The Yield Curve and Financial Risk Premia

The Yield Curve and Financial Risk Premia PDF Author: Felix Geiger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642215750
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 320

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Book Description
The determinants of yield curve dynamics have been thoroughly discussed in finance models. However, little can be said about the macroeconomic factors behind the movements of short- and long-term interest rates as well as the risk compensation demanded by financial investors. By taking on a macro-finance perspective, the book’s approach explicitly acknowledges the close feedback between monetary policy, the macroeconomy and financial conditions. Both theoretical and empirical models are applied in order to get a profound understanding of the interlinkages between economic activity, the conduct of monetary policy and the underlying macroeconomic factors of bond price movements. Moreover, the book identifies a broad risk-taking channel of monetary transmission which allows a reassessment of the role of financial constraints; it enables policy makers to develop new guidelines for monetary policy and for financial supervision of how to cope with evolving financial imbalances.

The Yield Curve and Financial Risk Premia

The Yield Curve and Financial Risk Premia PDF Author: Felix Geiger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642215750
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 320

Get Book Here

Book Description
The determinants of yield curve dynamics have been thoroughly discussed in finance models. However, little can be said about the macroeconomic factors behind the movements of short- and long-term interest rates as well as the risk compensation demanded by financial investors. By taking on a macro-finance perspective, the book’s approach explicitly acknowledges the close feedback between monetary policy, the macroeconomy and financial conditions. Both theoretical and empirical models are applied in order to get a profound understanding of the interlinkages between economic activity, the conduct of monetary policy and the underlying macroeconomic factors of bond price movements. Moreover, the book identifies a broad risk-taking channel of monetary transmission which allows a reassessment of the role of financial constraints; it enables policy makers to develop new guidelines for monetary policy and for financial supervision of how to cope with evolving financial imbalances.

Specullation, Risk Premia and Expectations in the Yield Curve

Specullation, Risk Premia and Expectations in the Yield Curve PDF Author: Francisco Barillas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 58

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Book Description


Speculation, Risk Premia and Expectations in the Yield Curve

Speculation, Risk Premia and Expectations in the Yield Curve PDF Author: Francisco Barillas
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bond market
Languages : en
Pages : 58

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Book Description
An affine asset pricing model in which agents have rational but heterogeneous expectations about future asset prices is developed. We estimate the model using data on bond yields and individual survey responses from the Survey of Professional Forecasters and perform a novel three-way decomposition of bond yields into (i) average expectations about short rates (ii) risk premia and (iii) a speculative component due to heterogeneous expectations about the resale value of a bond. We prove that the speculative term must be orthogonal to public information in real time and therefore statistically distinct from risk premia. Empirically, the speculative component is quantitatively important, accounting for up to one percentage point of US yields. Furthermore, estimates of historical risk premia from the heterogeneous information model are less volatile than, and negatively correlated with, risk premia estimated using a standard Affine Gaussian Term Structure model.

Estimating and Interpreting the Yield Curve

Estimating and Interpreting the Yield Curve PDF Author: Nicola Anderson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 248

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Book Description
A yield curve is a graph indicating the term structure of interest rates by plotting the yields of all bonds of the same quality. This book provides a thorough analysis of estimation techniques and a survey of yield curve interpretation. On the former it is the most advanced book in its field, on the latter it provides an introduction to more specialised texts. It also provides important insight into the latest thinking on these techniques at the Bank of England.

Yield Curve Factors, Term Structure Volatility, and Bond Risk Premia

Yield Curve Factors, Term Structure Volatility, and Bond Risk Premia PDF Author: Nikolaus Hautsch
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling PDF Author: Riccardo Rebonato
Publisher:
ISBN: 1107165857
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 781

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Book Description
Rebonato provides an authoritative, clear, and up-to-date explanation of the cutting-edge innovations in affine modeling for government bonds, and provides readers with the precise tools to develop their own models. This book combines precise theory with up-to-date empirical evidence to build, with the minimum mathematical sophistication required for the task, a critical understanding of what drives the government bond market.

Modeling and Predicting the Yield Curve's Risk Premium

Modeling and Predicting the Yield Curve's Risk Premium PDF Author: Eric Van Den Bosch
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Interest rates
Languages : en
Pages : 70

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Book Description


Financial Markets and the Real Economy

Financial Markets and the Real Economy PDF Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1933019158
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 117

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Book Description
Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Yield Curve Modeling

Yield Curve Modeling PDF Author: Y. Stander
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230513743
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 202

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Book Description
This book will give the reader insight into how to model yield curves in our incomplete and imperfect financial markets. An extensive list of yield curve models are shown and discussed. Using actual market instruments, these models are then applied and the different yield curves are compared. It is assumed that the reader has a basic understanding of the financial instruments available in the market. Various issues that have to be taken into account in practice are discussed, like daycount conventions, business-day rules, the credit quality of the instrument and liquidity to name but a few. It is also shown how yield curves can be used to estimate credit spreads and country risk premiums. Creating a yield curve model has some implications in risk management. Specifically - the model, operational, liquidity and basis risks are discussed.

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

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Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.