The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy PDF Download
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Author: Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513509845
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 35
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Book Description
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model. The results show that there are considerable heterogeneities in the responses of different countries to a U.S. supply-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining in commodity exporters, inflation falling in most countries, and equity prices rising worldwide. Overall, our results suggest that following the U.S. oil revolution, with oil prices falling by 51 percent in the first year, global growth increases by 0.16 to 0.37 percentage points. This is mainly due to an increase in spending by oil importing countries, which exceeds the decline in expenditure by oil exporters.
Author: Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513509845
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 35
Get Book
Book Description
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model. The results show that there are considerable heterogeneities in the responses of different countries to a U.S. supply-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining in commodity exporters, inflation falling in most countries, and equity prices rising worldwide. Overall, our results suggest that following the U.S. oil revolution, with oil prices falling by 51 percent in the first year, global growth increases by 0.16 to 0.37 percentage points. This is mainly due to an increase in spending by oil importing countries, which exceeds the decline in expenditure by oil exporters.
Author: Kamiar Mohaddes
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781513548098
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 35
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Book Description
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model. The results show that there are considerable heterogeneities in the responses of different countries to a U.S. supply-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining in commodity exporters, inflation falling in most countries, and equity prices rising worldwide. Overall, our results suggest that following the U.S. oil revolution, with oil prices falling by 51 percent in the first year, global growth increases by 0.16 to 0.37 percentage points. This is mainly due to an increase in spending by oil importing countries, which exceeds the decline in expenditure by oil exporters. --Abstract.
Author: Delia Ondo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 118
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Book Description
America's oil and natural gas industry supports 10.3 million jobs in the United States and nearly 8 percent of our nation's Gross Domestic Product. We spur economic growth through hundreds of billions of dollars investing right here at home every year. The extraction of oil and natural gas from shale has reduced the amount of oil the United States needs to import and is adding to the economy in the forms of jobs, investment, and growth. Oil exploration and production is again an important industry in the United States. The US has led the world in increasing oil supplies since 2008 and is projected to establish a new all-time record high oil production before 2020. Production from tight oil plays is projected to contribute about 5 MMb/d or more than 40% of US oil production by 2020. In this book, we will look at how oil prices impact the U.S. economy. Buy now.
Author: Mr.Michael Kumhof
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475539975
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31
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Book Description
This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for larger shocks, for elasticities of substitution that decline as oil usage is reduced to a minimum, and for production functions in which oil acts as a critical enabler of technologies, GDP growth could drop significantly. Also, oil prices could become so high that smooth adjustment, as assumed in the model, may become very difficult.
Author: R. W. Ferrier
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317234960
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 142
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Book Description
This book discusses the oil industry and its impact on the world economy in the twentieth century. It examines the importance of oil in different sectors, from 1900-1973 and stresses the relevance of oil as a factor in modern economic history not only in national terms but also within an international context. The book includes chapters on American policy towards developing economies in the first half of the 20th century; the policy of Russian oil exports in the 20s and 30s; the financing of the German and French oil industries; and the role of oil in the Japanese economy, a major industrial country without oil resources. On the international front, the book covers the impact of the Middle East national oil companies, the effect of oil on the developing countries of South Ameirca and the relevance of the oil crisis of 1973.
Author: Everett M. Ehrlich
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Energy policy
Languages : en
Pages : 104
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Book Description
Author: Steven A. Schneider
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 658
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Book Description
Author: Shamika Balluch
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 118
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Book Description
America's oil and natural gas industry supports 10.3 million jobs in the United States and nearly 8 percent of our nation's Gross Domestic Product. We spur economic growth through hundreds of billions of dollars investing right here at home every year. The extraction of oil and natural gas from shale has reduced the amount of oil the United States needs to import and is adding to the economy in the forms of jobs, investment, and growth. Oil exploration and production is again an important industry in the United States. The US has led the world in increasing oil supplies since 2008 and is projected to establish a new all-time record high oil production before 2020. Production from tight oil plays is projected to contribute about 5 MMb/d or more than 40% of US oil production by 2020. In this book, we will look at how oil prices impact the U.S. economy. Buy now.
Author: Douglas R. Bohi
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135986371
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 323
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Book Description
First Published in 2011. This book presents the results of the third phase of our analysis of U.S. oil imports in relation to U.S. energy policy. It presents a definitive history and analysis of the United States' experiment with formal oil import controls and addresses three questions: The first is how the U.S. energy situation, especially energy security, was affected by what was going on in the rest of the world. The second is the more narrow issue of what energy security options appeared available to the United States from the perspective of the special conditions which existed during 1974-75. The third question, the main subject of this book, and the one with which we initially began, was what lessons might be learned from earlier efforts to limit imports, especially through the Mandatory Oil Import Program.
Author: Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513513885
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 35
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Book Description
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model. The results show that there are considerable heterogeneities in the responses of different countries to a U.S. supply-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining in commodity exporters, inflation falling in most countries, and equity prices rising worldwide. Overall, our results suggest that following the U.S. oil revolution, with oil prices falling by 51 percent in the first year, global growth increases by 0.16 to 0.37 percentage points. This is mainly due to an increase in spending by oil importing countries, which exceeds the decline in expenditure by oil exporters.
