossary of terms.

Risk Vs Trend Driven Global Tactical Asset Allocation

Risk Vs Trend Driven Global Tactical Asset Allocation PDF Author: Benoît Guilleminot
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The 2008 financial crisis has severely challenged passive forms of investment. In this paper, we compare two systematic investment processes that a global asset allocator may employ to preserve its capital in the face of a turbulent financial environment. The "risk-driven" allocation, derived from the popular "risk-parity" approach, has garnered a strong interest from both scholars and practitioners in the recent years. It aims at enforcing a constant risk target and maintaining a balanced risk profile over time. This paper introduces a novel "trend-driven" approach, which enhances the risk-driven strategy by cutting the exposure to downward drifting assets. We then compare the risk-adjusted performances of risk and trend driven approaches on different investment universes (composed of equity, commodity, currency and bond futures contracts) over the 1993-2012 period. We find that a trend-driven approach yields increased Sharpe ratios and lower drawdowns in average relative to a risk-driven strategy. However, the outperformance of the trend-driven process is not stable over time: periods with exploitable trends alternate with long-lasting trendless periods. Overall, the key advantage of the trending strategy over the risk-driven one is its higher smoothness. This is due to a better resilience to 2008-like financial meltdowns, which are well-predicted by trending signals and undermine the diversification objective pursued by the risk-parity approach. These results demonstrate the value of coupling risk and trajectorial signals in tactical asset allocation.

Strategic versus tactical asset allocation in markets with high uncertainty

Strategic versus tactical asset allocation in markets with high uncertainty PDF Author: Daniel Hosp
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3656367418
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 24

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Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, University of Innsbruck, course: Sales Management in Banking and Finance, language: English, abstract: Asset allocation strategies are a frequently discussed topic with increasing importance in times of crisis. Such strategies should prevent us from price deterioration in bad times and ensure high return potentials in good times. More and more tactical asset allocation funds emerge and promise better returns than simple strategy funds. They always try to be on the right market side, in up as well as in down phases. This seminar paper deals with some basic question about what strategic and tactical asset allocation is, when should it be used and if these strategies are appropriate in a highly uncertain environment like the current. It should give the reader a broad overview about the topic by referring to different accepted theories and studies. First the development of asset allocation methods will be described resulting in strategic and tactical asset allocation and an evaluation of them. Furthermore a link toward uncertain market conditions will be compounded.

Dual Momentum Investing: An Innovative Strategy for Higher Returns with Lower Risk

Dual Momentum Investing: An Innovative Strategy for Higher Returns with Lower Risk PDF Author: Gary Antonacci
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071849459
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 256

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Book Description
The investing strategy that famously generates higher returns with substantially reduced risk--presented by the investor who invented it "A treasure of well researched momentum-driven investing processes." Gregory L. Morris, Chief Technical Analyst and Chairman, Investment Committee of Stadion Money Management, LLC, and author of Investing with the Trend Dual Momentum Investing details the author’s own momentum investing method that combines U.S. stock, world stock, and aggregate bond indices--a formula proven to dramatically increase profits while lowering risk. Antonacci reveals how momentum investors could have achieved long-run returns nearly twice as high as the stock market over the past 40 years, while avoiding or minimizing bear market losses--and he provides the information and insight investors need to achieve such success going forward. His methodology is designed to pick up on major changes in relative strength and market trend. Gary Antonacci has over 30 years experience as an investment professional focusing on under exploited investment opportunities. In 1990, he founded Portfolio Management Consultants, which advises private and institutional investors on asset allocation, portfolio optimization, and advanced momentum strategies. He writes and runs the popular blog and website optimalmomentum.com. Antonacci earned his MBA at Harvard.

