Uncertainty Quantification and Management on Aircraft Weight Estimation

Uncertainty Quantification and Management on Aircraft Weight Estimation PDF Author: Teresa M. D. Reis
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ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Uncertainty Quantification and Management on Aircraft Weight Estimation

Uncertainty Quantification and Management on Aircraft Weight Estimation PDF Author: Teresa M. D. Reis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Uncertainty Quantification in Computational Fluid Dynamics and Aircraft Engines

Uncertainty Quantification in Computational Fluid Dynamics and Aircraft Engines PDF Author: Francesco Montomoli
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319929437
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 204

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Book Description
This book introduces design techniques developed to increase the safety of aircraft engines, and demonstrates how the application of stochastic methods can overcome problems in the accurate prediction of engine lift caused by manufacturing error. This in turn addresses the issue of achieving required safety margins when hampered by limits in current design and manufacturing methods. The authors show that avoiding the potential catastrophe generated by the failure of an aircraft engine relies on the prediction of the correct behaviour of microscopic imperfections. This book shows how to quantify the possibility of such failure, and that it is possible to design components that are inherently less risky and more reliable. This new, updated and significantly expanded edition gives an introduction to engine reliability and safety to contextualise this important issue, evaluates newly-proposed methods for uncertainty quantification as applied to jet engines. Uncertainty Quantification in Computational Fluid Dynamics and Aircraft Engines will be of use to gas turbine manufacturers and designers as well as CFD practitioners, specialists and researchers. Graduate and final year undergraduate students in aerospace or mathematical engineering may also find it of interest.

Enablers for Uncertainty Quantification and Management in Early Stage Computational Design

Enablers for Uncertainty Quantification and Management in Early Stage Computational Design PDF Author: Xin Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Advances in Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization Under Uncertainty with Aerospace Applications

Advances in Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization Under Uncertainty with Aerospace Applications PDF Author: Massimiliano Vasile
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030805425
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 448

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Book Description
The 2020 International Conference on Uncertainty Quantification & Optimization gathered together internationally renowned researchers in the fields of optimization and uncertainty quantification. The resulting proceedings cover all related aspects of computational uncertainty management and optimization, with particular emphasis on aerospace engineering problems. The book contributions are organized under four major themes: Applications of Uncertainty in Aerospace & Engineering Imprecise Probability, Theory and Applications Robust and Reliability-Based Design Optimisation in Aerospace Engineering Uncertainty Quantification, Identification and Calibration in Aerospace Models This proceedings volume is useful across disciplines, as it brings the expertise of theoretical and application researchers together in a unified framework.

Optimization Under Uncertainty with Applications to Aerospace Engineering

Optimization Under Uncertainty with Applications to Aerospace Engineering PDF Author: Massimiliano Vasile
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030601668
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 573

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Book Description
In an expanding world with limited resources, optimization and uncertainty quantification have become a necessity when handling complex systems and processes. This book provides the foundational material necessary for those who wish to embark on advanced research at the limits of computability, collecting together lecture material from leading experts across the topics of optimization, uncertainty quantification and aerospace engineering. The aerospace sector in particular has stringent performance requirements on highly complex systems, for which solutions are expected to be optimal and reliable at the same time. The text covers a wide range of techniques and methods, from polynomial chaos expansions for uncertainty quantification to Bayesian and Imprecise Probability theories, and from Markov chains to surrogate models based on Gaussian processes. The book will serve as a valuable tool for practitioners, researchers and PhD students.

Uncertainty Quantification in Airframe Design

Uncertainty Quantification in Airframe Design PDF Author: Ramana V. Grandhi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 12

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Book Description
Multiple configurations in various stages of aircraft design have to be experimentally tested and validated to study the performance of various systems subjected to non-deterministic design parameters. These tests are expensive and time consuming, increasing the acquisition cost and time for military aircraft/equipment. Therefore, analytical certification aims at reducing/eliminating the expensive prototype testing during these intermediate design stages by propagating the input variance through the design. Analytical certification involves modeling the variance/uncertainties in the design parameters and estimating the variance in the component/system performance. Based on the nature and extent of uncertainty existing in an engineering system, different approaches can be used for uncertainty propagation. If the uncertainty of the system is due to imprecise information and lack of statistical data, the Possibilistic theory can be used. During preliminary design, uncertainties need to be accounted for and due to lack of sufficient information assigning a probability distribution may not be possible. Moreover, the flight conditions (loads, control surface settings, etc.) during a mission could take values within certain bounds, which do not follow any particular pattern. The uncertain information in these cases is available as intervals with lower and upper limits. In this case, the fuzzy arithmetic based method is suitable to estimate the possibility of failure. The use of surrogate models to improve the efficiency of prediction is presented in this paper. Various numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the applicability of the method to practical problems.

