The Impact of Demographic Uncertainty on Public Finances in the Netherlands

The Impact of Demographic Uncertainty on Public Finances in the Netherlands PDF Author: Alex M. Armstrong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Finance, Public
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description

The Impact of Demographic Uncertainty on Public Finances in the Netherlands

The Impact of Demographic Uncertainty on Public Finances in the Netherlands PDF Author: Alex M. Armstrong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Finance, Public
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description


Demographic Uncertainty and Fiscal Policy

Demographic Uncertainty and Fiscal Policy PDF Author:
Publisher: CEPS
ISBN: 9290796499
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 35

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Book Description
It is well known by now that population ageing threatens the sustainability of fiscal policies in many countries. Although a number of policy options are available to address the problem, the uncertainty surrounding the future development of the population complicates matters. This paper analyses the economic, intergenerational and welfare effects of several alternative taxation policies that can be used to close the fiscal sustainability gap: immediate tax smoothing, delayed tax smoothing and balanced budget policies. A distinction is made between a consumption tax and a labour income tax. In addition, the influence of demographic uncertainty on the results of these policies is analysed from a number of perspectives. Simulated population shocks show the effect of demographic volatility on macroeconomic and fiscal variables. Stochastic simulations are presented to produce probabilistic bounds for the future development of the economic outcomes and to analyse the issue of optimal fiscal policy under uncertainty.

Understanding Financial Accounts

Understanding Financial Accounts PDF Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264281282
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 424

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Book Description
Understanding Financial Accounts seeks to show how a range of questions on financial developments can be answered with the framework of financial accounts and balance sheets, by providing non-technical explanations illustrated with practical examples.

Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040 PDF Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
ISBN: 9781646794973
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 158

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Book Description
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability

Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability PDF Author: Juha M. Alho
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139470353
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 239

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Book Description
There is widespread acceptance that much of the developed world faces a potential pensions and welfare crisis as a result of declining birth rates and an ageing population. However, there is considerable uncertainty about the specifics of demographic forecasting and this has significant implications for public finances. Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability addresses the economic consequences of uncertainty and, with particular reference to European economies, explores the impact of demographic risks on public finances, including pension systems, health care and old-age care expenditures. Covering a spectrum of theoretical and empirical approaches, different types of computational models are used to demonstrate not only the magnitudes of the uncertainties involved but also how these can be addressed through policy initiatives. The book is divided into four parts covering demographic, measurement, policy and methodological issues. Each part is followed by a discussion essay that draws out key elements and identifies common themes.

GAMMA

GAMMA PDF Author: Alex Armstrong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aging
Languages : en
Pages : 126

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Book Description


Fiscal Prefunding in Response to Demographic Uncertainty

Fiscal Prefunding in Response to Demographic Uncertainty PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Netherlands
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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Book Description


Ageing and the Sustainability of Dutch Public Finances

Ageing and the Sustainability of Dutch Public Finances PDF Author: Casper van Ewijk
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 144

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Book Description
De vergrijzing van de Nederlandse bevolking brengt de houdbaarheid van de openbare financiƫn in gevaar. De verdubbeling van de verhouding tussen het aantal gepensioneerden en het aantal werkenden verstoort de balans tussen uitgaven en belastingopbrengsten. De stijging van uitgaven aan AOW en gezondheidszorg overtreft immers de stijging van belastingopbrengsten. Budgettaire hervormingen zijn dan ook nodig om te voorkomen dat toekomstige generaties worden genoodzaakt belastingen te verhogen dan wel op publieke uitgaven te bezuinigen. Hervormingen op het vlak van de sociale zekerheid van de laatste jaren zijn een stap in de goede richting, maar onvoldoende. Met name de daling van de kapitaalmarktrente en het vermogensverlies bij pensioenfondsen hebben de houdbaarheid van de openbare financiƫn verslechterd. De effecten die hervormingen uitoefenen op de intergenerationele balans zijn van belang voor de vraag welke verdere hervormingen het meest gewenst zijn.

OECD Economic Surveys: Netherlands 2006

OECD Economic Surveys: Netherlands 2006 PDF Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264036709
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 140

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Book Description
This 2005 OECD Economic Survey of the Dutch economy (published as the second issue in the 2006 volume) examines key economic challenges including putting public finances on a sustainable path, increasing resiliency in labour markets, strengthening ...

Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance

Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance PDF Author: El Bachir Boukherouaa
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589063953
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 35

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Book Description
This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.