Adaptive Asset Allocation

Adaptive Asset Allocation PDF Author: Adam Butler
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119220394
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 244

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Book Description
Build an agile, responsive portfolio with a new approach to global asset allocation Adaptive Asset Allocation is a no-nonsense how-to guide for dynamic portfolio management. Written by the team behind Gestaltu.com, this book walks you through a uniquely objective and unbiased investment philosophy and provides clear guidelines for execution. From foundational concepts and timing to forecasting and portfolio optimization, this book shares insightful perspective on portfolio adaptation that can improve any investment strategy. Accessible explanations of both classical and contemporary research support the methodologies presented, bolstered by the authors' own capstone case study showing the direct impact of this approach on the individual investor. Financial advisors are competing in an increasingly commoditized environment, with the added burden of two substantial bear markets in the last 15 years. This book presents a framework that addresses the major challenges both advisors and investors face, emphasizing the importance of an agile, globally-diversified portfolio. Drill down to the most important concepts in wealth management Optimize portfolio performance with careful timing of savings and withdrawals Forecast returns 80% more accurately than assuming long-term averages Adopt an investment framework for stability, growth, and maximum income An optimized portfolio must be structured in a way that allows quick response to changes in asset class risks and relationships, and the flexibility to continually adapt to market changes. To execute such an ambitious strategy, it is essential to have a strong grasp of foundational wealth management concepts, a reliable system of forecasting, and a clear understanding of the merits of individual investment methods. Adaptive Asset Allocation provides critical background information alongside a streamlined framework for improving portfolio performance.

Getting Started in Asset Allocation

Getting Started in Asset Allocation PDF Author: Bill Bresnan
Publisher: Wiley
ISBN: 9780471326847
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Asset allocation is an essential component of creating a solid portfolio. This indispensable guide clarifies the where, when and how to begin of asset allocation in plain English. Covering the basics of starting an asset allocation program, it offers sound advice, helpful tips, and practical guidelines - all corresponding to your particular financial situation, whether you're single, married with children, saving for college, or retired. Along with a helpful glossary of financial terms, here is where you will find complete details on: * Risk - the nature of risk, risk versus volatility, risk/reward trade-off, and the ten types of risk * Allocation techniques - financial objectives, cash flow needs, and tactical asset models * Low-, medium-, and high-risk assets - government securities, certificates of deposit, fixed annuities, corporate bonds, futures, commodities * Mutual funds and asset allocation - selecting funds, added rewards, additional risks * Maximizing wealth - value approach, re-balancing your portfolio, periodic review Getting Started in Asset Allocation, authoritative, accessible, comprehensive and completely up-to-date.

Asset Allocation

Asset Allocation PDF Author: William Kinlaw
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119817714
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 375

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Book Description
Discover a masterful exploration of the fallacies and challenges of asset allocation In Asset Allocation: From Theory to Practice and Beyond—the newly and substantially revised Second Edition of A Practitioner’s Guide to Asset Allocation—accomplished finance professionals William Kinlaw, Mark P. Kritzman, and David Turkington deliver a robust and insightful exploration of the core tenets of asset allocation. Drawing on their experience working with hundreds of the world’s largest and most sophisticated investors, the authors review foundational concepts, debunk fallacies, and address cutting-edge themes like factor investing and scenario analysis. The new edition also includes references to related topics at the end of each chapter and a summary of key takeaways to help readers rapidly locate material of interest. The book also incorporates discussions of: The characteristics that define an asset class, including stability, investability, and similarity The fundamentals of asset allocation, including definitions of expected return, portfolio risk, and diversification Advanced topics like factor investing, asymmetric diversification, fat tails, long-term investing, and enhanced scenario analysis as well as tools to address challenges such as liquidity, rebalancing, constraints, and within-horizon risk. Perfect for client-facing practitioners as well as scholars who seek to understand practical techniques, Asset Allocation: From Theory to Practice and Beyond is a must-read resource from an author team of distinguished finance experts and a forward by Nobel prize winner Harry Markowitz.

Theory and Methodology of Tactical Asset Allocation

Theory and Methodology of Tactical Asset Allocation PDF Author: Wai Lee
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9781883249724
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 168

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Book Description
Asset allocation has long been viewed as a safe bet for reducing risk in a portfolio. Asset allocators strive to buy when prices are low and sell when prices rise. Tactical asset allocation (TAA) practitioners tend to emphasize shorter-term adjustments, reducing exposure when recent market performance has been good, and increasing exposure in a slipping market (in contrast to dynamic asset allocation, or portfolio insurance). As interest in this technique continues to grow, J.P. Morgan's Wai Lee provides comprehensive coverage of the analytical tools needed to successfully implement and monitor tactical asset allocation.