Management and Minimisation of Uncertainties and Errors in Numerical Aerodynamics

Management and Minimisation of Uncertainties and Errors in Numerical Aerodynamics PDF Author: Bernhard Eisfeld
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642361854
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 344

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Book Description
This volume reports results from the German research initiative MUNA (Management and Minimization of Errors and Uncertainties in Numerical Aerodynamics), which combined development activities of the German Aerospace Center (DLR), German universities and German aircraft industry. The main objective of this five year project was the development of methods and procedures aiming at reducing various types of uncertainties that are typical of numerical flow simulations. The activities were focused on methods for grid manipulation, techniques for increasing the simulation accuracy, sensors for turbulence modelling, methods for handling uncertainties of the geometry and grid deformation as well as stochastic methods for quantifying aleatoric uncertainties.

Uncertainty Management for Robust Industrial Design in Aeronautics

Uncertainty Management for Robust Industrial Design in Aeronautics PDF Author: Charles Hirsch
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 331977767X
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 799

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Book Description
This book covers cutting-edge findings related to uncertainty quantification and optimization under uncertainties (i.e. robust and reliable optimization), with a special emphasis on aeronautics and turbomachinery, although not limited to these fields. It describes new methods for uncertainty quantification, such as non-intrusive polynomial chaos, collocation methods, perturbation methods, as well as adjoint based and multi-level Monte Carlo methods. It includes methods for characterization of most influential uncertainties, as well as formulations for robust and reliable design optimization. A distinctive element of the book is the unique collection of test cases with prescribed uncertainties, which are representative of the current engineering practice of the industrial consortium partners involved in UMRIDA, a level 1 collaborative project within the European Commission's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7). All developed methods are benchmarked against these industrial challenges. Moreover, the book includes a section dedicated to Best Practice Guidelines for uncertainty quantification and robust design optimization, summarizing the findings obtained by the consortium members within the UMRIDA project. All in all, the book offers a authoritative guide to cutting-edge methodologies for uncertainty management in engineering design, covers a wide range of applications and discusses new ideas for future research and interdisciplinary collaborations.

Uncertainty Quantification

Uncertainty Quantification PDF Author: Ralph C. Smith
Publisher: SIAM
ISBN: 1611973228
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 400

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Book Description
The field of uncertainty quantification is evolving rapidly because of increasing emphasis on models that require quantified uncertainties for large-scale applications, novel algorithm development, and new computational architectures that facilitate implementation of these algorithms. Uncertainty Quantification: Theory, Implementation, and Applications provides readers with the basic concepts, theory, and algorithms necessary to quantify input and response uncertainties for simulation models arising in a broad range of disciplines. The book begins with a detailed discussion of applications where uncertainty quantification is critical for both scientific understanding and policy. It then covers concepts from probability and statistics, parameter selection techniques, frequentist and Bayesian model calibration, propagation of uncertainties, quantification of model discrepancy, surrogate model construction, and local and global sensitivity analysis. The author maintains a complementary web page where readers can find data used in the exercises and other supplementary material.

Analytical Fuselage and Wing Weight Estimation of Transport Aircraft

Analytical Fuselage and Wing Weight Estimation of Transport Aircraft PDF Author: National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN: 9781722238469
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 56

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Book Description
A method of estimating the load-bearing fuselage weight and wing weight of transport aircraft based on fundamental structural principles has been developed. This method of weight estimation represents a compromise between the rapid assessment of component weight using empirical methods based on actual weights of existing aircraft, and detailed, but time-consuming, analysis using the finite element method. The method was applied to eight existing subsonic transports for validation and correlation. Integration of the resulting computer program, PDCYL, has been made into the weights-calculating module of the AirCraft SYNThesis (ACSYNT) computer program. ACSYNT has traditionally used only empirical weight estimation methods; PDCYL adds to ACSYNT a rapid, accurate means of assessing the fuselage and wing weights of unconventional aircraft. PDCYL also allows flexibility in the choice of structural concept, as well as a direct means of determining the impact of advanced materials on structural weight. Using statistical analysis techniques, relations between the load-bearing fuselage and wing weights calculated by PDCYL and corresponding actual weights were determined. Chambers, Mark C. and Ardema, Mark D. and Patron, Anthony P. and Hahn, Andrew S. and Miura, Hirokazu and Moore, Mark D. Ames Research Center...